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Ray of Hope - 133rd Draw

jskywalker

Full Member
Oct 2, 2019
21
16
Canada
Category........
CEC
Visa Office......
Etobicoke
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
27-08-2019
Passport Req..
17-09-2019
VISA ISSUED...
09-10-2019
LANDED..........
22-10-2019
GUYS,
I think people like us, who have CRS below 470 should start looking alternatives. WHY???

1. If you observe draws from Oct 2nd till now, it can be seen that around 2500 candidates with CRS 470 and above enter into the pool every two weeks, CONSISTENTLY. Also, around 800 PNP candidates with CRS 600+ enter into the pool. So, the total of people with CRS 470 to 1200 every two weeks is around 3300. In my view, IRCC will conduct two draws every week with invitations ranging between 3300 to 3600 in 2020. That means only new candidates with 470+ will be selected. By the way, I am not even considering the growth trend in the pool. On August, only 1500 people with 470+ used to enter the pool, and in October it was 2500. What if around 3000 people with CRS 470 to 600 enter into the pool. That's scary.

2. In order for CRS to go down by 1 point each, IRCC has to conduct draws with at least 3600 invitations. Invitations of 3900 might take the cut-off down by 2 points, but this seems highly unlikely.

3. So guys, if there is no back to back draw this month, I bet CRS will never come below 470. Plus, the backlog of candidates with CRS 470 and below is steeply rising.

Please explore whatever option is left with you, and do it fast(DON'T WAIT). Just don't sit idle. I myself have CRS of 465 and with IELTS could improve to 474 with CLB 10 in all four modules, which is going to be extremely tough, and I'm not even talking about the pain of spending thousands of rupees to take IELTS. Let's be hopeful, and work our ass off to get the CRS above 470. Good luck guys!
This was very clear back in May...

I was in the range of 450s and I expected the score to go up into the space. So I didn't waste anytime and took IELTS again in July. Got ITA right after receiving my results and got my PR now.

People really need to see into the future, not just hoping history would just repeat itself.

If CLB9999 is what keeping you from getting 470+, go retake that goddamn IELTS instead of whining here. If you say that's impossible, then your Canada dream is just day dreaming.
 

a-imperator

Star Member
Aug 14, 2019
109
49
This was very clear back in May...

I was in the range of 450s and I expected the score to go up into the space. So I didn't waste anytime and took IELTS again in July. Got ITA right after receiving my results and got my PR now.

People really need to see into the future, not just hoping history would just repeat itself.

If CLB9999 is what keeping you from getting 470+, go retake that goddamn IELTS instead of whining here. If you say that's impossible, then your Canada dream is just day dreaming.
but nOoOoO.. CIC is intentionally inflating the score because... well...the reason is... im not sure... but ITS OBVIOUS THEY ARE WORKING AGAINST US!!
I do enjoy this forum very much I wont lie.
 

nikki1992

Star Member
Dec 1, 2014
109
31
Category........
CEC
NOC Code......
2282
December
December 11, 2019
Important Notice
Issuance of Notifications of Interest under Ontario’s Express Entry Skilled Trades stream
On December 11, 2019 the Ontario Immigrant Nominee Program (OINP) issued Notifications of Interest (NOIs) to candidates who may qualify for Ontario’s Express Entry Skilled Trades stream.

NOIs were issued to candidates who had a Comprehensive Ranking Score (CRS) between 410 and 479.

If you received a NOI, please visit the Skilled Trades stream webpage for information about program criteria and how to apply.

Applications will be accepted and considered under the OINP’s 2020 nomination allocation.

https://www.ontario.ca/page/2019-ontario-immigrant-nominee-program-updates
 
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jskywalker

Full Member
Oct 2, 2019
21
16
Canada
Category........
CEC
Visa Office......
Etobicoke
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
27-08-2019
Passport Req..
17-09-2019
VISA ISSUED...
09-10-2019
LANDED..........
22-10-2019
you should ask your spouse.

