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Ray of Hope - 125th Draw

missusd

Member
Jul 24, 2019
11
4
I think the government is just popularizing and marketing the program better now - leading to more applicants. People with higher scores are just a by-product of more applications. There are also more people applying in the lower to mid score ranges, however, given that cic's draw sizes aren't increasing by as much, it's candidates with higher scores that are getting ITAs.

A few other factors to consider:
1) America's lockdown on VISAs leading companies and candidates to Canada.
2) People in the pool doing things to improve their scores - if you're in your twenties, adding work ex or language skills can easily take you over the 470 mark. If you happen to have completed a master's degree from a reputed (recognized internationally) university, a 470 is a given.

People in the 450s might need to:
1) Ace the IELTS
2) Get ECAs from other orgs to see if they're more favourable.
3) Explore less popular PNPs
4) Learn french (3-4 months intensive study)
 
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CananEE123

Full Member
Aug 20, 2019
26
10
I don't understand this draw thing.

As of August 2, there were a total of 116,006 candidates in the Express Entry pool.
451-1200 - 7295
As of August 15, there were a total of 116,879 candidates in the Express Entry pool.
451-1200 - 7165
As of August 30, there were a total of 119,042 candidates in the Express Entry pool.
451-1200 - 7221

After 15th to 30th August 7165-3600 = 3565 is the balance after draw.
Now after 15 days 7221-3565 = 3656 (between 450 and 1200) came and all have more than 463 ? can someone explain ?
Since April (Last time time break was before April) people are scared and trying to get more marks. So there is a lag and other factors such as HQB1 visa etc... it will be like this for two three months. Hope it will come down soon.
 

Not_Your_Donkey_Kong

Hero Member
Apr 19, 2019
321
331
30
Category........
FSW
True. Before this #110 draw, 440s were the norm, then 450s became the norm from january. Now it looks like 460 might become the new normal in terms of the cut offs. And at 454, I feel like there is no way I will get an ITA by the end of this year.
Mark my words. You will. I am pretty pretty sure, year end cut off would be around 450.
 
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daksh1803

Full Member
Jul 22, 2019
26
15
How in this world can it shoot to 463 when people are saying around 1500 nominations to come in 4 days.
From 31st to 2nd they were not working, till yesterday there were no nominations given to 12th July oinp draw people (as far as I know only limited ones got their nomination)
Ainp, sinp nos. Are not that big to spike up the score to this level.

Only CIC knows the answer :(
Indeed disappointing to see this and then there are negative people who are now showing up to rub it on our face.
Not a good end to the day.
 

BLACKPILL

Star Member
Jun 8, 2019
107
43
Mark my words. You will. I am pretty pretty sure, year end cut off would be around 450.
Have you considered another FSW delay? That will kill the hope for 450s. Just saying. I have found another plan but you need your own. Sitting here praying doesn’t work, at least for the past four months. Waiting for another b2b is like waiting aimlessly.
 
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smash1984

Champion Member
Oct 7, 2018
2,077
849
Lol. 465? What are you high on? Have you even observed the dynamics of how this works? No offence man, but you seem to be clueless about it.
If draw happens today, expect cut off to be well below 460.
Lol, your silly post didn't age very well did it :p.

It's just 2 points below 465 and not well below 460. Seems like some people here don't understand the dynamics here, and I ain't one of them.
 

Not_Your_Donkey_Kong

Hero Member
Apr 19, 2019
321
331
30
Category........
FSW
Have you considered another FSW delay? That will kill the hope for 450s. Just saying. I have found another plan but you need your own. Sitting here praying doesn’t work, at least for the past four months. Waiting for another b2b is like waiting aimlessly.
I ll be in 480s by Q1 of the next year. So I am not worried. Besides, I am just 24. I still would have study route to fall on to, if everything else fails, but well, I don't want it to come to that.

And as for what I said, it is a reasonable assumption. Now obviously, it doesn't have to be that way, but given the annual target, it has to be. Next draw would clear the picture.
 

globus.we

Newbie
Sep 4, 2019
3
1
One good thing, 451-1200 candidates are around 7200. Remained constant, after OINP also. Still 3600 X 8 = 28000 draw left this year. Hope it will come down to 450 at least.