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Ray of Hope - 125th Draw

Not_Your_Donkey_Kong said:
Consider that again. May 31 and July 12 saw two OINP draws. Around 2700 invitations were issued. Now lets say that about 2000 were converted into actual nominations. OINP processing time varies from 2-4 months. It is very likely that the major chunk of those were issued nomination only recently, or at least updated their profiles with 600 points recently, since the build up in 600+ category in the draws since July was never quite as much as expected, given the PNPs. Now add to this AINP and SINP nomination.

Besides, 460+ candidates cannot be as high as I said. They don't rain out of nowhere. Not like they were kids coming out from their classes in recess time lol.

I mean, come on. You seem like a logical person, and all you got is gut feeling as evidence?
As for activity for PNP guys, try following Facebook forums. They are coming around in huge numbers!!
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It’s odd because people say that OINP is issued within the 6 month time frame - up to 10 months if you are lucky.
 
PNP will become mainstream I feel. Bad news for people below 460. We can’t justify rely on a random b2b draw to try out luck, 456 is a bad score for now.
 
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Itas said:
Same thing happened in draw 110. Scores shot up from 438 to 457 in january, and didn't come below 450 since. I dont feel discredited, don't worry. This is just a discussion forum
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That's because the time period between draw #110 (438) and #111 (457) was of 21 days, whereas between draw #109 and #110 was of 7 days.
 
Most people with May 31 OINP have got nominations now, and the July 12 people are in DIP.
 
Captain789 said:
It’s odd because people say that OINP is issued within the 6 month time frame - up to 10 months if you are lucky.
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No not really. They have sped up the process quite much. A friend of mine was issued invitation in May. Recieved nomination in Aug, second week.
 
Folks there is no point in analyzing why it is 463. Every year there is about 10 points increase in cutoff. I am pretty sure the cutoff will remain around high 450s, 460-470 soon if PNP keeps on going. Better figure out another way to get PR.
 
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Not_Your_Donkey_Kong said:
That's because the time period between draw #110 (438) and #111 (457) was of 21 days, whereas between draw #109 and #110 was of 7 days.
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True. Before this #110 draw, 440s were the norm, then 450s became the norm from january. Now it looks like 460 might become the new normal in terms of the cut offs. And at 454, I feel like there is no way I will get an ITA by the end of this year.
 
breakthrough2019 said:
Who on earth can explain what just happened here? Why are the scores 463 ?? After a b2b draw we have 457 , then normalization to the 2 weekly draw we now have 463. Could someone kindly help with a logical explanation? I’m utterly confused!
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They control the scores from tie break last time. I knew there will be a hike.
 
I think the government is just popularizing and marketing the program better now - leading to more applicants. People with higher scores are just a by-product of more applications. There are also more people applying in the lower to mid score ranges, however, given that cic's draw sizes aren't increasing by as much, it's candidates with higher scores that are getting ITAs.

A few other factors to consider:
1) America's lockdown on VISAs leading companies and candidates to Canada.
2) People in the pool doing things to improve their scores - if you're in your twenties, adding work ex or language skills can easily take you over the 470 mark. If you happen to have completed a master's degree from a reputed (recognized internationally) university, a 470 is a given.

People in the 450s might need to:
1) Ace the IELTS
2) Get ECAs from other orgs to see if they're more favourable.
3) Explore less popular PNPs
4) Learn french (3-4 months intensive study)
 
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greeshma_aju said:
I don't understand this draw thing.

As of August 2, there were a total of 116,006 candidates in the Express Entry pool.
451-1200 - 7295
As of August 15, there were a total of 116,879 candidates in the Express Entry pool.
451-1200 - 7165
As of August 30, there were a total of 119,042 candidates in the Express Entry pool.
451-1200 - 7221

After 15th to 30th August 7165-3600 = 3565 is the balance after draw.
Now after 15 days 7221-3565 = 3656 (between 450 and 1200) came and all have more than 463 ? can someone explain ?
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Since April (Last time time break was before April) people are scared and trying to get more marks. So there is a lag and other factors such as HQB1 visa etc... it will be like this for two three months. Hope it will come down soon.
 
Itas said:
True. Before this #110 draw, 440s were the norm, then 450s became the norm from january. Now it looks like 460 might become the new normal in terms of the cut offs. And at 454, I feel like there is no way I will get an ITA by the end of this year.
Click to expand...

Mark my words. You will. I am pretty pretty sure, year end cut off would be around 450.
 
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How in this world can it shoot to 463 when people are saying around 1500 nominations to come in 4 days.
From 31st to 2nd they were not working, till yesterday there were no nominations given to 12th July oinp draw people (as far as I know only limited ones got their nomination)
Ainp, sinp nos. Are not that big to spike up the score to this level.

Only CIC knows the answer :(
Indeed disappointing to see this and then there are negative people who are now showing up to rub it on our face.
Not a good end to the day.
 
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