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Lixa

Star Member
Oct 10, 2020
142
121
Hello everyone, I need your help! I desperately try to reconnect my profil to a new Cic GC key and it always says that they cannot find the profile I give informations for... Did someone already reconnect his profile to a new key?
 

KojiGold

Star Member
Aug 5, 2021
166
169
Nobody knows. It's strange that they specified FSW and CEC, and kept it separate from PNP. My guess would be that they have separate FSW and CEC draws. Why? Because if they combine the two, a lot of CECs will not get invited until next year, let's be honest. And Canada won't want their cash cows to feel any inconvenience.

Couple of things here:
1. They didn't have separate PNP draws in the history of EE. Until they did. They didn't stop FSW in the history of EE. Until they did. Historical data means literally nothing here. The sooner you accept that, the better it will be for your sanity. All you're trying to do with this is trying to find patterns in history that confirm your existing biases. It is entirely pointless.

2. Remember that people graduate in May. So if someone graduated last year, started working in July, they will become EE eligible by the time draws resume. So more CECs with scores more than yours. Same logic for FSWs completing 3 years of exp around that time. So I'd expect a lot more people entering the pool by the time draws resume.

Back before all this shit started, anything above 456 was considered a great score. Then 470 was considered safe. With a 478, I imagine you're right at the border of what would be considered a safe score. I can't say if you'll get invited this year or not. All I'll say is if you get an OINP nomination, go for it. Don't be a shortsighted moron like some others on this forum by choosing to wait for an FSW invite (which may not come) just to save $1500.
1. You are very correct mate. The moment you start to find a pattern based on which you can predict anything regarding Express Entry, you are done.
2. That is a point I have not even thought about.
Bro, I would absolutely welcome any PNP with open arms at any point. I wouldn't risk a minute waiting for FSW if I have a PNP offer in hand. 1500 CAD$ vs your immigration future? That is such an insane gamble.
Appreciate your comments as always. With your score, most probably you are only a few weeks away from an ITA. I hope the best for everyone here.
 

James D. Ryan

Full Member
Mar 13, 2019
24
8
Hi all,

I have received an ADR and would like to seek your opinions on some points below. Really appreciate your help!

1. Client information:
  • I was asked to provide "additional supporting documents for my employer (Employment contract, pay stubs, etc.)". As there is no specific period mentioned for pay stubs, can I please ask how many of them should I provide? (IRCC also asked for "Evidence of account activity for the past six months" - does it mean the last 6 months is normally the requirement?)
2. Schedule A (IMM 5669):
  • I am unable to (a) add rows to existing tables in the form and (b) widen the column size (i.e., parts of very long school names are missing). In this case, should I add a letter of explanation with the form, filling in all missing rows and columns?
Thank you all and nice weekend!
 

Vidnomenon

Star Member
Oct 19, 2021
150
191
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1123
AOR Received.
06-01-2021
Med's Done....
27-10-2020
Passport Req..
20-06-2022
Hi all,

I have received an ADR and would like to seek your opinions on some points below. Really appreciate your help!

1. Client information:
  • I was asked to provide "additional supporting documents for my employer (Employment contract, pay stubs, etc.)". As there is no specific period mentioned for pay stubs, can I please ask how many of them should I provide? (IRCC also asked for "Evidence of account activity for the past six months" - does it mean the last 6 months is normally the requirement?)
2. Schedule A (IMM 5669):
  • I am unable to (a) add rows to existing tables in the form and (b) widen the column size (i.e., parts of very long school names are missing). In this case, should I add a letter of explanation with the form, filling in all missing rows and columns?
Thank you all and nice weekend!
1. All the pay stubs you can get & Just the last 6 months as indicated

2. Please look at the instructions at the top of the form. You can add another sheet on your own but you have to fill it as directed. (I missed it too at first).
 
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James D. Ryan

Full Member
Mar 13, 2019
24
8
1. All the pay stubs you can get & Just the last 6 months as indicated

2. Please look at the instructions at the top of the form. You can add another sheet on your own but you have to fill it as directed. (I missed it too at first).
Thank you!

Regarding the pay stubs question, as each year I have a personal income tax finalization, listing all gross salary, tax and deductions for the entire year. Is there any chance that it can be used in place of 12 pay stubs per year?
 
