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Ray of Hope - 138th Draw

TADF chemist said:
I have been long wondering where do these people come from..... There is an abrupt number of people entering in the pool since last year. If we know what these people are and where these people are from, maybe we can deduce if this increase in applicants is one-time event or continuous.
Click to expand...

CEC applicants, International Students, US H1B holders, more awareness about Express Entry Worldwide have sparked this sudden influx. Also, many STudents are now preferring Canada over the USA and the UK. Its also evident, 3 years back CRS was as low as 420s and 430s..then it increased to 440s then last year saw 450's..., this year it will be above 460s and it will continue to rise. In 2019 alone there were 720,000 INternational students.. so you can expect a sharp rise in CRS in 2020 and 2021.
 
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chirkut said:
CEC applicants, International Students, US H1B holders, more awareness about Express Entry Worldwide have sparked this sudden influx. Also, many STudents are now preferring Canada over the USA and the UK. Its also evident, 3 years back CRS was as low as 420s and 430s..then it increased to 440s then last year saw 450's..., this year it will be above 460s and it will continue to rise. In 2019 alone there were 720,000 INternational students.. so you can expect a sharp rise in CRS in 2020 and 2021.
Click to expand...
Too many factors indeed. Good one for Canada !!!! Nevertheless, it isn’t yet a bad time for the 460’s
 
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Issygn said:
Too many factors indeed. Good one for Canada !!!! Nevertheless, it isn’t yet a bad time for the 460’s
Click to expand...
It isn't a good time for the 460's either. Score dropped only to 469 in the last 5 months and that's too because of back to back draw.
People invested time and money to get to the 460 but seem everything went down the drain.
 
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Akrial said:
It isn't a good time for the 460's either. Score dropped only to 469 in the last 5 months and that's too because of back to back draw.
People invested time and money to get to the 460 but seem everything went down the drain.
Click to expand...
It went from 472 to 469 in a b2b . Not too bad thou. I only fear that the 468-469 terrain must have been crowded now considering the last time we saw such figures in the draw but we still can’t control the competition in the pool. We can only do our bit to remain relevant . I can imagine your pain but trust that hope isn’t lost yet and you aren’t alone in this pursuit. Stay positive and focused . We finishing strong !!!
 
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My very rough estimation is that for the coming 8-9 months (i.e. at the end of this year) the "safe" CRS should be somewhat around 480. "Safe" here means one with this score basically has nothing to worry. According to the last 8 month data below, one can see the number of people entering the pool like hell, and you can see there is lot more people in 450-600 range. Yet, the CRS score increase just by 10 (from 460 to 470). Also, note that the increase from 470-480 should be more difficult than from 460-470.

But the CRS depends on more other factors and hence I think CRS > 465 may still have hope. Bon chance!

Draw #cutoffDatesinvites600+451-600401-450351-400301-3500-300
137470February 19, 20204,500536211164149049558276683674
136472February 5, 20203,500439198614165549178274753719
135471January 22, 20203,400778194584142448562273563680
134473January 8, 20203,400567187894096547874271173643
133469December 19, 20193,200440162264047547064267773660
132472December 11, 20193,200715159174053347004267793687
131471November 27, 20193,600709149154087946932266443769
130472November 13, 20193,600757141804072946577265013777
129475October 30, 20193,9001255129994073046197263843834
128357October 16, 201950050996324050645580258793775
127464October 2, 20193,90057989464025444577253503717
126462September 18, 20193,60042082024006443862250423688
125463September 4, 20193,60039568263970143508249493663
124457August 20, 20193,60012770383890842641245323633
123466August 12, 20193,60047468213841242263244393597
122459July 24, 20193,60026261933801342000242453577
121460July 10, 20193,60031263053728741455239123539
 
chirkut said:
CEC applicants, International Students, US H1B holders, more awareness about Express Entry Worldwide have sparked this sudden influx. Also, many STudents are now preferring Canada over the USA and the UK. Its also evident, 3 years back CRS was as low as 420s and 430s..then it increased to 440s then last year saw 450's..., this year it will be above 460s and it will continue to rise. In 2019 alone there were 720,000 INternational students.. so you can expect a sharp rise in CRS in 2020 and 2021.
Click to expand...

