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Ray of Hope - 149th Draw - CEC

RyVenn

Member
Mar 4, 2020
19
18
31
South Africa
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0111
App. Filed.......
04-03-2020
This page that has the distribution table for the most recent draw seems to be updated each time, and the old one gets replaced, so I'm not sure if an archive exists online.

This page lists all the previous draws' Ministerial instructions, but just the results, not the distributions.
Yes I am aware of this page - Thank you!
 

RyVenn

Member
Mar 4, 2020
19
18
31
South Africa
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0111
App. Filed.......
04-03-2020
Thanks!
I'm currently on 471, and based on stats, there should be about 3291 candidates before ITA's will come my/(who ever else may be on 471 - tie breaking rule 13 March 2020) way.
Don't take this as fact, just a simple exercise I performed.

329112-May27-Apr27-Apr14-Apr14-Apr05-Apr05-Apr13-Mar13-Mar
601-1200 482 461 461 65 65 479 479 448 448
501-600 417 318 318 213 213 390 390 254 254
451-500 20 412 20 708 20 708 22 206 22 206 23 626 23 626 21 604 21 604
491-500 356 267 267 190 190 317 317 197 197
481-490 1 117 924 924 746 746 910 910 421 421
471-480 3 140 2 635 2 635 2 233 2 233 2 423 2 423 1 047 1 047
461-470 7 053 7 157 7 157 8 088 8 088 9 265 9 265 9 437 9 437
451-460 8 746 9 725 9 725 10 949 10 949 10 711 10 711 10 502 10 502
401-450 43 782 43 513 43 513 42 537 42 537 42 416 42 416 41 975 41 975
441-450 10 472 10 295 10 295 9 817 9 817 9 767 9 767 9 696 9 696
431-440 10 083 9 994 9 994 9 774 9 774 9 720 9 720 9 673 9 673
421-430 6 996 6 921 6 921 6 788 6 788 6 751 6 751 6 692 6 692
411-420 7 538 7 577 7 577 7 493 7 493 7 511 7 511 7 375 7 375
401-410 8 693 8 726 8 726 8 665 8 665 8 667 8 667 8 539 8 539
351-400 50 784 51 034 51 034 51 005 51 005 51 160 51 160 50 889 50 889
301-350 27 120 27 566 27 566 27 759 27 759 28 121 28 121 28 106 28 106
0-300 3 405 3 493 3 493 3 500 3 500 3 539 3 539 3 605 3 605
Total 146 402 147 093 147 093 147 285 147 285 149 731 149 731 146 881 146 881
 

Issygn

Hero Member
Feb 16, 2020
569
223
Yeah.. score will be around 476
Yes
The current figures in the pool is high and cutoff might be around 476 when draws resume for FSW but the pool is like an Iceberg waiting to explode. Once the first draw happens, it won’t take time for the scores to deep back except if influx becomes extremely higher than the pace of invitations.
 

aj534160

Hero Member
Apr 13, 2019
492
487
Thanks!
I'm currently on 471, and based on stats, there should be about 3291 candidates before ITA's will come my/(who ever else may be on 471 - tie breaking rule 13 March 2020) way.
Don't take this as fact, just a simple exercise I performed.

329112-May27-Apr27-Apr14-Apr14-Apr05-Apr05-Apr13-Mar13-Mar
601-1200 482 461 461 65 65 479 479 448 448
501-600 417 318 318 213 213 390 390 254 254
451-500 20 412 20 708 20 708 22 206 22 206 23 626 23 626 21 604 21 604
491-500 356 267 267 190 190 317 317 197 197
481-490 1 117 924 924 746 746 910 910 421 421
471-480 3 140 2 635 2 635 2 233 2 233 2 423 2 423 1 047 1 047
461-470 7 053 7 157 7 157 8 088 8 088 9 265 9 265 9 437 9 437
451-460 8 746 9 725 9 725 10 949 10 949 10 711 10 711 10 502 10 502
401-450 43 782 43 513 43 513 42 537 42 537 42 416 42 416 41 975 41 975
441-450 10 472 10 295 10 295 9 817 9 817 9 767 9 767 9 696 9 696
431-440 10 083 9 994 9 994 9 774 9 774 9 720 9 720 9 673 9 673
421-430 6 996 6 921 6 921 6 788 6 788 6 751 6 751 6 692 6 692
411-420 7 538 7 577 7 577 7 493 7 493 7 511 7 511 7 375 7 375
401-410 8 693 8 726 8 726 8 665 8 665 8 667 8 667 8 539 8 539
351-400 50 784 51 034 51 034 51 005 51 005 51 160 51 160 50 889 50 889
301-350 27 120 27 566 27 566 27 759 27 759 28 121 28 121 28 106 28 106
0-300 3 405 3 493 3 493 3 500 3 500 3 539 3 539 3 605 3 605
Total 146 402 147 093 147 093 147 285 147 285 149 731 149 731 146 881 146 881
Bruh, firstly, ITAs are not being issued to outland dudes. Some say it will happen by June and some speculated it to be by Aug. Some dudes even go a step ahead and claim no ITAs until a vaccine is being found.
For students, they have to invite dudes from overseas but in case of achieving their immigration targets (if they are not revising to the insane level of joblessness in every province), there are tons of CEC dudes who might likely receive ITAs.
So have a back-up plan. You see, from March until now, (almost 3 months) no outland dudes are given ITAs (except few PNPs). I will be seriously happy if all draws are resumed by June at least but looking at all the developed countries that have taken a tremendous hit economically and mammoth job losses, I doubt if all draws will resume sooner.
Once again this is just my theory. Also, my sister is studying in Montreal and my cousin in Toronto. Both are there for more than 1 year -> have good contacts with people from various businesses, domains -> but were laid off due to lack of business. My friend works in DeJong's Insurance Ltd, Calgary as an engineer and he too was laid off. Their outcry about the job loses is just insane and they said apart from IT and few sectors, Canada with its higher cost of living is going through a tough phase.
Optimist dudes might have another theory but I have clearly spoken with them and letting you know the situation there. Even I'm heartbroken looking at the condition there.
Gone are the golden days of immigration during the 2017, 2018 and early 19 eras.
 

