Correct but we do not know when they will.If CIC goes back to all programs draw bi-monthly, high chance it drops to 470.
Correct but we do not know when they will.If CIC goes back to all programs draw bi-monthly, high chance it drops to 470.
Increasing number of ITA to 4200 is an indication that they are trying to drop the CRS. Hopefully all program draws resume soon. Or they surprise us with an unexpected drawCorrect but we do not know when they will.
That's really encouraging,Thanks bhagwant12
I studied at home by myself... No teacher, no nothing. Here are the things that I used/did:
1) Pimsleur (all five levels, with each lesson repeated at least 4 or 5 times)
2) Assimil French with Ease and Assimil Using French
3) Various textbooks (Alter Ego 2, 3, 4, and half of 5; Belleville B1, B2; Rond Point 2; Streetwise French [this one isn't exactly a textbook])
4) YouTube videos to try and understand specific grammatical points (Learn French With Vincent, Learn French With Alexa and some others)
5) Watched French TV online (BFMTV, CNEWS, Franceinfo, France24)
6) Watched French parliamentary debates (That Melanchon dude is awesome; I know nothing about politics, but he speaks with a lot of conviction and gets you hooked)
7) Weekly calls with language partners on the app HelloTalk to practice my speaking
8) Towards the end, I would write a paragraph or two and send them to my language partners for correction; that REALLY saved my life
9) Changed the language of my devices to French
10) Read ALL Sherlock Holmes stories in French
As for how long every day, I am lucky in that I have tons of free time every day, so I studied French a lot... At least 3 or 4 hours even on a "bad" day.
I wouldn't get my hope up so high if I were you because we all knew what happened the last time we had a huge draw in February. I hope it doesn't translate to a momentary pause of the FSW draws this time around.Increasing number of ITA to 4200 is an indication that they are trying to drop the CRS. Hopefully all program draws resume soon. Or they surprise us with an unexpected draw
This increase happened because many ITA's are getting wasted, check some of the discussion on the forum, applications are being returned as incomplete for silliest of reasons. A similar draw happened at the start of the year with 4500 invites.Increasing number of ITA to 4200 is an indication that they are trying to drop the CRS. Hopefully all program draws resume soon. Or they surprise us with an unexpected draw
No it isn’t.Increasing number of ITA to 4200 is an indication that they are trying to drop the CRS.
I don't think that they're trying to drop the CRS score. They get nothing out of doing this. But... If IRCC really had any intention to reduce the number of ITAs to compensate higher unemployment rates, or simply because they wouldn't be able to process all the applications, they certainly would have A LOT of previous background to do that.Increasing number of ITA to 4200 is an indication that they are trying to drop the CRS. Hopefully all program draws resume soon. Or they surprise us with an unexpected draw
Same here. Don't risk your chance to migrate to Canada just to save 1500CAD. You have gone this far.That's correct. Last draw was a real eye-opener. Even with the extra 300 invites, only 13 months' worth backed up profiles were called (an approximate metric that I've been using to calculate the density. July end 476 was the August 5 draw cut-off and August end 475 was the September 2 draw cut-off. So the train moved around 13 months before stopping, if you can visualize what I'm trying to say). The equivalent amount of distance travelled between the July 8th and August 5th draws was close to 30 months.
I applied to the OINP over the weekend as I don't have faith in a direct ITA anymore even with 474. The inflow is increasing quite a lot.
The cut off will drop, and there's no new normal. They will soon restart bi monthly draws.I don't think that they're trying to drop the CRS score. They get nothing out of doing this. But... If IRCC really had any intention to reduce the number of ITAs to compensate higher unemployment rates, or simply because they wouldn't be able to process all the applications, they certainly would have A LOT of previous background to do that.
Stop me if I'm wrong, but I believe 2020 has been the year with the most ITAs issued so far, on the entire EE history. I've never seem such a high level os 3,900 ITAs being draw every 15 weeks, non-stop. Even FST aren't stopping IRCC from continuing with the fortnightly 3,900 draws! (while in the past, we would always had twice a year draws with very low number of ITAs (<1000) for FST'S only draws, while all other programs were left behind for 4 weeks)
So, I'm very optimistic about the future of EE, but... I'm really starting to think the days for FSWs are fading away, and that the PNP/CEC - GENERAL - PNP/CEC - GENERAL pattern is here to stay. Unfortunately. I wouldn't count on scores dropping much more than they are right now. Even 4200 ITAs weren't enough to drop 2 points! Imagine what we'll see once all IELTS and TCFs are back to normal? If the pattern PNP/CEC/GENERAL persists, 475 really is the new normal.
There is no indication they will do anything even remotely resembling historical data. Speculation is purely that...speculation. With some more pie-in-the-sky than others.The cut off will drop, and there's no new normal. They will soon restart bi monthly draws.
I’d rather be safe with some negativity than build castles in the air. I had fallen into that trap in these threads this time last year, when I trusted all the random predictions and optimism. Delayed the start of my French preparation by 2/3 months.If you are not calm with 474, I won't consider your earlier analysis. Seems you are just plain negative-minded, lol.
Ok. Now I understand why you are agitated.I’d rather be safe with some negativity than build castles in the air. I had fallen into that trap in these threads this time last year, when I trusted all the random predictions and optimism. Delayed the start of my French preparation by 2/3 months.
I have just tried to model the data available to us. And if the current trend to continue, the CRS cut-off would be dropping much faster than expected.If CIC goes back to all programs draw bi-monthly, high chance it drops to 470.