@mushymush please don't confuse the TR2PR quota with that of FHS.Yes guys have a little hope lmfao
I swear people are incapable of learning. Draw size could be backlog related. But more likely it is related to the reduced size of of FHS altogether. Assuming a 6 month processing standard, we can say that they will accept applications for the 2023 quota until mid 2023. With one draw every two weeks that's 0.5*52*1500 = 39,000. FHS quota is 75k. That leaves around 35k. There is some talk of how TR2PR will be included in FHS.
Let's put these pieces together. What's more likely: Canada trying to logically reduce the backlog? Or are they trying to accomodate for for TR2PR which we already know will be announced in September?
Interesting how neatly it all adds up. They ruined immigration with TR2PR last year. Now they cut the overall quota in half. It's just a whimsical coincidence that 35k TR2PR would be a little under half of 90k from the last iteration, right?
But yeah have hope guyzzz god will help us!!11
Can draw sizes increase? Sure. Are they likely to? Not really.
Edit: To anyone who didn't follow my rage induced rant, overall quota was cut by half AND TR2PR is now part of FHS (unconfirmed, but likely). What this means is that to make room for TR2PR, FHS was actually to cut to 33% of the original value (it was originally around 120k, now it will be around 40k), and TR2PR will be cut by a little over half (it was originally 90k, now it's around 35k). So if we were to see biweekly draws of 1500, we would meet these numbers. We may even see a large draw once, but don't get excited. IMO that would signify an upcoming FST draw.
For 2022 the TR2PR quota is 40,000, meaning all the 40k invited last year already have their place in the immigration plan of this year.
For 2023, the quota for TR2PR is already set at 32,000, this is what Sean Fraser has to fill and come up with a plan in September. None of them are part of the Express Entry and thus part of the FHS.
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2022-2024.html
The 75k reserved to Federal High Skilled for 2023, which by the way can go up to 84k according to the immigration plan, is solely for FSW, CEC and FST.
PNPs have their own quota of 83k for 2022 and 86k for 2023.
I don't know what their plan is, but with the current draw size they will not fill the FHS quota for 2023, even if they let 15k of FSW applications currently in the backlog for next year.