Ray of Hope - 126th Draw

[13nitinsharma]

PREDICTION FOR TODAY'S DRAW:

ITA’s : 3,600 OR 3,750
CRS: 461-462

ITA’s: 3,900
CRS: 460-462

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!

 

[D'trox]

CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS
CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA (updated on Sept 17, 2019 9:20 pm UTC):-

• 460+ (Total 11): | prsingh: 1049 | Niksharma01: 1044 | tani_: 1042 | Mukeshparshada: 1041| Lena32: 1028 | SithLord: 463 | ACD: 462 | Fah_Nyz: 462 | damruchuran: 462 | Leftarmover: 461 | ntachi: 461 |

• 455-460 (Total 64) – | PrynkP: 460 | Ankoorva: 460 | DivyaS: 460 | Woqi114: 459 | Manish Patel: 459 | patel_d07: 459 | SolwayFirth: 459 | Sunsunny: 458 | ahsanshahbaz: 458 | fperk_83 : 458 | aninhabdl: 458 | Milanarora: 457 | #EEC: 457 | sahils123: 457 | Hope457: 457 | vinoth388: 457 | y996: 457 | cromaine: 457 | Twindream: 457 | yg96: 457 | Thumper : 457 | ArijitRoy: 457 | Limitless: 457 | Angel1113: 456 | cino86: 456 | Gsaggy: 456 | PrasadK: 456 | Silverwitch: 456 | tharibak: 456 | Hk07: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | Ishakharub: 456 | blessedveev: 456 | Maya53: 456 | Mitya-kun:456 | Captain789: 456 | Eqbal: 456 | Jay2019: 456 | Priyanka2010: 456 | Indian dentist1: 456 | daksh1803: 456 | Mustafa Ghias: 456 | nklrwt: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | merlz: 455 | Manish Patel: 455 | Dream Come-True: 455 | Harsha009: 455 | ruha: 455 | dreamcanada0224: 455 | Khushi dhanoa: 455 | roadtofreedom16: 455 | greenshma_aju: 455 | aagosh6188: 455 | cdddelhi: 455 |

• 454-450 (Total 57) - nadal87: 454 | johnlennonsouza: 454 | abdulkhadar.moh: 454 | chirag171987: 454 | SG1507: 454 | Mspa: 454 | SASH8288: 454 | thatguy1: 454 | snehamary007: 454 | ArsheyaBegum: 454 | itas: 454 | aun_syed: 454 | TD0911: 454 | strawy96: 453 | Aigbemare: 453 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | jricardobt: 453 | guyshir: 453 | lignumvitae: 453 | jp3189n : 453 | Jak2019: 453 | faith_works: 453 | Lizzybenzo: 453 | Canadaball: 453 | Tivativalu: 452 | daughty: 452 | Suhasrs: 452 | Jatinder_singh: 452 | delga: 452 | hmhk202: 452 | drrakeshdent: 452 | Catnat: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | captainUT: 451 | Sharath957: 451 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450 | Ranjitrip: 450 | Hasrat123: 450 | JamesKang: 450 | AtitudeAdjustment: 450 | deepika450: 450 | tanveer041: 450 |

• 445-449 (Total 65) - Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | Nikhil Pal: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | ssimmigration19: 449 | Rohitbnaik: 449 | os32: 449 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | Lazybug: 448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | Dewdrops1502: 448 | adil_0262: 448 | Shanky1202: 448 | Aartavsharma: 448 | tonyzz: 448 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | CananEE123: 446 | Islander5548: 446 | prince_lords:445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | IeltsDream2019: 445 | Vibuthi: 445 |

• 441-444 (Total 41)- Shaanoh: 444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | nns14: 444 | theafjioman: 444 | Rohanisha: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443 | CanucksRajiv : 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | akhil994: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | Sony K Koshy: 441 | WantToImmigrate: 441 | os32: 441 | vanibhoopathy: 441 |

• 435-440 (Total 17) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 | Hemilshah80: 435

• Below 435 (Total 7) - Life79: 432 | kumsa83: 432 | Day2203: 431 | Kleverveld: 428 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421

Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE FOR TOMMOROW'S DRAW!!!!

Please update my score from 447 to 472!
Thank you!