RyVenn

Member
Mar 4, 2020
19
18
31
South Africa
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
0111
App. Filed.......
04-03-2020
Bruh, firstly, ITAs are not being issued to outland dudes. Some say it will happen by June and some speculated it to be by Aug. Some dudes even go a step ahead and claim no ITAs until a vaccine is being found.
For students, they have to invite dudes from overseas but in case of achieving their immigration targets (if they are not revising to the insane level of joblessness in every province), there are tons of CEC dudes who might likely receive ITAs.
So have a back-up plan. You see, from March until now, (almost 3 months) no outland dudes are given ITAs (except few PNPs). I will be seriously happy if all draws are resumed by June at least but looking at all the developed countries that have taken a tremendous hit economically and mammoth job losses, I doubt if all draws will resume sooner.
Once again this is just my theory. Also, my sister is studying in Montreal and my cousin in Toronto. Both are there for more than 1 year -> have good contacts with people from various businesses, domains -> but were laid off due to lack of business. My friend works in DeJong's Insurance Ltd, Calgary as an engineer and he too was laid off. Their outcry about the job loses is just insane and they said apart from IT and few sectors, Canada with its higher cost of living is going through a tough phase.
Optimist dudes might have another theory but I have clearly spoken with them and letting you know the situation there. Even I'm heartbroken looking at the condition there.
Gone are the golden days of immigration during the 2017, 2018 and early 19 eras.

In an earlier thread of mine today, I mentioned that I'm doing this forecast out of boredom.
I too believe that draws will only commence in July, this was purely an exercise to pass time by and not for people to take as fact, but rather to understand where one may possibly be, in a pool of 140k + candidates. Hence, tailored to a score of 471 with a tie-breaker.
 

allencc1989

Star Member
Jun 26, 2019
112
41
To brothers and sisters waiting for ITAs,

I am in the forum for 2 years and entered the pool at April last year with CRS 450. I still remember the CRS cut-off just went skyrocketed after April and people in this forum like @facethereality kept saying that the CRS scores will never go down to 470s and people should give up their Canadian dreams. At that time, I just feel so desperate and thought I would never be able to come to Canada. However, I didn't give up and kept trying to boost my scores by retaking the IETS tests and finally got my ITA in February. The thing I wanna tell everyone in this post waiting for the ITAs is if you really believe in your Canadian dreams, do you easily give up and hanging there, your time will come. While we are anxiously waiting for the invitations to come, we should always hope for the best and prepare for the worst. This post is called the Ray of hope, not the Ray of reality.

I hope all you guys waiting there will get good news soon!!
 

scylla

VIP Member
Jun 8, 2010
93,148
20,639
Toronto
Category........
Visa Office......
Buffalo
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
28-05-2010
AOR Received.
19-08-2010
File Transfer...
28-06-2010
Passport Req..
01-10-2010
VISA ISSUED...
05-10-2010
LANDED..........
05-10-2010

starlordavuthu

Hero Member
Apr 13, 2020
728
370
New government regulation on h1b coming soon. anyone getting below level 4 have to be bumped up or risk h1b rejection while renewal.
Oh really? Can you back up on what you are speculating? Oh and dont come up with Happyshools, Redbus2US and any other Desi forums as source of your information
 
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navinball

VIP Member
Feb 26, 2018
3,664
1,643

scylla

VIP Member
Jun 8, 2010
93,148
20,639
Toronto
Category........
Visa Office......
Buffalo
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
28-05-2010
AOR Received.
19-08-2010
File Transfer...
28-06-2010
Passport Req..
01-10-2010
VISA ISSUED...
05-10-2010
LANDED..........
05-10-2010

craigb2424

Star Member
Jul 5, 2019
101
56
Bit of a weird one here, I just got a request for my biometrics for my Express Entry, however as we know they’re all closed. I did my biometrics back in March for my post graduation work permit which was approved. Any idea if they will allow me to use those for my Express Entry application?