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Ray of Hope - 121st Draw

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
I'd say there is a 70% chance for 460 to be selected, 20% chance for 459 and 10% for 461. So hang in there, you might just get lucky. It all depends on the number of entrants per day between now and then.
We don’t know the exact accumulation on each score, it might happen that most accumulation may be on other scores instead of 460,461 and score might fall sharply.
But with even distribution, 459 is not likely on 10th July :(
 

Ilyushin76

Hero Member
Mar 24, 2019
485
190
We don’t know the exact accumulation on each score, it might happen that most accumulation may be on other scores instead of 460,461 and score might fall sharply.
But with even distribution, 459 is not likely on 10th July :(
People like me on 456 should head out for a vacation then :D
 
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Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
Okay, I see your logic, but you are assuming a constant intake per day over the 56 day period. The actual percentage should be higher as the number of entrants per day reduced since the June 12th draw. But thanks, you made me think about it for a while to double check my own calcs.
They cleared 462 from May 1 to 11th and per day addition of 451+ during that time was about 200, hence percentage might be less than 18%
 

James_bk_fun

Star Member
Mar 3, 2019
57
22
Your application will be denied as you lied about non accompanying spouse unless you show concrete evidence he will leave Canada shortly. You tried to game the system and will pay the price.
Following on from my previous response and having thought on it, I’m inclined to agree. I think it’ll definitely look like you tried to be play the points system and if they think it’s dishonest, you could be barred from applying again soon.

You’d need to explore whether your spouse could stay under your sponsorship if you have PR but I highly doubt it. It’s the whole point of having 2 points categories for single and married couples - you can’t have it both ways.

If I were you, I’d decline the invite, update your profile to be accurate and try to get your joint points high enough
 

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
I'd say there is a 70% chance for 460 to be selected, 20% chance for 459 and 10% for 461. So hang in there, you might just get lucky. It all depends on the number of entrants per day between now and then.
Considering current situation:
461: 80%
460: 20% :(
 

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
Election results won’t matter much.
Sheer is not against express entry.
He will curb refugee and illegal immigration and that vacuum might be filled by express entry by increased ITA
Meanwhile liberals would like to prove their point by increasing ITA before elections :)
They won’t want to fail on targets so that they can blame sheer in future
 

jjk505

Star Member
Jan 30, 2019
65
23
37
Managua, Nicaragua
Category........
FSW
AOR Received.
22-09-2019
CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS

(Updated till 11:30 AM IST today) CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA:

  • 460+ (Total 5) - ajangbar001: 461 | meet0708: 461 | parth7d: 461 | Yukti2406: 461 | crjusuf: 461
  • 455-460 (Total 28) – DreamITA: 460 | epema.kz: 460 | Ican2019: 460 | Punitsingh: 459 | nadal87: 459 | MuibKhan: 458 | chirkut: 458 | Kenneth89: 458 | Herlo: 458 | Dhaval Trivedi: 458 | jollystripes: 458 | Herlo: 458 | #EEC: 457 | sarak1812: 457 | Priyasehgal22: 457 | sahils123: 457 | tharibak: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | Angel1113: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | Folaroyal: 455 | yigitsk: 455 | merlz: 455
  • 450-454 (Total 36) - chirag171987: 454 | atuls: 454 | SG1507: 454 | Mspa: 454 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | madhav_91: 453 | vivosvoco: 453 | Teenz: 453 | Maya53: 453 | Uchyann: 453 | jricardobt: 453 | Suhasrs: 452 | ArsheyaBegum: 452 | cdddelhi: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | praveen22: 451 | captainUT: 451 | tonydlaw24: 451 | Chuaxin1: 451 | 13nitinsharma: 450 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | hakweye: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | mamuso: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450 | Ranjitrip: 450 | Hasrat123: 450
  • 445-449 (Total 61) - Shaanoh: 449 | Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | dappy9: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 |nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | patel_d07: 448 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | Tivativalu: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | Lazybug: 448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | Dewdrops1502: 448 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | LKRYA: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | SASH8288: 446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | prince_lords:445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | Yiss: 445 | IeltsDream2019: 445 | MarvelousMitz: 445
  • 441-444 (Total 39) - NikSharma01:444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | nns14: 444 | Rohanisha: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443| Lena32: 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | tani: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Mukeshprasada: 441 | akhil994: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | Sony K Koshy: 441 | WantToImmigrate: 441 | os32: 441
  • 435-440 (Total 17) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 | Hemilshah80: 435
  • Below 435 (Total 6) - Life79: 432 | kumsa83: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421
Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list or missed out in yesterday's draw.
Hello please add me on 458 i just lost 5 points in april
 

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
I know you are very good in your predictions, but pls be positive the score will fall below that.. does it mean score won't fall below 460?
On one hand I also want to look positive,
On the other hand I want to truthfully express my mind without fear of being called negative

I Choose the second option:)


However these are just prediction of a single person on various assumptions which may be wrong, I politely accept that and don’t claim to be right :)
In fact I am at 459 I daily pray for a cut-off of 459
 
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Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
@Punitsingh are u saying scores won't go below 460 through out July?
Wud not be appropriate to predict further without seeing the trend of 10th July but on basis of current trend, CRS will touch on 459 on 7th August
Considering 3350 ita
However, I am very hopeful that ITA will increase in July as liberal wud like to present their best show before elections