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Ray of Hope 67th Draw

Arod

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May 15, 2017
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There is bad news in the latest stats. The average number of candidates 401+ added per day over the past 4 weeks = 316 candidate.

If this trend continues, we will not see the score go to 400, given that they do only one ~3500 round every two weeks.
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You mean it won´t go down to 400 soon or never?

If so, how low do you think it will fall?
 

canada_dreamer

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Apr 10, 2017
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Those who are plannong to take the oinp route should apply now. Ppl were waiting and number of applications were low and they processed the applications real fast. I think a lot more people will apply after today's draw.
 
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ivancabrer

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Hey, nice calculation. Did you try to calculate how many ITAs will they issue for 2017 until they satisfy the quota (until cca October)? That would tell a lot.
I din't do that, because we have no way to know how many rejected ITAs they've sent this year. That's why, even if they have an amount left to send from the quota, they may be adding the rejected or refused invitations. So I just assumed the ITAs sent as 3400 for each draw date.
 

ivancabrer

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There is bad news in the latest stats. The average number of candidates 401+ added per day over the past 4 weeks = 316 candidate.

If this trend continues, we will not see the score go to 400, given that they do only one ~3500 round every two weeks.
If it's just a temporary spike of candidates who just added their french/sibling points, in addition to graduating university/masters students, then we should expect the # of Candidates/day added to decrease in the next two rounds. I will watch the next two rounds closely to determine the trend of the # of Candidates added/day to predict what's going to happen moving forward.
Hello @Immime2017 , remember that rise could be due to the changes (as you've said). Every candidate below 400 that had good french level o brothers in Canada, could have seen their score rising to 400+.
So I agree that next draw we could have cleaner statistics.
 

KingKurly

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"mqamar1994, post: 6133720, member: 597460"]I too thought the same mate. I Wonder why they showcased the tie breaker rule then[/QUOTE]
Maybe the system calculating tie-break thing is still not ready. Can't be a bluff.
 
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Immime2017

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May 5, 2017
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You mean it won´t go down to 400 soon or never?

If so, how low do you think it will fall?
Not in the foreseeable future, not with that average. For the score to go down, you need the average # of candidate added per day over 401 to be lower than 250 when they are taking ~3500 every two week. Right now, it was 316 over the last 4 weeks of stats, and an average of 266 added per day over the period from March 29th.
 
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KingKurly

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OTE="mqamar1994, post: 6133730, member: 597460"]@KingKurly mate his stats are spot on always. Looks like CRS will go down eventually but it will take a bit more time than expected[/QUOTE]
Yea he is a highly respected member here. When he writes, all sensible members read for sure.
 

KingKurly

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TE="ankitptrivedi, post: 6133739, member: 675860"]The 3409 ITA's issued today, are they out of the pool completely? Or only those who accept ITA before the next draw are out?[/QUOTE]
They are all out of the pool as of today.