This is so true regarding why the scores have gone up.
 
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TADF chemist said:
My very rough estimation is that for the coming 8-9 months (i.e. at the end of this year) the "safe" CRS should be somewhat around 480. "Safe" here means one with this score basically has nothing to worry. According to the last 8 month data below, one can see the number of people entering the pool like hell, and you can see there is lot more people in 450-600 range. Yet, the CRS score increase just by 10 (from 460 to 470). Also, note that the increase from 470-480 should be more difficult than from 460-470.

But the CRS depends on more other factors and hence I think CRS > 465 may still have hope. Bon chance!

Draw #cutoffDatesinvites600+451-600401-450351-400301-3500-300
137470February 19, 20204,500536211164149049558276683674
136472February 5, 20203,500439198614165549178274753719
135471January 22, 20203,400778194584142448562273563680
134473January 8, 20203,400567187894096547874271173643
133469December 19, 20193,200440162264047547064267773660
132472December 11, 20193,200715159174053347004267793687
131471November 27, 20193,600709149154087946932266443769
130472November 13, 20193,600757141804072946577265013777
129475October 30, 20193,9001255129994073046197263843834
128357October 16, 201950050996324050645580258793775
127464October 2, 20193,90057989464025444577253503717
126462September 18, 20193,60042082024006443862250423688
125463September 4, 20193,60039568263970143508249493663
124457August 20, 20193,60012770383890842641245323633
123466August 12, 20193,60047468213841242263244393597
122459July 24, 20193,60026261933801342000242453577
121460July 10, 20193,60031263053728741455239123539
Click to expand...
Well.... that could happen but for now, we hope it drops further . No one wants to see those too many high figures yet
 
No body know what CIC is up to but we can only hope for the best. If 4500 continues a lot of mid- high 460s will get ITA.
 
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CIC is responsible body with strategy, there aren't crazy dudes inside to make 4500 to 3300 or anything weird. They raised it to 4500 and there's a reason behind it. I think they will keep it above 3700 or 3900 for rest of the year. That will help maintaining CRS in 465-475 with high influx of candidates and getting their high intake target.
 
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Work towards increasing crs so as to be comfortable. Started this journey at 375 due to low IELTS and lost 5 points due to age, then maxed out IELTS to 459 u fortunately 460's became the in thing, spouse had to write IELTS, scored 5.5 in reading, crs came up to 467, then we entered era of 470's frustrating indeed.
Had no choice than to ECA spouse BSC and now ECA came on same day of 470 cut off, our crs now 475!
Waiting for the next draw, we're certain of ITA in the next draw, keep fighting
 
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Dr Seun said:
Work towards increasing crs so as to be comfortable. Started this journey at 375 due to low IELTS and lost 5 points due to age, then maxed out IELTS to 459 u fortunately 460's became the in thing, spouse had to write IELTS, scored 5.5 in reading, crs came up to 467, then we entered era of 470's frustrating indeed.
Had no choice than to ECA spouse BSC and now ECA came on same day of 470 cut off, our crs now 475!
Waiting for the next draw, we're certain of ITA in the next draw, keep fighting
Click to expand...
same here bro
started with 437 now reached 468 will see how it goes!!
 
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T
Dr Seun said:
Work towards increasing crs so as to be comfortable. Started this journey at 375 due to low IELTS and lost 5 points due to age, then maxed out IELTS to 459 u fortunately 460's became the in thing, spouse had to write IELTS, scored 5.5 in reading, crs came up to 467, then we entered era of 470's frustrating indeed.
Had no choice than to ECA spouse BSC and now ECA came on same day of 470 cut off, our crs now 475!
Waiting for the next draw, we're certain of ITA in the next draw, keep fighting
Click to expand...
Thought you got ITA in the previous draw ?
 
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