D

Deleted member 1006777

Guest
1. You are very correct mate. The moment you start to find a pattern based on which you can predict anything regarding Express Entry, you are done.
2. That is a point I have not even thought about.
Bro, I would absolutely welcome any PNP with open arms at any point. I wouldn't risk a minute waiting for FSW if I have a PNP offer in hand. 1500 CAD$ vs your immigration future? That is such an insane gamble.
Appreciate your comments as always. With your score, most probably you are only a few weeks away from an ITA. I hope the best for everyone here.
Np. My score actually dropped due to age. Haven't checked my profile in a while. Come to think of it, I need to consider creating a new profile now vs. waiting for the next OINP since my profile expires in June. Damnit.
 
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slavicgirl

Hero Member
Oct 27, 2021
301
223
Hey guys, hope all doing well
After being disappointed with the OINP again, now we finally received very positive news of their plan to resume FSW draws by July (Which they have already mentioned earlier as well early this year if I am not mistaken).
Now, considering my score of 478, do you guys think I have any chance of receiving an ITA within this year? My IELTS will be valid till early 2023 only, and I have zero motivation in redoing an IELTS for Canada.
Shall I be hopeful to receive an invitation by this year? I was an inch away from the OINP invitation that suddenly it disappeared again...So now all my hopes on this announcement regarding their July plan.
Any comments are appreciated guys
Same shoes buddy, sitting at 478 waiting for a FSW invite.
If it is the same old FSW with biweekly draws I would say that 2000/draw. Every invite after 2023 February won’t make the landing in 2023 thus won’t be able to contribute to 2023 fsw target which is 75K as far as I can recall. So invites between 2022 July and 2023 February will contribute to 2023 target. If we expect usual biweekly draws that means approximately 20 draws in that period. 2000*20=40K. Taking into account that most people have families or at least one dependent (on average), 40K invite can cover 80K people and they are done with 2023.
My math is not so precise, probably invites after 2023 Jan won’t be able to make in in 2023 then it means ircc has roughly 15 invitation rounds to invite those 40K people then 3000/draw is likely.
I think you are safe if your ielts expires only next year. I am losing point in Nov due to age, I think I won’t going to make it if thr draw size is 2000K:/ with 3000K, probably. I would be happy with 2024 landing though (I want to land in summer and not work for a month or two. That would be like a dream :D)
 
Last edited:

KojiGold

Star Member
Aug 5, 2021
166
169
Np. My score actually dropped due to age. Haven't checked my profile in a while. Come to think of it, I need to consider creating a new profile now vs. waiting for the next OINP since my profile expires in June. Damnit.
I got the same issue too. I was only 43 days away to be included in the last OINP considering their rule of "profile creation date". I gotta make a new profile too, I guess mine will expire by mid-june. As someone with a score of 478, I am already so disappointed that I have not managed to receive an ITA yet...And then there are people like you with scores above 500. All I can say is I hope the 2nd half of 2022 will be our time.
 

KojiGold

Star Member
Aug 5, 2021
166
169
Same shoes buddy, sitting at 478 waiting for a FSW invite.
If it is the same old FSW with biweekly draws I would say that 2000/draw. Every invite after 2023 February won’t make the landing in 2023 thus won’t be able to contribute to 2023 fsw target which is 75K as far as I can recall. So invites between 2022 July and 2023 February will contribute to 2023 target. If we expect usual biweekly draws that means approximately 20 draws in that period. 2000*20=40K. Taking into account that most people have families or at least one dependent (on average), 40K invite can cover 80K people and they are done with 2023.
My math is not so precise, probably invites after 2023 Jan won’t be able to make in in 2023 then it means ircc has roughly 15 invitation rounds to invite those 40K people then 3000/draw is likely.
I think you are safe if your ielts expires only next year. I am losing point in Nov due to age, I think I won’t going to make it if thr draw size is 2000K:/ with 3000K, probably. I would be happy with 2024 landing though (I want to land in summer and not work for a month or two. That would be like a dream :D)
You got some good math skills girl...Yeah, I also think we in the 470s range should be safe, especially if draw sizes are 5000-6000. But anyway I don't really wanna get back to all those prediction stuff that has been the trend back in early-mid 2021 :) I mean look at it, one day they say it gonna take 27 months for your files to proceed, 2 weeks later they say we are going back to 6 months standard...
My parents and fiance no more show any reaction whenever I share Express Entry news with them, they just give me a bitter smile hahaha.
Let's be optimistic and wait 5-6 more weeks...At least this time we are not hopeful out of guesses and predictions of random Youtubers :)
 

Vidnomenon

Star Member
Oct 19, 2021
150
191
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1123
AOR Received.
06-01-2021
Med's Done....
27-10-2020
Passport Req..
20-06-2022
Thank you!

