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Ray of hope - FSW - 1

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FrankieChiu

Star Member
Nov 13, 2020
71
21
I must admit I was shocked that the influx of candidates increased *drastically*, compared to previous draw.

DrawIntervalITAsCRS471-600600-1200RATE (candidates/day)
1631442004724946331217
1641442004713950342205
1651445004713785454264
1662345004785850998266
1671250004724764348201
168750004692174185354
1691450004693345413375

Based on math, it looks like the previous draw almost empty the entire 469 pool, and on this one, 469 almost didn't make it.
Kinda mind blown that even at 5,000 ITAs, the demand continues to climb at this insane rate.
At this point, EE would be almost impossible for FSWs Outlanders if IRCC persisted with the 3,900 ITAs we used to think were "huge".

As always, people, try to improve your scores. The competition is getting harder and harder.
It's hard to believe, but it's true
 

huyypeter

Star Member
Aug 14, 2019
99
54
I must admit I was shocked that the influx of candidates increased *drastically*, compared to previous draw.

DrawIntervalITAsCRS471-600600-1200RATE (candidates/day)
1631442004724946331217
1641442004713950342205
1651445004713785454264
1662345004785850998266
1671250004724764348201
168750004692174185354
1691450004693345413375

Based on math, it looks like the previous draw almost empty the entire 469 pool, and on this one, 469 almost didn't make it.
Kinda mind blown that even at 5,000 ITAs, the demand continues to climb at this insane rate.
At this point, EE would be almost impossible for FSWs Outlanders if IRCC persisted with the 3,900 ITAs we used to think were "huge".

As always, people, try to improve your scores. The competition is getting harder and harder.
How can it be 375 ppl per day? All the 471 and above were cleared last time, so they are all new ppl entering 471-1200 range, there are3345+413= 3758 ppl with 471 and above in the last 2 weeks. So its 268 candidates per day, pretty much less compared to the few last draws.
On the #169, what insane is the number of ppl who were already in the pool that boosted their score to 469, it drags the tie breaking rule back to june
 

joconstantine

Hero Member
Mar 30, 2020
657
555
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0213
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
AOR Received.
01-08-2020
I must admit I was shocked that the influx of candidates increased *drastically*, compared to previous draw.

DrawIntervalITAsCRS471-600600-1200RATE (candidates/day)
1631442004724946331217
1641442004713950342205
1651445004713785454264
1662345004785850998266
1671250004724764348201
168750004692174185354
1691450004693345413375

Based on math, it looks like the previous draw almost empty the entire 469 pool, and on this one, 469 almost didn't make it.
Kinda mind blown that even at 5,000 ITAs, the demand continues to climb at this insane rate.
At this point, EE would be almost impossible for FSWs Outlanders if IRCC persisted with the 3,900 ITAs we used to think were "huge".

As always, people, try to improve your scores. The competition is getting harder and harder.
Some people reported increments in their profiles right before the draw happened. And they subsequently received the invitations.

https://www.reddit.com/r/ImmigrationCanada/comments/ka0ap2
 

joconstantine

Hero Member
Mar 30, 2020
657
555
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0213
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
AOR Received.
01-08-2020
Maybe they're from HongKong? There has been a recent prioritization for HK immigrants right?
I believe additional points have been officially given to people with Canadian experience.
 

huyypeter

Star Member
Aug 14, 2019
99
54
Maybe they're from HongKong? There has been a recent prioritization for HK immigrants right?
Idk abt this situation but the profile like that should score 500. I checked from other website's calculators, so they wont have the update yet in case ircc did give more score, and the results are all 500 with this profile. My guess is that he created the profile at the exact time when there was a glitch with the system, rmb the canadian exp, and he received 465, then the system was fixed and it gave him the right score
 

kolkata2019

Hero Member
Aug 19, 2019
246
59
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
delhi
Hi Guys for filling up the profile post ITA, I was trying to complete the education part. There are two fields. One which asks which degree you completed and the other about the ECA evaluation. So I got a bachelor's for my master's and I put it that way but on preview my score, it jumped to a higher score. Should I keep both as bachelor's? But in that case, the degree I submit will have masters written on it.
 

nikhilkbhat

Star Member
Nov 4, 2020
137
47
Hi Guys for filling up the profile post ITA, I was trying to complete the education part. There are two fields. One which asks which degree you completed and the other about the ECA evaluation. So I got a bachelor's for my master's and I put it that way but on preview my score, it jumped to a higher score. Should I keep both as bachelor's? But in that case, the degree I submit will have masters written on it.
Mention masters in degree and bachelors in ECA field.. just add a point in LOE that the system is considering the wrong field for computing scores in eAPR. This is a glitch in the system
 
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joshytu

Full Member
Dec 6, 2020
31
21
Damn my first ITA. There's a long road ahead now for gathering the submission documents & waiting to hear back from them. It is going to be difficult and now the reality of finding a suitable job in Canada hits!!
 

taurus22

Star Member
Apr 8, 2020
82
109
How can it be 375 ppl per day? All the 471 and above were cleared last time, so they are all new ppl entering 471-1200 range, there are3345+413= 3758 ppl with 471 and above in the last 2 weeks. So its 268 candidates per day, pretty much less compared to the few last draws.
On the #169, what insane is the number of ppl who were already in the pool that boosted their score to 469, it drags the tie breaking rule back to june
Yea, very shocking. I was expecting it to drop to 468 at least! CanPR predicted 466-468.
But the increase in pool could also be because 1) people rejected ITAs and got back in the pool, 2) existing profiles improved their score, 3) a lot of new profiles were added (now that ielts has resumed in major Indian cities).
 

ns317

Hero Member
Aug 29, 2019
264
262
This draw is great news not just to everyone who got the ITA, but also to those who are seeking to understand the pool inflow in two weeks.

Finally we have the backlog of several months fully cleared till 469. If we get a draw now after two weeks, we’ll see exactly what the two week inflow data is, without having to account for backlogs and other matters.
^ And now we know. 469 is the point where 2 week's inflow meets outflow at 5,000 invites. But keep in mind that this will be dynamic as the program demand will keep increasing. So 469 is likely to become 470 in a few weeks even with regular draws and so on.
 

jrossi

Hero Member
Jan 13, 2020
506
699
How can it be 375 ppl per day? All the 471 and above were cleared last time, so they are all new ppl entering 471-1200 range, there are3345+413= 3758 ppl with 471 and above in the last 2 weeks. So its 268 candidates per day, pretty much less compared to the few last draws.
On the #169, what insane is the number of ppl who were already in the pool that boosted their score to 469, it drags the tie breaking rule back to june
Here's the math:

(10848-(12007-(5000-2174-185))+3345+413)/14

10848 = number of people in the 461-470 range on draw 169
12007 = number of people in the 461-470 range on draw 168
 
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