 

[fzmk111]

CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS
CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA (updated on Sept 17, 2019 9:20 pm UTC):-

• 460+ (Total 11): | prsingh: 1049 | Niksharma01: 1044 | tani_: 1042 | Mukeshparshada: 1041| Lena32: 1028 | SithLord: 463 | ACD: 462 | Fah_Nyz: 462 | damruchuran: 462 | Leftarmover: 461 | ntachi: 461 |

• 455-460 (Total 64) – | PrynkP: 460 | Ankoorva: 460 | DivyaS: 460 | Woqi114: 459 | Manish Patel: 459 | patel_d07: 459 | SolwayFirth: 459 | Sunsunny: 458 | ahsanshahbaz: 458 | fperk_83 : 458 | aninhabdl: 458 | Milanarora: 457 | #EEC: 457 | sahils123: 457 | Hope457: 457 | vinoth388: 457 | y996: 457 | cromaine: 457 | Twindream: 457 | yg96: 457 | Thumper : 457 | ArijitRoy: 457 | Limitless: 457 | Angel1113: 456 | cino86: 456 | Gsaggy: 456 | PrasadK: 456 | Silverwitch: 456 | tharibak: 456 | Hk07: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | Ishakharub: 456 | blessedveev: 456 | Maya53: 456 | Mitya-kun:456 | Captain789: 456 | Eqbal: 456 | Jay2019: 456 | Priyanka2010: 456 | Indian dentist1: 456 | daksh1803: 456 | Mustafa Ghias: 456 | nklrwt: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | merlz: 455 | Manish Patel: 455 | Dream Come-True: 455 | Harsha009: 455 | ruha: 455 | dreamcanada0224: 455 | Khushi dhanoa: 455 | roadtofreedom16: 455 | greenshma_aju: 455 | aagosh6188: 455 | cdddelhi: 455 |

• 454-450 (Total 57) - nadal87: 454 | johnlennonsouza: 454 | abdulkhadar.moh: 454 | chirag171987: 454 | SG1507: 454 | Mspa: 454 | SASH8288: 454 | thatguy1: 454 | snehamary007: 454 | ArsheyaBegum: 454 | itas: 454 | aun_syed: 454 | TD0911: 454 | strawy96: 453 | Aigbemare: 453 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | jricardobt: 453 | guyshir: 453 | lignumvitae: 453 | jp3189n : 453 | Jak2019: 453 | faith_works: 453 | Lizzybenzo: 453 | Canadaball: 453 | Tivativalu: 452 | daughty: 452 | Suhasrs: 452 | Jatinder_singh: 452 | delga: 452 | hmhk202: 452 | drrakeshdent: 452 | Catnat: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | captainUT: 451 | Sharath957: 451 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450 | Ranjitrip: 450 | Hasrat123: 450 | JamesKang: 450 | AtitudeAdjustment: 450 | deepika450: 450 | tanveer041: 450 |

• 445-449 (Total 65) - Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | Nikhil Pal: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | ssimmigration19: 449 | Rohitbnaik: 449 | os32: 449 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | Lazybug: 448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | Dewdrops1502: 448 | adil_0262: 448 | Shanky1202: 448 | Aartavsharma: 448 | tonyzz: 448 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | CananEE123: 446 | Islander5548: 446 | prince_lords:445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | IeltsDream2019: 445 | Vibuthi: 445 |

• 441-444 (Total 41)- Shaanoh: 444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | nns14: 444 | theafjioman: 444 | Rohanisha: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443 | CanucksRajiv : 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | akhil994: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | Sony K Koshy: 441 | WantToImmigrate: 441 | os32: 441 | vanibhoopathy: 441 |

• 435-440 (Total 17) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 | Hemilshah80: 435

• Below 435 (Total 7) - Life79: 432 | kumsa83: 432 | Day2203: 431 | Kleverveld: 428 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421

Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE FOR TOMMOROW'S DRAW!!!!

Please add me to this list.

451 points.

 

[Dheana90]

Dear experts

Need your help if we get the ita as single applicant. In that case how much time it will take for spouse to get pr. And will spouse get pr after some time or normal entry visa ?

Thanks

Did you put your status as single (unmarried)?

