I have this feeling that the draws will be similar to the previous year. Something surprising would happen on July or August.
First Week of July is something i am expecting now.Few reasons are as follows:
1. The Vaccination would be near 70-75% in the month of June end with the current pace which is a strong reason to believe.
2. The border restrictions with USA and other countries would expire on 22nd June 2021. If they really looking for One dose Summer, then they have to lift the restrictions with limited access for vaccinated people.
3. The CEC pool is dried out for now and i believe they don't want to go below the level of 400(Around it). To hit those targets, they have to open the FSW stream now. The second quarter is about to end and there are two draws left on bi-weekly basis.
4. July 1st (Canada Day) is coming and they will try to get more tourists to visit the country to revive the tourism industry with restrictions like vaccine passport and allow a list of countries which they assume are safe(Just like U.K. did) . They are under immense pressure from industry to lift the restrictions now.
5. I believe the elections would be called this fall. Therefore the federal government didn't want to torn the liberal image. They already did their best to protect the Canadian Citizens with wealth and border restrictions. Now it's the time to flip the side and get more support.
6. The financial deficit is growing day by day. They have to open the borders for money to flow into the economy. The survival for this country would be impossible if they don't allow it within few months.
7. The infection rate is gradually decreasing on daily basis and the burden on health infrastructure is in control for now. They just want to play a safer card just in case of surge in cases after opening the borders. Closing the borders again would be a blunder.
Best of Luck to all of the applicants out there.
Peace!!