Ray of Hope - 93rd Draw

[samikdg]

I don't see much positives from this draw. The amount of people entering every day has increased a lot and probably at its record high at the moment.

March 23 Draw which cleared all above 441. We have 317+2596+1092+200 =4205 profile entering in 441 and above in just 16 days. that is 263 profile entering in that region per day. Now with this amount of profile every two weeks we will have 3682 new profile and even with a 3750 ITAs draw, there is no chance for the score coming down below 441 again.

I want to be positive but don't know how you can see positive from the above mentioned stat. Things looking really bleak for 440 and below scoring people.

I agree to this analysis and it is really scary to see 260+ profile/day entering at 441+ range. It was around 190-220/day for last few months except for a brief period before the 9th May draw. If we extrapolate that rate till today, there would have been about 263*21~5500 profiles at 441+ before the draw. Means still 1750 such profiles are remianing in pool.
If IRCC continues with 3750 bi-weekly draws, it will take 25 draws for cut-off to come down to 440 again. In case they decide with 4000 bi-weekly draws, still it will take 5-6 draws.

In summary, extremely negative draw for all like me under 440. Not sure which way this trend is going.

 

[js223]

Just received the ITA. June 13, 3:52 PM (UTC)

 

[SumH12]

Given that the CRS increased again to 450s level , I wish that Ontario Immigrant Nominee Program (OINP) restart issuing Notifications of Interest (NOIs) under HCP soon... that would cheer us up because right now, at least in my case @434, I still feel in a gloomy mood since last Wednesday.

 

[SumH12]

I agree to this analysis and it is really scary to see 260+ profile/day entering at 441+ range. It was around 190-220/day for last few months except for a brief period before the 9th May draw. If we extrapolate that rate till today, there would have been about 263*21~5500 profiles at 441+ before the draw. Means still 1750 such profiles are remianing in pool.
If IRCC continues with 3750 bi-weekly draws, it will take 25 draws for cut-off to come down to 440 again. In case they decide with 4000 bi-weekly draws, still it will take 5-6 draws.

In summary, extremely negative draw for all like me under 440. Not sure which way this trend is going.

It is sad but I agree.
Most probable that there will be 4 draws with 3,750 and then, maybe (not so probable but maybe), they could increase 4 draws to 4,000. And then, again reduce the number.

 

[special3220]

Given that the CRS increased again to 450s level , I wish that Ontario Immigrant Nominee Program (OINP) restart issuing Notifications of Interest (NOIs) under HCP soon... that would cheer us up because right now, at least in my case @434, I still feel in a gloomy mood since last Wednesday.

Nah mate, i hope the opposite happens. If they issue now they will target people above 440. This year they targeted 10 points below the cut off. We, who are in the below 440 region will miss out for sure if they issue in late june or in first half of July.

 

[SumH12]

Nah mate, i hope the opposite happens. If they issue now they will target people above 440. They this targeted 10 points below the cut off. We, who are in the below 440 region will miss out for sure.

You know something... that thought came to my mind also.

 

[noname7]

Nah mate, i hope the opposite happens. If they issue now they will target people above 440. This year they targeted 10 points below the cut off. We, who are in the below 440 region will miss out for sure if they issue in late june or in first half of July.

Excellent point. This is not the right time for OINP HCP. Should wait for a month or two for the cut off to come down and then start issuing NOIs and also hope for the number of NOIs to be high, there are a lot of people after all.

 

[lightning_crashes]

Well, I have learn a couple of things these last days:
First of all, try to improve your score... it will be always the better way, until you have maximized it keep trying. So, don´t think it twice about retaking a test... 2, 3, 4, "x" times.
Second, don´t wait... never wait. It is ok to have hope about the CRS dropping below 440 but instead of only waiting and watching, try other options, like French lessons, masters, etc etc. The sooner you start the better.

Good luck to all of us still in the pool!

Great tips. To strategize to increase scores pls follow the below thread

 

[Arod]

Chill out people, the World Cup is starting tomorrow. It will help clear your mind from all these not so good news.

 

[dodogirl]

Even Attorney Cohen acknowledges that compared to last year cic has issued less ITA and their target is higher than last year..What cic has in surprise we dont know!

 

[special3220]

Even Attorney Cohen acknowledges that compared to last year cic has issued less ITA and their target is higher than last year..What cic has in surprise we dont know!

Well I am not sure what type if surprise is waiting if any. Normal process at the moment it seemsis issuing 3750 for next 3 draws and then 3500, 3000 and 2750 for the rest of year. But if they however goes above 3750 or issue few back to back draw then that would be the surprise for me. But it seems highly unlikely at this point.

 

[EbenGp]

Righto, so back to the waiting game with our 451 score, hopefully the next draw we will get an ITA

 

[jessoabr]

Well I am not sure what type if surprise is waiting if any. Normal process at the moment it seemsis issuing 3750 for next 3 draws and then 3500, 3000 and 2750 for the rest of year. But if they however goes above 3750 or issue few back to back draw then that would be the surprise for me. But it seems highly unlikely at this point.

You said it!! this year’s target is easily achievable if they follow this trend. However, going down than 440 is not even a possibility as of now!

 

[Jimmysuperfly]

I can only imagine what the 3750th person in today's draw had gone through the past year. The disappointment of the many draws that came and went, the slowly dying ray of hope and the sudden realisation that he/she has to boost their crs score one way or the other.And even the will to never give up waoh!. We all must not,never give up.

 

[journey21]

I'm quite shocked at how fast the total number of people in the pool has grown from one draw to the next, to the next etc.
Now that IRCC has so many more applicants to choose from, we can expect the score to remain at rather high levels in the near future.
I hope the phenomenon of 2017 can be repeated.