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Ray of Hope - 84th Draw

Dolarosa

Star Member
Dec 19, 2017
68
84
If it happens today.

CRS Projection.

If it Happens today 21th February 2018.


CRS Cutoff: 441

Confidence Interval: +/- 1

No. of ITA: 3,000



This is entirely based on interpolation from previous draws and recent events.
FEB 21, 2018 - DRAW PREDICTION:

I have come up with the prediction for the 84th draw.

If it happens today (Feb 21) with:
3000 ITAs - CRS 441
3250 ITAs - CRS 440
3500 ITAs - CRS 439


The variance in the above calculation is +/- 2 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than the predicted ITA count:

Thanks so much. Any hopes for 442 at 2750 invites?
 

Bassay

Star Member
Sep 29, 2017
115
42
Guys do we have a draw today? i.e. on 02/21/2018? I have fingers crossed!! And do we get ITA notification just in profile or even in email we are notified that we recieved ITA?
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
How you are so specific 20%, as far as I know cic is unpredictable.
20% chance means 20% probability. I am not being specific here!
Yes, CIC is unpredictable.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
True. Would you happen to know if anyone has got NOI despite living out of the province?
Also, will it make any impact to my profile if I include Ontario in the Province of Interest ?

Any help is greatly appreciated.
I do not know of any such case. Ideally, it should not have any impact.
 

amit_saha1986

Full Member
Jul 29, 2015
41
5
Guys do we have a draw today? i.e. on 02/21/2018? I have fingers crossed!! And do we get ITA notification just in profile or even in email we are notified that we recieved ITA?
you will get an email as new notification in your profile. You will have to login to your profile and read the notification.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Is OINP sending invitation on monthly basis too?
Currently, they are sending invites almost every week. It could change though.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
@abhishek_89 please tell us whats your prediction for today’s draw especially if the number of ITAs is 2750.
Not sure why you are expecting the number of ITAs to decrease in this draw. Based on my prediction, even with 2750 ITAs, the cut off would be 441.
 
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abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Does it seem likely that the golden number of the day will be 3000 and not 2750?
3000 ITAs looks like the most likely situation considering they had increased the number of invites in the last draw.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Thanks so much. Any hopes for 442 at 2750 invites?
There is a slight chance for the cut off to remain at CRS 442 but even in the worst case if it does remain at 442, the tie breaking rule date should be a recent date and majority of the folks stuck at CRS 442 should get the invite.