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Guessing minimum points for the 3rd draw.

porc

Full Member
Jan 23, 2015
32
0
Category........
NOC Code......
Barn Manager
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
1st draw: 886 points minimum for 779 invitations

2nd draw: 818 points minimum for 779 invitations AGAIN.

I'm just guessing. lol

3rd draw: 788 points minimum for 779 invitations.

Weird.. Favourite number 7 and 8 ;D ;D ;D
 

desertfox

Hero Member
Dec 9, 2014
731
68
123
porc said:
1st draw: 886 points minimum for 779 invitations

2nd draw: 818 points minimum for 779 invitations AGAIN.

I'm just guessing. lol

3rd draw: 788 points minimum for 779 invitations.

Weird.. Favourite number 7 and 8 ;D ;D ;D
779 multiplied by 48 Weeks (Saturdays only from Jan 31)
=
37,392 ITA

CIC cant meet its immigration targets this way.

Either employer will start issuing LMIA or CIC will have to invite people without Job Offers.

Let's see what happens
 

porc

Full Member
Jan 23, 2015
32
0
Category........
NOC Code......
Barn Manager
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
desertfox said:
779 multiplied by 48 Weeks (Saturdays only from Jan 31)
=
37,392 ITA

CIC cant meet its immigration targets this way.

Either employer will start issuing LMIA or CIC will have to invite people without Job Offers.

Let's see what happens

[\quote]

What I think too, CIC will always withdraw only 779 ITA's, and then post the CRS for whomever those ITA's have the least score.
 

the_lion

Hero Member
May 24, 2012
394
29
Job Offer........
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Perfect calculation desertFox.
+1 for that.
i also think, the score will come down to somewhere in the 400's and stop there.
 

porc

Full Member
Jan 23, 2015
32
0
Category........
NOC Code......
Barn Manager
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
what I think too, CIC will always only withdraw 779 ITA's each draw and then post the CRS for whomever those ITA's had the least score on CIC ministerial instructions
 

Hemi427

Hero Member
Jan 31, 2015
240
6
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
We cannot second guess the score for the draw. Its not a guess work but entirely based on supply and demand. If they get enough candidates they might not drop the score or if they don't get enough candidates, score might drop. So rather than guessing, try to increase your score and you never know when you might get lucky.
 

preeti.msingh109

Hero Member
Jul 18, 2014
435
19
Hemi427 said:
We cannot second guess the score for the draw. Its not a guess work but entirely based on supply and demand. If they get enough candidates they might not drop the score or if they don't get enough candidates, score might drop. So rather than guessing, try to increase your score and you never know when you might get lucky.

Increasing score to this level definitely needs an LMIA...what do people sitting outside Canada do?? look for another country??...job bank is also not starting :'(
 

mf4361

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2014
2,459
129
Category........
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
18 Nov 2015
Nomination.....
12 Oct 2015
AOR Received.
25 Feb 2016
IELTS Request
Sent
Med's Request
28 Oct 2016
Med's Done....
14 Nov 2016
Passport Req..
27 Feb 2017
VISA ISSUED...
15 Mar 2017
LANDED..........
16 Mar 2017
My guess is CIC is deliberately making ITAs low and driving required points high enough so that no existing people gets ITA without LMIA.
Then after provinces get the PNP program running and job bank usage starts picking up (thus more LMIA be issued to foreign job seekers), then they will increase ITAs. But by then, lots of people in the pool will have LMIA or PNP and required points aren't going to drop so much. #Conspiracy

But even that, I still don't get how they are going to achieve 132k target under EE
 

Maplemadness82

Hero Member
Dec 2, 2014
336
4
mf4361 said:
My guess is CIC is deliberately making ITAs low and driving required points high enough so that no existing people gets ITA without LMIA.
Then after provinces get the PNP program running and job bank usage starts picking up (thus more LMIA be issued to foreign job seekers), then they will increase ITAs. But by then, lots of people in the pool will have LMIA or PNP and required points aren't going to drop so much. #Conspiracy

But even that, I still don't get how they are going to achieve 132k target under EE
Where is the source for this 132K?
Does this number include Principal applicant + dependents??
 

mf4361

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2014
2,459
129
Category........
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
18 Nov 2015
Nomination.....
12 Oct 2015
AOR Received.
25 Feb 2016
IELTS Request
Sent
Med's Request
28 Oct 2016
Med's Done....
14 Nov 2016
Passport Req..
27 Feb 2017
VISA ISSUED...
15 Mar 2017
LANDED..........
16 Mar 2017
Maplemadness82 said:
Where is the source for this 132K?
Does this number include Principal applicant + dependents??
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/media/notices/2014-11-06.asp

My bad it was 114-122k. Add FSW/FST, CEC, PNP together.
 

PMM

VIP Member
Jun 30, 2005
25,494
1,948
Hi


Maplemadness82 said:
Where is the source for this 132K?
Does this number include Principal applicant + dependents??
1. The total number includes Principals and dependents.
 

SharpC

Member
Oct 21, 2014
18
1
San Francisco
Category........
NOC Code......
2232/2132
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
In EE pool: CRS 427
IELTS Request
Overall Band: 9.0
I'm going to stick with my original guesses I posted on this forum on Jan 6th.

Final draw in February will be around 475.

Jan 928 - Actual 886 (off by 5%)
Feb 475
March 458
April 449
May 432
June 425
July 413
Aug 405
Sept 395
Oct 386
Nov 380

--
SharpC
 

the_lion

Hero Member
May 24, 2012
394
29
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Sonewhere in hgh 700's for sure.
all I want to see is how long can they hold their 779.
might be that 779 is just a coincidence. Let's see!
 

arvleo

Newbie
Feb 4, 2015
5
0
any rationale for this?
SharpC said:
I'm going to stick with my original guesses I posted on this forum on Jan 6th.

Final draw in February will be around 475.

Jan 928 - Actual 886 (off by 5%)
Feb 475
March 458
April 449
May 432
June 425
July 413
Aug 405
Sept 395
Oct 386
Nov 380

--
SharpC
 

dp143

Full Member
Jan 14, 2015
46
0
preeti.msingh109 said:
Increasing score to this level definitely needs an LMIA...what do people sitting outside Canada do?? look for another country??...job bank is also not starting :'(
Job bank has just started working ...may be wef 10th Feb.
But seems flow of job options may take some more time. Very difficult to get additional 600 points sitting outside Canada.
Anyway, just update your profile for the time being ...