2023 PR Applications Timeline (Protected Persons & Refugees)

[Shinyoooo]

March 14, 2023
P2 received 11AM today.

eCoPR received today!
I’m from the country that less than 20 peoples files a refugee claim in a year.

Here’s my full timeline for anyone tracking:

• Applied: March 14, 2023
• AOR/request for correction : August 31, 2023
• Final Decision: September 8, 2025
• Portal 1 (P1): September 11, 2025
• Portal 2 (P2): September 28, 2025
• eCoPR Issued: October 10, 2025

I just wanted to share my experience. I’m a legitimate applicant who joined the group later after here almost 3 years. I decided to join to give back and help others with their timelines.

Honestly, I wouldn’t rely too much on the posted processing time. I believe and hope all of us end up getting results earlier than expected.

Wishing everyone the best of luck! your turn is coming soon!

 

[canuck78]

Nope. it is 100% correct. they approve 13000 every year which means 100 months.

As I have been saying for a long time Canada opened their doors to many asylum seekers and refugees but the consequence is that there is now a very large number applying for PR and a much smaller yearly quota. The processing time to get PR will likely continue to get longer at least for the next 5-10 years.

 

[May545]

You lying man

I did not come with anything new. it is IRCC website. Please check the processing time for IRCC for new applicants before accusing someone of being lying

 

[May545]

As I have been saying for a long time Canada opened their doors to many asylum seekers and refugees but the consequence is that there is now a very large number applying for PR and a much smaller yearly quota. The processing time to get PR will likely continue to get longer at least for the next 5-10 years.

Congratulations. I hope you are now happy.

 

[canuck78]

Nope. it is 100% correct. they approve 13000 every year which means 100 months.

Although many were not pleased with me I have been saying this for around a year as well as for H&C. The math just didn’t math.

 

[canuck78]

Congratulations. I hope you are now happy.

Not happy about it and wish IRCC had been more upfront much earlier. I have a long list of issues with IRCC. I got a lot of abuse for pointing out the facts and wanting people to have a realistic view of what was happening based on the data so they could plan their lives accordingly. Many will be very shocked by these new processing times while those who have been paying attention to the data will not be. People who applied in 2022 are actually quite lucky they applied just as processing times started increasing dramatically.

 

[spider392]

No the dates are non sense
I put march 2023
6 month, 94k ahead of me,137k waiting

I put march 2025
70 month, 97k ahead of me, 137k waiting

The difference is huge in monthes but in number it is not
Waiting is the same and only 3k different in queue so that is incorrect
So of course that is non sesne
And input 2022 it says it is coming in a month, so leave it as it is

 

[SKROR]

That's right.

These times are being given by AI generated tool not the actual numbers. I hope for the best for all.

Thanks

 

[May545]

As I have been saying for a long time Canada opened their doors to many asylum seekers and refugees but the consequence is that there is now a very large number applying for PR and a much smaller yearly quota. The processing time to get PR will likely continue to get longer at least for the next 5-10 years.

It’s not due to the protected-person cases. The increase is because the annual quota was reduced from 40,000 to 18,000, which explains why the projected processing time rose to 8.6 years. It is simple math.

 

[PR waiting]

As I have been saying for a long time Canada opened their doors to many asylum seekers and refugees but the consequence is that there is now a very large number applying for PR and a much smaller yearly quota. The processing time to get PR will likely continue to get longer at least for the next 5-10 years.

That’s not really how it works. IRCC adjusts its targets every year and doesn’t limit PR spots for protected persons. The long timelines people see online include everyone in the queue, even cases that are already finalized or inactive. Once older files clear out, newer ones move faster. The tracker uses estimates, not real case times, so 5–10 years isn’t realistic at all.

 

[May545]

That’s not really how it works. IRCC adjusts its targets every year and doesn’t limit PR spots for protected persons. The long timelines people see online include everyone in the queue, even cases that are already finalized or inactive. Once older files clear out, newer ones move faster. The tracker uses estimates, not real case times, so 5–10 years isn’t realistic at all.

I reviewed the model and published data. They issue about 1,368 FDs per month and complete one month’s files before moving to the next—consistent with what we’ve seen. About 5% are outliers (e.g., some 2022 cases). A formula for wait time is
x=p/1368, where p is the queue size, and x is the wait time. you can validate my model with puplished data (check it for 2023, 2024, or 2025 applicants. you can not apply it for 2022 because they are outlayer). The only real way to reduce waits is to increase the monthly quota(1368).

Ai is works fine based on published data. I think they will change the quota. Otherwise, some of us will wait 9 years or more

 

[S4m4r]

Hey guys, when I’m inputting information it shows data not available. Idk if I’m doing it correctly under - refugees > protected person inside canada > outside Quebec > February 2023 > it comes up to data not available.

 

[Mrnobody07]

Unfortunately this is the bitter reality,public opinion see's refugees as burdens and politicians always look into charts to make decisions. Iam an April 2023 applicant but according to the new system I've to wait at least 8 more months, it just doesn't add up as we know the process is going forward with mid March applications now.i think the applications on final stages get sorted out sooner but with the back log and processing speed unfortunately the newer applications probably end up waiting for 5 plus years.we are not priority in any way and we have to accept this fact.sad day for thousands of people indeed.

 

[May545]

Hey guys, when I’m inputting information it shows data not available. Idk if I’m doing it correctly under - refugees > protected person inside canada > outside Quebec > February 2023 > it comes up to data not available.

check (yes) under Have you already applied? (required)

 

[S4m4r]

check (yes) under Have you already applied? (required)

I did, but still no data available