The forum would really use an FAQ with AOR timelines - Mods are you there?
Call CIC today July 19 and ask them the question - "what date applications are you opening?". If they tell you a date before July 8 then relax and enjoy the summer. If they tell you a date after July 8 (which they won't) then something is wrong. It takes 6-10 weeks to get an AOR...try and forget about this for a while else you will stress out and miss out on the sunshine!