43 Draw// September 21, 2016 // 483 points // 1,288 Invites

[kunaljathar]

missed by 2 points

 

[Sandycool]

I am standing at 466, no idea how long do I have to wait for ITA...

Any guess experts..??

 

[dell2]

missed by 2 points

Hopefully by next couple draws, if same trend.

 

[dell2]

I am standing at 466, no idea how long do I have to wait for ITA...

Any guess experts..??

Will have to wait and see, no one can tell you for sure.

 

[vabs200]

They are NOT dropping. Not the way you think. At the very best the minimum CRS score will be stuck at 482, because 481 is single 20-somethings with good English, masters, and 3 years of foreign work experience, which is a very basic and attainable set of qualifications and should correspond to thousands and thousands of people in the pool at this point.

Unless they start sending an obscene amount of ITAs, I'd not count on the scores dropping. It's not a trend.

So, what could have been the reason for scores dropping to 450 not so long ago. Do you think there were less number of those kind of candidates in the pool and their number has suddenly seen a drastic increase?

 

[sandyin]

atleast it is positive.

Congrats to those who got their ITAs.

 

[sandyin]

I am at 443. Really counting on new changes

 

[sarahsos]

missed by 2 points

Me too... I'll just wait for the result of my New Brunswick nomination.

 

[johnjkjk]

Score is still >482 so in spite of higher ITAs, the score hasn't fallen from the high trend since May. Draw 35 was also 483, but with only 762 ITAs. At 1288, it's gone up by 526. What has eaten up that increase? There aren't very many candidates in the 482-499 and 500-599 range, no more than 100-130. LMIA from Jan-June 2016 averaged around 350-400 per month and PNP averaged around 250. Either LMIA or PNP has exploded. The number is independent of the pre-EE backlog, which has it's own target (>50% of 58400) so it cannot have been eaten up by the backlog.

 

[Heathcliff77]

The real question is whether they'll stay 482 and above, or go 481 or below, I assume there are thousands piled up since May at the 471-481

 

[Wolverine17]

The real question is whether they'll stay 482 and above, or go 481 or below, I assume there are thousands piled up since May at the 471-481

Whats your score bro and expectations

 

[johnjkjk]

The real question is whether they'll stay 482 and above, or go 481 or below, I assume there are thousands piled up since May at the 471-481

Around 250 every two weeks enter the pool on average in the 471-481 range i.e. c. 3000 piled up, many sitting on exactly 481 (max score for foreign experience+masters).

 

[nonnemacher]

The real question is whether they'll stay 482 and above, or go 481 or below, I assume there are thousands piled up since May at the 471-481

True! I believe the best way is to focus on PNP!

 

[Chiptole]

Sitting on 474 :

 

[aircanada]

So, what could have been the reason for scores dropping to 450 not so long ago. Do you think there were less number of those kind of candidates in the pool and their number has suddenly seen a drastic increase?

That actually was quite a long time ago. You can cite reasons as the program becoming better known, increasing demand, some paper-streams becoming deprioritized... among many others. I don't think it's a sudden drastic increase, but rather a build-up.