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43 Draw// September 21, 2016 // 483 points // 1,288 Invites

Dedicated

Hero Member
Aug 11, 2016
480
43
Category........
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Paris
NOC Code......
2131
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aircanada said:
It's an informed guess. Compiling 481 (English+masters+3years+20s) is very easy so there'll be a lot of applicants with that score. And the fact that the cut off crs score never goes down below 482 anymore is an indicator that people have piled up at 481 and there's a giant bottleneck there.
I understand that. But where did that number (3000 applicants) come from? We can't be that sure, can we?
 

Sluffy

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May 11, 2016
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Dedicated said:
I understand that. But where did that number (3000 applicants) come from? We can't be that sure, can we?
Before May the cut off was around 1000 ITAs with the scores 470+
After that, the cut off was around 750 ITAs with the scores 482+
Approximately 250 people with the score 470-481 are entering the pool every two weeks - it's a very rough estimate
We had 11 draws since the score went up. So about 2500 people or more are sitting with the score 470-481.
 

rabzodemorayh

Star Member
Apr 11, 2014
58
1
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Sluffy said:
Before May the cut off was around 1000 ITAs with the scores 470+
After that, the cut off was around 750 ITAs with the scores 482+
Approximately 250 people with the score 470-481 are entering the pool every two weeks - it's a very rough estimate
We had 11 draws since the score went up. So about 2500 people or more are sitting with the score 470-481.
+1 Sluffy for the calculations
 

aj.canada.fsw

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Oct 27, 2014
128
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App. Filed.......
03-11-14
jaymax said:
Emails come in batches. Some people get theirs in 1 hours, others by the next day. All the best
Thanks
 

Arsalan Khan

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Apr 4, 2016
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aircanada said:
They are NOT dropping. Not the way you think. At the very best the minimum CRS score will be stuck at 482, because 481 is single 20-somethings with good English, masters, and 3 years of foreign work experience, which is a very basic and attainable set of qualifications and should correspond to thousands and thousands of people in the pool at this point.

Unless they start sending an obscene amount of ITAs, I'd not count on the scores dropping. It's not a trend.
i disagree !! there are very few people who can actually score a CLB 10 on all four aspects.. !!
 

Wolverine17

VIP Member
Mar 28, 2016
3,135
351
jaymax said:
How is it cruel ? Its a transparent system that tells you where you stand.

I want to earn $1 Billion from stock market. If I am not able to do it is it my limitation or the stock markets ?
It is cruel when you dont stand the same chances,for example i cant apply for pnp simply because my job is a licensed profession regardless of my score.
 

vabs200

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Aug 22, 2016
286
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Arsalan Khan said:
i disagree !! there are very few people who can actually score a CLB 10 on all four aspects.. !!
I scored CLB 10 in 3 abilities and CLB 9 in writing... I don't think it's that hard either.

Wish I was in my 20s and single... :p
 

Dedicated

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Aug 11, 2016
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Sluffy said:
Approximately 250 people with the score 470-481 are entering the pool every two weeks - it's a very rough estimate
Is there any source which can confirm that amount (250 people with that score every two weeks)?

Sorry, I am not trying to be annoying or questioning your logic, simply want to determine the chances of getting an ITA in the next couple of months.
 

Sluffy

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May 11, 2016
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Dedicated said:
Is there any source which can confirm that amount (250 people with that score every two weeks)?

Sorry, I am not trying to be annoying or questioning your logic, simply want to determine the chances of getting an ITA in the next couple of months.
Read the first two lines of the rough estimate.

And this figure is dynamic, i.e. 200 people one day and 300 next draw two weeks after.
CIC do not publish that data anywhere, but they see the quantity of people before each draw. So you can evaluate how many people are standing in the line in front of you.
I wonder if they are going to go down to 481 next time or a bit later. I would say that they are about 1000-1200 (just my thoughts) of this 2500, because the age group is quite big (20-29)
 

Dedicated

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Aug 11, 2016
480
43
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Sluffy said:
Read the first two lines of the rough estimate.

And this figure is dynamic, i.e. 200 people one day and 300 next draw two weeks after.
CIC do not publish that data anywhere, but they see the quantity of people before each draw.
Thanks! Such kind of information is always very useful.
 

jaymax

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Dec 18, 2015
154
22
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09-03-2016
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Wolverine17 said:
It is cruel when you dont stand the same chances,for example i cant apply for pnp simply because my job is a licensed profession regardless of my score.
Did you think Canada was in it for social service ? Canada wanted immigrants for demographics, labor shortages and other CANDADIAN Concerns.

Add in political workings that tried to restrict/increase immigration (based on what side the party is) and we have a policy. It is based to serve Canada's needs. Not the applicants.

Should I feel bad some kid who is younger but has less experience than me, on same education gets a better score while mine goes down each year ? That would be stupid.

Learn to live with things instead of playing victim and drowning in self pity
 

karenv

Hero Member
Jul 8, 2014
324
20
jaymax said:
Did you think Canada was in it for social service ? Canada wanted immigrants for demographics, labor shortages and other CANDADIAN Concerns.

Add in political workings that tried to restrict/increase immigration (based on what side the party is) and we have a policy. It is based to serve Canada's needs. Not the applicants.

Should I feel bad some kid who is younger but has less experience than me, on same education gets a better score while mine goes down each year ? That would be stupid.

Learn to live with things instead of playing victim and drowning in self pity
Well said. I totally agree with you.
 

dell2

Hero Member
Feb 3, 2011
789
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Calgary, Alberta.
jaymax said:
Did you think Canada was in it for social service ? Canada wanted immigrants for demographics, labor shortages and other CANDADIAN Concerns.

Add in political workings that tried to restrict/increase immigration (based on what side the party is) and we have a policy. It is based to serve Canada's needs. Not the applicants.

Should I feel bad some kid who is younger but has less experience than me, on same education gets a better score while mine goes down each year ? That would be stupid.

Learn to live with things instead of playing victim and drowning in self pity
+1
 

sharon6191

Full Member
Sep 7, 2016
36
7
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jaymax said:
How is it cruel ? Its a transparent system that tells you where you stand.

I want to earn $1 Billion from stock market. If I am not able to do it is it my limitation or the stock markets ?
What I mean was I heard before you just need to complete two year full time study in Canada and with a job offer you can get your PR easily.So this is what I did, studied and found a job. see what, the ranking system came out right after I finish school, how should I adjust that. It feels there is no end trying to catch up with the CIC "constant changing program". Many students like me are cut-off, not even can compete with oversea worker. Don't you think the system is cruel ?
 

jaymax

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Dec 18, 2015
154
22
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09-03-2016
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09-12-2016
sharon6191 said:
What I mean was I heard before you just need to complete two year full time study in Canada and with a job offer you can get your PR easily.So this is what I did, studied and found a job. see what, the ranking system came out right after I finish school, how should I adjust that. It feels there is no end trying to catch up with the CIC "constant changing program". Many students like me are cut-off, not even can compete with oversea worker. Don't you think the system is cruel ?
It was the trend not the promise. Immigration policies are subject to the whims of those in power. What we can do is adjust accordingly. Try ways to increase scores (Retake Ielts, Learn French, Get a PNP/LMIA). Thats action that will get results. Sulking over changes wont get you anywhere.