Slightly different than reference number, they add Alphabets after our reference number, like in mine they had added IMM at the end of the reference number.
I love this analysisGood analysis, Not that bad but I would love to add my prediction to these, by the end of November people with 400 CRS will be celebrating their success and in December we will likely see the BREAK of the wall of CRS 399 and less score, I'm pretty sure about it, coz soon CIC will booming us again with 3800, 3900, even 4000 or more ITAs to get to their established target (I mean PR issuance guys, not ITAs issuance), so hope for the best and we have to be patient and we all get our ITAs
An this very moment, some CIC agents are having their vacation time or other break period, you don't believe me, check out other years of this period.
As @andieangel always repeats, our ITAs are on the way!Yayyyyyy
...than the previous lengthy one......I am starting to think that you are a CIC employee and you just had some pitty for us and gave us some insightThank you guys for your positive comment, I'm seen some people familiar with numbers.
Please keep these notes in mind:
1-There is an increase trend in pool size around 3-5 % and we can expect this trend go up in next rounds.
2-The rate of successful application per ITA is around 70%.
3-We are working with a sample size of 50k and we should normalize the outliers. When you do that, people between 400 and 450 (10k people) will be receiving 2k ITAs per round. As a result you'll end up with possibly a 500 more people stuck between 400-415 each round, so each 4 rounds that the score not going below 415 they will need an additional round because of the new people joining to the pool. So my calculations showing me that we'll need at least 8 rounds until reaching 410 threshold.
Finally,
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics" as famous quote describes. We're just estimating
Hi there. I had asked for a suggestion to Wandering Mind. Thought of asking you as well. So pasting it here again.What's your CRS, just to be sure how quick you will get ITA?
I so hope your words come true very soon!I love this analysis
I too believe this 400 is just a number and CIC also wouldn't be bothered about cut off going down..they have that fsw 6 point criteria with minimum 67pts to keep a check on the kind of ppl they let in...and the rest is basically an equation on cic target ITAs vs ppl entering the pool...
believe me,there's no unlimited supply of wanna be immigrants(with high CRS potential)...and cut off will come down below 400 for sure..
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so that's not really an indicator... well, let's wait and see!
Hi @Saj_immigration, I'm afraid I can't help you, you should maybe ask @lino82, @TanakaM or @Wandering Mind they will know for sure.
Bro if we have 3 rounds between 02-30 August, 2017 the score will go below 420 for sure.
