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Ray of Hope - 116th Draw

SeniorStakes

Hero Member
Nov 7, 2018
720
408
Toronto
So, with the recent data as per 26 April, the 450+ applicants have gradually decreased.
The sum is 1511+279=1790
As the 3350 ITAs were given to them, so remaining fies left are:
3350-1790=1560

Does tht mean, these profiles were registered within the 5 days.
1560/5=312

:confused::eek:
OMG! Its getting bigger now!:mad:
No no you are doing the math wrong.

Two mistakes:
1. Denominator is 5.75 or 5.8 instead of 5
2. Some 450 candidates got through today so you need to adjust for these non-451 folks
 

NikSharma01

Champion Member
Jan 3, 2019
1,624
1,210
Now this is making me really nervous, as my birthdate is on 10th Jul. Clearing 450 backlog will take how many draws now? Do I stand a chance in light of new numbers here!!
If your score is 450, then yes you have a very bright chance. As the cut off has already touched the 450 score. So, yoyou can get through it within the 2 draws.
 
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skg1988

Hero Member
Feb 11, 2019
300
255
So, with the recent data as per 26 April, the 450+ applicants have gradually decreased.
The sum is 1511+279=1790
As the 3350 ITAs were given to them, so remaining fies left are:
3350-1790=1560

Does tht mean, these profiles were registered within the 5 days.
1560/5=312

:confused::eek:
OMG! Its getting bigger now!:mad:
Hey Nik,
I have always seen that the number of candidates entered in the pool after score distribution date, by CIC, are higher than average. I don't think that the distribution is homogeneous in the first 9 days and in the last 5 days. It varies a lot so better to focus on the average distribution in 2-weeks.

Suraj
 
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NikSharma01

Champion Member
Jan 3, 2019
1,624
1,210
No no you are doing the math wrong.

Two mistakes:
1. Denominator is 5.75 or 5.8 instead of 5
2. Some 450 candidates got through today so you need to adjust for these non-451 folks
Oh yeah! I too had a hunch that something might be wrong with my calculations. This Draw thing has really screwed up my mind now!
 

NikSharma01

Champion Member
Jan 3, 2019
1,624
1,210
H
Hey Nik,
I have always seen that the number of candidates entered in the pool after score distribution date, by CIC, are higher than average. I don't think that the distribution is homogeneous in the first 9 days and in the last 5 days. It varies a lot so better to focus on the average distribution in 2-weeks.

Suraj
Hmm. .You're right mate! I'm out from this distribution stuff. It has already blown up my mind. o_O
 
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SeniorStakes

Hero Member
Nov 7, 2018
720
408
Toronto
Hey Nik,
I have always seen that the number of candidates entered in the pool after score distribution date, by CIC, are higher than average. I don't think that the distribution is homogeneous in the first 9 days and in the last 5 days. It varies a lot so better to focus on the average distribution in 2-weeks.

Suraj
It's never 5 in first place. It is 5.5 to 5.9