Ray of Hope - 138th Draw

[chirkut]

I have been long wondering where do these people come from..... There is an abrupt number of people entering in the pool since last year. If we know what these people are and where these people are from, maybe we can deduce if this increase in applicants is one-time event or continuous.

CEC applicants, International Students, US H1B holders, more awareness about Express Entry Worldwide have sparked this sudden influx. Also, many STudents are now preferring Canada over the USA and the UK. Its also evident, 3 years back CRS was as low as 420s and 430s..then it increased to 440s then last year saw 450's..., this year it will be above 460s and it will continue to rise. In 2019 alone there were 720,000 INternational students.. so you can expect a sharp rise in CRS in 2020 and 2021.

 

[Issygn]

CEC applicants, International Students, US H1B holders, more awareness about Express Entry Worldwide have sparked this sudden influx. Also, many STudents are now preferring Canada over the USA and the UK. Its also evident, 3 years back CRS was as low as 420s and 430s..then it increased to 440s then last year saw 450's..., this year it will be above 460s and it will continue to rise. In 2019 alone there were 720,000 INternational students.. so you can expect a sharp rise in CRS in 2020 and 2021.

Too many factors indeed. Good one for Canada !!!! Nevertheless, it isn’t yet a bad time for the 460’s

 

[Akrial]

Too many factors indeed. Good one for Canada !!!! Nevertheless, it isn’t yet a bad time for the 460’s

It isn't a good time for the 460's either. Score dropped only to 469 in the last 5 months and that's too because of back to back draw.
People invested time and money to get to the 460 but seem everything went down the drain.

 

[Issygn]

It isn't a good time for the 460's either. Score dropped only to 469 in the last 5 months and that's too because of back to back draw.
People invested time and money to get to the 460 but seem everything went down the drain.

It went from 472 to 469 in a b2b . Not too bad thou. I only fear that the 468-469 terrain must have been crowded now considering the last time we saw such figures in the draw but we still can’t control the competition in the pool. We can only do our bit to remain relevant . I can imagine your pain but trust that hope isn’t lost yet and you aren’t alone in this pursuit. Stay positive and focused . We finishing strong !!!

 

[TADF chemist]

My very rough estimation is that for the coming 8-9 months (i.e. at the end of this year) the "safe" CRS should be somewhat around 480. "Safe" here means one with this score basically has nothing to worry. According to the last 8 month data below, one can see the number of people entering the pool like hell, and you can see there is lot more people in 450-600 range. Yet, the CRS score increase just by 10 (from 460 to 470). Also, note that the increase from 470-480 should be more difficult than from 460-470.

But the CRS depends on more other factors and hence I think CRS > 465 may still have hope. Bon chance!

Draw #	cutoff	Dates	invites		600+	451-600	401-450	351-400	301-350	0-300
137	470	February 19, 2020	4,500		536	21116	41490	49558	27668	3674
136	472	February 5, 2020	3,500		439	19861	41655	49178	27475	3719
135	471	January 22, 2020	3,400		778	19458	41424	48562	27356	3680
134	473	January 8, 2020	3,400		567	18789	40965	47874	27117	3643
133	469	December 19, 2019	3,200		440	16226	40475	47064	26777	3660
132	472	December 11, 2019	3,200		715	15917	40533	47004	26779	3687
131	471	November 27, 2019	3,600		709	14915	40879	46932	26644	3769
130	472	November 13, 2019	3,600		757	14180	40729	46577	26501	3777
129	475	October 30, 2019	3,900		1255	12999	40730	46197	26384	3834
128	357	October 16, 2019	500		509	9632	40506	45580	25879	3775
127	464	October 2, 2019	3,900		579	8946	40254	44577	25350	3717
126	462	September 18, 2019	3,600		420	8202	40064	43862	25042	3688
125	463	September 4, 2019	3,600		395	6826	39701	43508	24949	3663
124	457	August 20, 2019	3,600		127	7038	38908	42641	24532	3633
123	466	August 12, 2019	3,600		474	6821	38412	42263	24439	3597
122	459	July 24, 2019	3,600		262	6193	38013	42000	24245	3577
121	460	July 10, 2019	3,600		312	6305	37287	41455	23912	3539

 

[Canada2628]

After updating details we have to give electronic signature??

 

[smash1984]

CEC applicants, International Students, US H1B holders, more awareness about Express Entry Worldwide have sparked this sudden influx. Also, many STudents are now preferring Canada over the USA and the UK. Its also evident, 3 years back CRS was as low as 420s and 430s..then it increased to 440s then last year saw 450's..., this year it will be above 460s and it will continue to rise. In 2019 alone there were 720,000 INternational students.. so you can expect a sharp rise in CRS in 2020 and 2021.

