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Ray of Hope - 128th Draw

XpLoDe-NeF said:
It is poor reasoning to predict the next CRS draw result from this forum's internal tracker. The internal tracker is not representative of the the EE pool.
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Chill!!! As @ahsanshahbaz explained crs tracker gives you a general idea of express entry pool. I agree that it is not exact representation but you can tell things like score density, amount of PNP applicants entering, people improving scores etc.

Also, I am not arguing with anybody here just giving my predictions. Everyone have their own perspective. If you don't agree please ignore.
 
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MMUNEEBA said:
Thanks much appreciate your reply. I heard some case worker reject your case due to minor issues.
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I have not read about a case similar to yours.. you can discuss this with a ircc approved lawyer.. he'll be able to guide you better than me.. or tag seniors and ask the question
 
ahsanshahbaz said:
Yes, but like any data sample it is a sample and you use the data to project pool numbers. If you have keenly observed the tracker and the scores for past few draws you can get a fair bit of idea how the pool will be on the date of the draw. E.g when pnps are issued in bulk you will see 1000+ army show up. Gives you an insight into the trend.
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Yes, the statement that the general trend in an upward is verifiable and correct. The issue is that the week to week predictions are, more often than not, incorrect.

And yes, one can use the internal tracker to attempt to simulate the EE pool but what I am trying to get others to understand is that it is a poor method. If one actually plots the distribution of the internal tracker vs EE pool distribution, they will see that it has a poor correlation coefficient. This means that the very few people on the tracker are not representative of the 100 000+ people in the EE pool.

It's not even close.
 
Angel1113 said:
Chill!!! As @ahsanshahbaz explained crs tracker gives you a general idea of express entry pool. I agree that it is not exact representation but you can tell things like score density, amount of PNP applicants entering, people improving scores etc.

Also, I am not arguing with anybody here just giving my predictions. Everyone have their own perspective. If you don't agree please ignore.
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I am, as you put it, "chilled".

When ideas are put out into the public realm, prepare to have them tested. I am happy to have my ideas tested.

The wheat needs to be separated from the chaff.
 
NataliaBazz said:
I do realize that, but chances for clb 10 are infinitesimal!!) It was quite a road to get 8777, especially considering that idp or bc used to reduce the marks for writing! Hope for the best)
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I am almost in a matching position. I worked the entire 2019 to get 7 in writing after maxing the other 3 sections. Now waiting with 453 score with only hope to reach 456 by achieving 7.5 in writing . Waiting for Back-to-Back draws or a tech draw from Ontario.

Not sure if selecting multiple target provinces would be a wise option. Still researching about that.
 
ComingSoon91 said:
I am almost in a matching position. I worked the entire 2019 to get 7 in writing after maxing the other 3 sections. Now waiting with 453 score with only hope to reach 456 by achieving 7.5 in writing . Waiting for Back-to-Back draws or a tech draw from Ontario.

Not sure if selecting multiple target provinces would be a wise option. Still researching about that.
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I guess Ontario will come back eventually in 2020 with tech draw. No way that they've done it only twice on 12.07 and 1.08. So,i believe we should wait until 2020!) I wish you to receive noi! As i understand how difficult it can be to achieve 7.5 without loosing in other bands! Good luck!)
 
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ComingSoon91 said:
I am almost in a matching position. I worked the entire 2019 to get 7 in writing after maxing the other 3 sections. Now waiting with 453 score with only hope to reach 456 by achieving 7.5 in writing . Waiting for Back-to-Back draws or a tech draw from Ontario.

Not sure if selecting multiple target provinces would be a wise option. Still researching about that.
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Choosing more than one province isn't an issue I guess, I chose everything cause still hope for EE draw(458)
 
NataliaBazz said:
Choosing more than one province isn't an issue I guess, I chose everything cause still hope for EE draw(458)
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I think I will give IELTS one more shot this year so that I am sure I got the maximum score I can get in EE without having to go for a Masters degree. Computer delivered IELTS made the writing section a bit more easier. May I ask when did you create your profile ? As selecting all provinces and not getting NOI by now raises some concerns for me.
 
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ComingSoon91 said:
I think I will give IELTS one more shot this year so that I am sure I got the maximum score I can get in EE without having to go for a Masters degree. Computer delivered IELTS made the writing section a bit more easier. May I ask when did you create your profile ? As selecting all provinces and not getting NOI by now raises some concerns for me.
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I've just increased to clb9 in September AFTER Ontario made their draws( so it was too late for me. Even though i finally get +70 scores (before clb9 it was near 380..) . Bad timing for me.
 
ahsanshahbaz said:
Your score is 462. You are safe bro. I know last draw was surprise but scores do fall and they will to at-least get you an ITA. No point going to canada without your better half spousal sponsorship is a lengthy (1 year) process and you will have remain in canada until your spouse get PR. Besides you have to give a strong reason why spouse is not accompanying.
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Yeah it's 463 but I am loosing points in early January and want in before that. I've heard one can add spouse after ITA and before eAPR if the overall score does not fall below the CRS of that particular draw.
 
Woqi114 said:
Yeah it's 463 but I am loosing points in early January and want in before that. I've heard one can add spouse after ITA and before eAPR if the overall score does not fall below the CRS of that particular draw.
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Now if lets say you add spouse later your points will recalculated to 463. How will it serve you favourably lets say in the draw that your application was picked had CRS cut off of 465. That would get you a rejection. 463 is a good score you should be through by last draw for October or first draw November. CRS will certainly drop a point or 2 to get you picked.
 
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