Jeez what a crazy spike 2019 had.... It was stable for the entirety of 2018... Very unsettling but I believe 2020 will be a stable year.. It will not fluctuate more than 10 points increase or decrease.
LOL what the heck are you saying?

I saw a spike of 900 in 2018. In 2019 I only see stable increase. I would say 2019 is much more stable than 2018. 2020 would just be the same as 2019, stable increase throughout the year.

It's becoming a common knowledge to temporary workers in US that getting Canada PR is much easier than waiting for their H1B in US, not to mention PR in US. How do you think those highly educated and skilled workers applying to Canada EE going to affect the score? Well you've been observing it since mid-year this year. The score will only slowly creep upwards.
 
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Reactions: journey21

jskywalker

Full Member
Oct 2, 2019
21
16
Canada
Category........
CEC
Visa Office......
Etobicoke
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
27-08-2019
Passport Req..
17-09-2019
VISA ISSUED...
09-10-2019
LANDED..........
22-10-2019
but nOoOoO.. CIC is intentionally inflating the score because... well...the reason is... im not sure... but ITS OBVIOUS THEY ARE WORKING AGAINST US!!
I do enjoy this forum very much I wont lie.
Me too. Some people's thoughts are quiet entertaining. I'm glad I only started browsing this forum after my immigration is settled. It's fun to watch people day dreaming.
 

journey21

Hero Member
Dec 25, 2014
308
122
People should stop writing/saying the phrase "Canadian dream"
because it is anything but that.
Please realise that once here and landed, it's A LOT of hard work
and sacrifice, all the more especially so since Canada is expensive.
Darn expensive.
So the phrase "Canadian dream", to me, is quite an oxymoron at best
and misleading at worst.
 

Yue

Full Member
Aug 18, 2018
49
52
That sucks. They should truly give preference to those who invested and studies in Canada.
Couldn't agree more. I spent 8 years in Canada before I became PR. I had to work like a dog too with poor wage and no complain at all, so my boss can be happy not to fire me and write me the employment letter.
Maybe they should consider number of years in Canada as a factor.
 

a16107

Hero Member
Apr 14, 2016
885
228
Guys, I'm following this ROH forums since my CRS at 439 and the ITA score was 440 (Aug 2018), I increased mine to 449 and then 451 and yet all in vain. I contacted some senior members of the ministry and knew that Canada's plan is to limit the Federal EE which you all know better than me end up to live in GTA and Vancouver. The government needs people for developing provinces instead of Ontario and BC. This is an official fact, you all should understand and respect. Why should CIC want 440-450s while a pile of +470s are in the queue. Qualitatively, if you are the Canadian minister of immigration why won't you prefer younger, more educated and more fluent guys in English and French to come to Canada. Why the heck should I care about desperate people of other developing countries? ( sorry If I seem cruel and negative)

So in July 2019 ( after the FST mess and CRS shoot up), I applied in PIE and Manitoba first of course with a very low hope. Also, just 3 months ago I submitted EOI for SINP EE the moment they changed the in-demand list to the more inclusive list of NOCs. They have invited a figure like 4-5 thousands people recently and for sure this will even increase more the CRS next year. To encourage all and boost everyone's morale, for the program of SINP ISW EE and with my NOC 0016: Senior Managers and 10y of work experience the below timeline happened:
SINP ITA October 2nd
Submitted Application November 8th
No ADR, it took 2.5 weeks to become "In Process"
Nomination December 2nd
Almost 24 days total length, processing just 7 days while the processing time on the website is mentioned to be 10 months!

Today, my Federal ITA is also received ( my score was 1046) and I hope CIC will not make excuses to reject.
As conclusion, rely on PNP and stop dreaming to live in Ontario and BC from the beginning, especially those of you with the education or work experience in Canada.
Manitoba is no job at all compare to Ontario, QC and BC