Regarding the pay stubs question, as each year I have a personal income tax finalization, listing all gross salary, tax and deductions for the entire year. Is there any chance that it can be used in place of 12 pay stubs per year?
It's better to include more information, not less. You can add the income tax report but not in place of your paystubs
 

slavicgirl

Hero Member
Oct 27, 2021
301
223
Same shoes buddy, sitting at 478 waiting for a FSW invite.
If it is the same old FSW with biweekly draws I would say that 2000/draw. Every invite after 2023 February won’t make the landing in 2023 thus won’t be able to contribute to 2023 fsw target which is 75K as far as I can recall. So invites between 2022 July and 2023 February will contribute to 2023 target. If we expect usual biweekly draws that means approximately 20 draws in that period. 2000*20=40K. Taking into account that most people have families or at least one dependent (on average), 40K invite can cover 80K people and they are done with 2023.
My math is not so precise, probably invites after 2023 Jan won’t be able to make in in 2023 then it means ircc has roughly 15 invitation rounds to invite those 40K people then 3000/draw is likely.
I think you are safe if your ielts expires only next year. I am losing point in Nov due to age, I think I won’t going to make it if thr draw size is 2000K:/ with 3000K, probably. I would be happy with 2024 landing though (I want to land in summer and not work for a month or two. That would be like a dream :D)
All those sleepless nights to become an engineer:D but still that couldn’t prepare me how unpredictable immigration to Canada can be:) all these speculations seem worthless because everything can change in a blink of an eye
 

KojiGold

Star Member
Aug 5, 2021
166
169
All those sleepless nights to become an engineer:D but still that couldn’t prepare me how unpredictable immigration to Canada can be:) all these speculations seem worthless because everything can change in a blink of an eye
That's exactly what I have learned throughout these months since I entered the EE pool. Neither good nor bad news should make you feel anything. If something happened, then you can talk about it or plan for it. Other than that, just continue with your life and do not expect anything.
The most recent proof to this was the OINP that finally removed the CRS score limit, I was once again so happy and fell into the trap of the prediction game that there will be another OINP in March...And then here we are hahaha
 

ElvisRamaj

Hero Member
Apr 26, 2021
824
1,861
33
Tirana, AL
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0114
Same shoes buddy, sitting at 478 waiting for a FSW invite.
If it is the same old FSW with biweekly draws I would say that 2000/draw. Every invite after 2023 February won’t make the landing in 2023 thus won’t be able to contribute to 2023 fsw target which is 75K as far as I can recall. So invites between 2022 July and 2023 February will contribute to 2023 target. If we expect usual biweekly draws that means approximately 20 draws in that period. 2000*20=40K. Taking into account that most people have families or at least one dependent (on average), 40K invite can cover 80K people and they are done with 2023.
My math is not so precise, probably invites after 2023 Jan won’t be able to make in in 2023 then it means ircc has roughly 15 invitation rounds to invite those 40K people then 3000/draw is likely.
I think you are safe if your ielts expires only next year. I am losing point in Nov due to age, I think I won’t going to make it if thr draw size is 2000K:/ with 3000K, probably. I would be happy with 2024 landing though (I want to land in summer and not work for a month or two. That would be like a dream :D)
I would like to point out that if people invited after July will get their files processed within 6 months, then every invitation between July 2022 to June 2023 will count towards 2023 intake and will land next year.

A draw between 2000 - 2500 biweekly seems reasonable in my opinion considering the PNP intake forecasts. In 2019, they were inviting about 3600 biweekly, when the FSW rate was set at 115K per year.
 

Emil1

Hero Member
Aug 18, 2019
352
331
Score descending to 473 next week.
I hope to be chosen at least in OINP before January when my IELTS will expire.

Otherwise I will have to study again and retake the IELTS.