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Ray of Hope - 132nd Draw

NataliaBazz

Star Member
Dec 16, 2018
125
55
Honestly, don't think it's gonna be 2more draws. Why everyone is so confident about this? It was 3600 twice. It means that their initial target with 81,000 will be achieved in 2 weeks. . ..no words... So i assume on 11 December we'll see the last draw..
Ray of hopeless
 
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kabir_krishna

Hero Member
Jul 3, 2019
301
110
Guys I have a strong feeling that the addition of new profiles is very minimal.
I thinking CIC is trying to clear the backlogs. Bcoz there is no way 3600 candidates have 471 score even with PNP nominations
 

Skitles

Star Member
Sep 12, 2019
112
64
Lol
I wish the forum had reaction buttons like in Facebook. Some of them would be getting angry reacts, and a haha for you.
For people with score above 471 and not getting ITA yet, surely it's frightening as they may worry about an error in the system.
But then to those who are sure NOT getting an ITA this round, especially those who are so close to getting one, these questions may feel like salt to a fresh new wound :(
 

Zara-sh

Member
Nov 27, 2019
12
4
Point distribution between 450-600 should be outlined . Are most of these candidates between 455-460 or 460-465 or 465-470 or more than 470 ??? 450-600 is s very wide range with so many candidates
 

Vvek

Star Member
Jul 16, 2018
93
36
CIC doesn't publish the breakdown in this range. All we have is guess work sadly.
I did some analysis after 130th draw and came with below-mentioned prediction. I highly underestimated the number of candidates above 600.

November 27

Considering 220 candidates per day between 451-600 for 14 days from Nov 14 to Nov 27, the pool might be:

601- 1200= 900 ( I believe that PNPs now will slow down a bit but will still remain above the number of PNPs in September i.e around 500).
473- 600 = 1400 (100 candidates per day for 14 days)
465- 472 = 2881+980 = 3861 (70 candidates per day for 14 days)
451- 464 = 10006 + 700 =10706 (50 candidates per day for 14 days)


The break-down of pool size on Nov 13 was approx:
600-1200 = 709
473- 600 = 1000 (100 candidates per day for 10 days)
465- 472 = 2881(backlog)+700(new)= 3581 (70 candidates per day for 10 days)
451- 464 = 10006(backlog)+500(new)= 10506 (50 candidates per day for 14 days)

Total above 451 to 600 = 15087 (as per prediction)
Total above 451 to 600 = 14915 (as per pool)
 

NataliaBazz

Star Member
Dec 16, 2018
125
55
Guys I have a strong feeling that the addition of new profiles is very minimal.
I thinking CIC is trying to clear the backlogs. Bcoz there is no way 3600 candidates have 471 score even with PNP nominations
With pnp more then 700 people and they have more than 1000 crs. So 2900 have 471-600
 

Skitles

Star Member
Sep 12, 2019
112
64
Point distribution between 450-600 should be outlined . Are most of these candidates between 455-460 or 460-465 or 465-470 or more than 470 ??? 450-600 is s very wide range with so many candidates
Totally second that.
One day I was thinking IRCC publishes distribution of 401-450 because may be in those days the cut-off remained in that region. But it's not the case anymore and they should provide distribution data on those within 450-600 range (or 450-500 at least).
 
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Lazybug

Star Member
May 1, 2019
146
123
For people with score above 471 and not getting ITA yet, surely it's frightening as they may worry about an error in the system.
But then to those who are sure NOT getting an ITA this round, especially those who are so close to getting one, these questions may feel like salt to a fresh new wound :(
Ofcourse, I am happy for them but every time after a draw. Every time!