Reading through this thread, apparently all of us who applied June 2025 to end of 2025 only received the XG email, no AOR for any applicant June-December 2025.
As per IRCC's estimated processing times, there are 69,700 applicants ahead of June 2025 applications.
I'm just thinking loud here.. no official information..
Upon launching the one-time initiative, IRCC maybe will logically first clear the applicants up to Dec 2023 as a first patch of this initiative: (around 23,100) - this is the number of files ahead of Jan 2024 applicants as per IRCC estimated processing times.... hopefully this will take IRCC up to 3-4 months in total...
Then, IRCC maybe will process the 2024 applicants (30,700).. this is again from IRCC estimated processing times.. (53,800 ahead of Jan 2025 applicants - those ahead of Jan 2024 applicants: 53,800 - 23,100 = 30,700) ..... Again, hopefully the 2024 applicants will be cleared within 4-5 months..
Then IRCC will start processing 2025 applicants
(97,200 - 53,800 = 43,400)
(97,200 applications ahead of Jan 2026 applicants) - 53,800 (backlog until Jan 2025 = 43,400 (number of 2025 applicants)...
As per IRCC processing times, this will hopefully be done within 7-8 months (6,000 application a month)..
Processing +6,000 applications per month seems too optimistic.. I don't know if IRCC have put in place all the necessary resources/tools/synergies that will make this possible...
Again.. it is possible that some files will be processed faster than others... with less complex security screening depending on country of origin.. minimum travel history.. single.. in Canada.. how busy is the processing office/officer ... etc.. several factors to consider here..