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Hello everyone, i understand there is a lot of uncertainty but i was hoping for some thoughts and dialogue around individuals who applied about 2 years ago, and received their AIP. I understand processing times have increased, but what do you predict to:

1. How accurate are those times, for instance on 8th October the website showed it will be 24 months, but as of 9th October with updates it shows 49 months remaining

2. What is the future like for one’s with AIP specifically and have background check partially completed like info sharing and security screening. Pending medical (no request yet) and pending criminality

3. How does one apply for workpermit? Can anyone apply for this if they have AIP? Are there age restrictions?

Everyone has anxiety and questions and are normal but thought id check with all your experts and see your opinions/feedback
@canuck78
 
i see alot of people in the group are so toxic they don’t wanna talk about those who are on the second stage for example if you have allready have AIP is ur application going to be cancelled according or speculation the upcoming change on the next 3 weeks bill c-12 ?

canada and ircc has record of cancellation of program like what happen in 2012 those who there application was processed means has AIP they have nothing to do whith change . it will gone effect only the application that has not been processed or has no decision like the following article back in 2012.

REMEMBER COVID EVERY BODY THOUGHT ITS BAD AND WORLD IS ENDING BUT HOUSING MARKET WENT UP AND LIVE WAS GOOD TRUCKING WAS GOOD VISA WAS EASY RENT WAS CHEAP


change is not bad. it my gone bring a program that is way quicker and easier . remember covid every body thought the world is ending on silent street whith 401 there is no single car running and see how busy now everything read this artical have tea and chill nothing to worry about.

If approved, the department will close files of potential immigrants who applied under the Federal Skilled Worker Program before Feb. 27, 2008 if an immigration officer did not make a decision on their case by the end of March.

The move is expected to affect around 280,000 people, including the applicants and their dependants.
 
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i have seen 401 whith zero car passing . and flight cancelled and no single person going out from his house . there is allways Positive thing coming this change my be is gone bring good thing never lose hope and don’t stress something u cant fix
never lose hope . there is astronauts living in the space. waking up tomorrow to stay the same small hole he is . every body come to canada for having a plan . never lose hope and dont let government issuesdistract ur goal of becoming something
 
Hello everyone, i understand there is a lot of uncertainty but i was hoping for some thoughts and dialogue around individuals who applied about 2 years ago, and received their AIP. I understand processing times have increased, but what do you predict to:

1. How accurate are those times, for instance on 8th October the website showed it will be 24 months, but as of 9th October with updates it shows 49 months remaining

2. What is the future like for one’s with AIP specifically and have background check partially completed like info sharing and security screening. Pending medical (no request yet) and pending criminality (not started yet)

3. How does one apply for workpermit? Can anyone apply for this if they have AIP? Are there age restrictions?

Everyone has anxiety and questions and are normal but thought id check with all your experts and see your opinions/feedback

1. They are pretty accurate if there are no changes to the H&C applicants or yearly PR allocations. Sadly the previous processing times had been inaccurate for quite some time which was evident if you looked at the backlog of applications and PR targets. The math didn’t math.
2. We don’t know what would happen to AIPs if for example the program was cancelled. There is a significant backlog of AIPs as well.
3. Yes you can apply for a WP if you have AIP. I haven’t noticed any changes to AIPs being awarded WPs. I would be curious to know if people do run into issues and what length of WP gets awarded. Not sure what you mean by age restriction? Does your H&C application include minors? Do the applicants have status at the moment? What status and when does it expire? Are you in Quebec?
 
No they won't hear the minister comments on humanitarian at the end of the video on youtube.


She said nothing about the H&C program. Also made no comments about not reforming any immigration program. She basically didn’t say anything although she is not a good public speaker so I can understand some may have misinterpreted what she said.
 
1. They are pretty accurate if there are no changes to the H&C applicants or yearly PR allocations. Sadly the previous processing times had been inaccurate for quite some time which was evident if you looked at the backlog of applications and PR targets. The math didn’t math.
2. We don’t know what would happen to AIPs if for example the program was cancelled. There is a significant backlog of AIPs as well.
3. Yes you can apply for a WP if you have AIP. I haven’t noticed any changes to AIPs being awarded WPs. I would be curious to know if people do run into issues and what length of WP gets awarded. Not sure what you mean by age restriction? Does your H&C application include minors? Do the applicants have status at the moment? What status and when does it expire? Are you in Quebec?
Changes in the laws or introduction of new laws are normally applied prospectively. The applications which has already been processed especially for those who have AIP, mean their applications have already passed the eligibility under the Laws applicable at that point in time. I do not believe AIPs will be cancelled even if the whole program is cancelled, which even does not seems to be possibility. Only impact on those who have AIPs is the processing time, every thing else being equal.
 
Changes in the laws or introduction of new laws are normally applied prospectively. The applications which has already been processed especially for those who have AIP, mean their applications have already passed the eligibility under the Laws applicable at that point in time. I do not believe AIPs will be cancelled even if the whole program is cancelled, which even does not seems to be possibility. Only impact on those who have AIPs is the processing time, every thing else being equal.

Until you are a PR you can technically be affected by any changes to a program. We are seeing applicants in other PR programs reach P2, get COPRs and even in some very rare cases get PR and then have their application cancelled due to some issue with their application. The whole point of c-12 would be to allow IRCC to cancel applications, permits, visas while active or during processing so the whole point is not to be prospective law. How asylum claimants will be addressed is still somewhat in the air still and may require another bill. We would only be guessing when it comes to how AIPs will be treated if the program was cancelled. AIP never guaranteed PR during normal processing. It was essentially a large step towards PR.
 
In the same statement you are quoting the minister stated her role is to reduce overall immigration. What is suspect will likely be announced is a shift to more regional immigration and category draws like healthcare, education, etc. versus more general immigration programs. French immigration draws outside of Quebec will also continue. This just shifts allocations. Hopefully there will be a pause on some programs from outside of Canada to clear some backlogs. The quota for all H&C is so small I don’t know how they could reduce it even more than the 2027 target of 4500. Tough to say if there will be any mention of plans to tackle the mess that is asylum/refugees and H&C or IRCC will wait until C12 hopefully passes.

https://halifax.citynews.ca/2025/10...nt-nominee-programs-get-late-year-boost-diab/

What effect will Bill C12 have on H&C applications?
 
It seems there is opposition to Bill C12 and this confirms what I predicted since June that bill C2 and its modified version Bill C12 would not pass easily and it may be struck down by the courts.
I hope they will not pass the bill. H&C is the last resort for me and I have been living here for 9 years.