This is so true regarding why the scores have gone up.

 

[Issygn]

My very rough estimation is that for the coming 8-9 months (i.e. at the end of this year) the "safe" CRS should be somewhat around 480. "Safe" here means one with this score basically has nothing to worry. According to the last 8 month data below, one can see the number of people entering the pool like hell, and you can see there is lot more people in 450-600 range. Yet, the CRS score increase just by 10 (from 460 to 470). Also, note that the increase from 470-480 should be more difficult than from 460-470.

But the CRS depends on more other factors and hence I think CRS > 465 may still have hope. Bon chance!

Draw #	cutoff	Dates	invites		600+	451-600	401-450	351-400	301-350	0-300
137	470	February 19, 2020	4,500		536	21116	41490	49558	27668	3674
136	472	February 5, 2020	3,500		439	19861	41655	49178	27475	3719
135	471	January 22, 2020	3,400		778	19458	41424	48562	27356	3680
134	473	January 8, 2020	3,400		567	18789	40965	47874	27117	3643
133	469	December 19, 2019	3,200		440	16226	40475	47064	26777	3660
132	472	December 11, 2019	3,200		715	15917	40533	47004	26779	3687
131	471	November 27, 2019	3,600		709	14915	40879	46932	26644	3769
130	472	November 13, 2019	3,600		757	14180	40729	46577	26501	3777
129	475	October 30, 2019	3,900		1255	12999	40730	46197	26384	3834
128	357	October 16, 2019	500		509	9632	40506	45580	25879	3775
127	464	October 2, 2019	3,900		579	8946	40254	44577	25350	3717
126	462	September 18, 2019	3,600		420	8202	40064	43862	25042	3688
125	463	September 4, 2019	3,600		395	6826	39701	43508	24949	3663
124	457	August 20, 2019	3,600		127	7038	38908	42641	24532	3633
123	466	August 12, 2019	3,600		474	6821	38412	42263	24439	3597
122	459	July 24, 2019	3,600		262	6193	38013	42000	24245	3577
121	460	July 10, 2019	3,600		312	6305	37287	41455	23912	3539

Well.... that could happen but for now, we hope it drops further . No one wants to see those too many high figures yet

 

[Issygn]

Yes

After updating details we have to give electronic signature??

 

[Igethope]

No body know what CIC is up to but we can only hope for the best. If 4500 continues a lot of mid- high 460s will get ITA.

 

[ya222]

CIC is responsible body with strategy, there aren't crazy dudes inside to make 4500 to 3300 or anything weird. They raised it to 4500 and there's a reason behind it. I think they will keep it above 3700 or 3900 for rest of the year. That will help maintaining CRS in 465-475 with high influx of candidates and getting their high intake target.

 

[Dr Seun]

Work towards increasing crs so as to be comfortable. Started this journey at 375 due to low IELTS and lost 5 points due to age, then maxed out IELTS to 459 u fortunately 460's became the in thing, spouse had to write IELTS, scored 5.5 in reading, crs came up to 467, then we entered era of 470's frustrating indeed.
Had no choice than to ECA spouse BSC and now ECA came on same day of 470 cut off, our crs now 475!
Waiting for the next draw, we're certain of ITA in the next draw, keep fighting

 

[ya222]

Work towards increasing crs so as to be comfortable. Started this journey at 375 due to low IELTS and lost 5 points due to age, then maxed out IELTS to 459 u fortunately 460's became the in thing, spouse had to write IELTS, scored 5.5 in reading, crs came up to 467, then we entered era of 470's frustrating indeed.
Had no choice than to ECA spouse BSC and now ECA came on same day of 470 cut off, our crs now 475!
Waiting for the next draw, we're certain of ITA in the next draw, keep fighting

same here bro
started with 437 now reached 468 will see how it goes!!

 

[Issygn]

T

Work towards increasing crs so as to be comfortable. Started this journey at 375 due to low IELTS and lost 5 points due to age, then maxed out IELTS to 459 u fortunately 460's became the in thing, spouse had to write IELTS, scored 5.5 in reading, crs came up to 467, then we entered era of 470's frustrating indeed.
Had no choice than to ECA spouse BSC and now ECA came on same day of 470 cut off, our crs now 475!
Waiting for the next draw, we're certain of ITA in the next draw, keep fighting

Thought you got ITA in the previous draw ?

 

[Dr Seun]

T

Thought you got ITA in the previous draw ?

No I didn't, the ECA came out after the 470 draw took place.