 

[yg96]

sure will check about these provincial programs. this is my best score I'm 36 with Masters and CLB 9 hopefully as a result of my EOR (got a message that my score is changing). do you know any other way that can help me to increase the score?

experience, learning french and have a decent score, if u can get a canadian job offer that will help too, gain more work experience

 

[Predator007]

Dear experts

Need your help if we get the ita as single applicant. In that case how much time it will take for spouse to get pr. And will spouse get pr after some time or normal entry visa ?
Even my scores goes up to 462 from 459 without spouse but I will wait till elections, there might be back to back draw before elections because if there is new government then they need time for alloting ministries and may be a gap of three weeks after elections

 

[cdddelhi]

Did you put your status as single (unmarried)?

No there is column accompanying spouse or not
It's not single or unmarried

In that case spouse will come later but it's married there is no point of married or unmarried

We are discussing spouse accompanying or not

 

[Dheana90]

No there is column accompanying spouse or not
It's not single or unmarried

In that case spouse with come later but it's married

Ok...you should have said unaccompanying spouse.

In that case, you can apply for her spouse/dependent PR once you reach Canada but it will take atleast 1 year I think

 

[hiiphy]

Hello, Its left for you to decide, move up to 462 and wait 12 to 14month after PR to move her to CANADA or wait for few draws for ITA to drop to 457 and move as a family. Whatever you decide let the choice be yours

 

[hamhk202]

The cutoff point today would be 452, because my score is 452

 

[Eli31]

The cutoff point today would be 452, because my score is 452

Well I'll let you know will be 449 as that's my score and at the end both will be winners

 

[rajapanesar]

The cutoff point today would be 452, because my score is 452

Well I'll let you know will be 449 as that's my score and at the end both will be winners

Why can't it be 420. It'll be nice.

 

[XpLoDe-NeF]

Last time it didn't notify me, I think it's quite useless...

It has never missed a draw with me. Maybe it's not compatible with your phone.

 

[Manish Patel]

Draw is happening soon, brothers and sisters !!! Let’s see what happens !!!

 

[Dheana90]

Let's estimate the CRS distribution pool and cut off score based on this our own internal tracker and previous CRS data.

After 20th Aug draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued and cut off 457, the CRS score distribution would have been:
601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-337=3,263)
451-600 = 5,345(8,608-3,263)
441-450 =8,189


CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of August 30, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200 =395
451-600 =6,826
441-450 =8,381

It means in 10 days from Aug 20 to Aug 30, there where:
601-1,200 = 40 profile/day (395/10days)

451-600 = 148 prof/day (6,826-5345 = 1,481/10days)

441-450 = 19prof/day(8,381-8,189= 192/10days)


So, by 4th September, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 = 595(395+ 200(40x 5days)
451-600 =7,566(6,826+740(148x5days))
441-450= 8,476(8,381+95(19x5days))

After 4th September draw with 3,600 ITA issued and cut off 463, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -595)
451-600 =4,561(7,566-3005)
441-450= 8,476

Note: As cut off was 463, it means that the 4,561 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-463 only. Let's assume that 4,561 are distributed equally to 451-463 score range. Thus, it makes 4,561/12= 380 profile per score.

By 18th September, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200 = 560 (40x 14days)
451-600 =6,623 (4,561+2,072(148x14days))
441-450= 8,742 (8,476+266(19x14days))

Suppose that from the newly added 2,072 profile from 4th Sep -18th Sep, it will be distributed equally to (451 - 464 to 600). Thus,it will make 2,072/14=148profile/score. Based on our internal tracker, we have also 5 people having 1000+ score. Let's multiple that by 100= 500 but I will still use 560 for this estimation.


So, if CIC still gonna issue 3,600 ITAs the cut off score will be approximately 458-459
3,600 minus:
-560(601-1200)
-148 (of 464-600 newly added score)
-380 (of 4,561 of 463 left after 4 Sep draw)
-148 (of 463 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 462 left after 4 sep draw)
-148(of 104 of 462 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 461 left after 4 sep draw)
-148 (of 104 of 461 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 460 left after 4 sep draw)
-148 (of 460score newly added)
-380 (of 4561 of 459 left after 4 Sep draw)
-148 (of 459 newly added score)
-252 (of 380 of 4561 of 458 left after 4Sep draw)


with 3,900 ITA, the cut of score will be aporoximately 457-458.
3,900 minus:
560(601-1200)
-148 (of 464-600 newly added score)
-380 (of 4,561 of 463 left after 4 Sep draw)
-148 (of 463 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 462 left after 4 sep draw)
-148(of 104 of 462 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 461 left after 4 sep draw)
-148 (of 104 of 461 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 460 left after 4 sep draw)
-148 (of 460score newly added)
-380 (of 4561 of 459 left after 4 Sep draw)
-148 (of 459 newly added score)
-380 ( of 4561 of 458 left after 4Sep draw)
-148 (of 458 newly added score)
-24 (of 380 of 4,561 of 457 left after 4 Sep)

Ok. As we have a new 1000+ and 472 in our internal tracker, I will do the calculation again

After 20th Aug draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued and cut off 457, the CRS score distribution would have been:
601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-337=3,263)
451-600 = 5,345(8,608-3,263)
441-450 =8,189

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of August 30, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200 =395
451-600 =6,826
441-450 =8,381

It means in 10 days from Aug 20 to Aug 30, there where:
601-1,200 = 40 profile/day (395/10days)

451-600 = 148 prof/day (6,826-5345 = 1,481/10days)

441-450 = 19prof/day(8,381-8,189= 192/10days)


So, by 4th September, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 = 595(395+ 200(40x 5days)
451-600 =7,566(6,826+740(148x5days))
441-450= 8,476(8,381+95(19x5days))

After 4th September draw with 3,600 ITA issued and cut off 463, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -595)
451-600 =4,561(7,566-3005)
441-450= 8,476

Note: As cut off was 463, it means that the 4,561 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-463 only. Let's assume that 4,561 are distributed equally to 451-463 score range. Thus, it makes 4,561/12= 380 profile per score.

By 18th September, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200 = 560 (40x 14days)
451-600 =6,623 (4,561+2,072(148x14days))
441-450= 8,742 (8,476+266(19x14days))

Suppose that from the newly added 2,072 profile from 4th Sep -18th Sep, it will be distributed equally to (451 - 472 to 600). Thus,it will make 2,072/22=94profile/score. Based on our internal tracker, we have also 7 people having 1000+ score. Let's multiple that by 100= 700


So, if CIC still gonna issue 3,600 ITAs the cut off score will be approximately 459-460
3,600 minus:
-700(601-1200)
-94 (of 472-600 newly added score)
-94 (of 471 newly added score)
-94 (of 470 newly added score)
-94 (of 469 newly added score)
-94 (of 468 newly added score)
-94 (of 467 newly added score)
-94 (of 466 newly added score)
-94 (of 465 newly added score)
-94 (of 464 newly added score)
-380 (of 4,561 of 463 left after 4 Sep draw)
-94 (of 463 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 462 left after 4 sep draw)
-94(of 104 of 462 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 461 left after 4 sep draw)
-94 (of 104 of 461 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 460 left after 4 sep draw)
-94 (of 460score newly added)
-158 (of 380 of 4561 of 459 left after 4Sep draw)


with 3,900 ITA, the cut of score will be aporoximately 458-459.
3,900 minus:
-700(601-1200)
-94 (of 472-600 newly added score)
-94 (of 471 newly added score)
-94 (of 470 newly added score)
-94 (of 469 newly added score)
-94 (of 468 newly added score)
-94 (of 467 newly added score)
-94 (of 466 newly added score)
-94 (of 465 newly added score)
-94 (of 464 newly added score)
-380 (of 4,561 of 463 left after 4 Sep draw)
-94 (of 463 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 462 left after 4 sep draw)
-94(of 104 of 462 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 461 left after 4 sep draw)
-94 (of 104 of 461 newly added score)
-380 (of 4561 of 460 left after 4 sep draw)
-94 (of 460 newly added score)
-380 (of 380 of 4561 of 459 left after 4Sep draw)
-94 (of 459 newly added score)
-380 (of 380 of 4,561 of 458 left after 4 Sep)
-78 (of 458 newly added score)