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Ray of Hope - 84th Draw

krishkumar7

Full Member
Nov 17, 2017
43
21
india
Hi guys

I am surprised, not much activity on the thread. Cheer up guys!

Given the fact last draw saw an increase of 250 ITAs compared to the previous draws. Why is nobody expecting a gradual increase of another 250 ITAs? Knowing that CIC is unpredictable, we can probably see 3250 ITAs this draw.

Fingers crossed!

The guys standing at 431-440 lets hope for shift in paradigm!
 
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sidganesh

Star Member
Jul 12, 2017
128
30
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Abu Dhabi
App. Filed.......
10-03-2018
AOR Received.
10-03-2018
Passport Req..
30-04-2018
VISA ISSUED...
14-05-2018
FEB 21, 2018 - DRAW PREDICTION:

I have come up with the prediction for the 84th draw.

If it happens today (Feb 21) with:
3000 ITAs - CRS 441
3250 ITAs - CRS 440
3500 ITAs - CRS 439


The variance in the above calculation is +/- 2 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than the predicted ITA count:

As per the CRS score distribution as on 01 Feb 18 (https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/immigrate-canada/express-entry/become-candidate/rounds-invitations.html), there were 2031 applicants above 440 (i.e. 441 - 1200). On 07 Feb 18, there were 3000 ITAs with a cut off of 442. So does this mean that between 01 Feb and 07 Feb, more than 1000 442+ profiles were added or older profiles updated?

Also, from the table above, you estimate that there are currently about 3016 applicants at 440+. So, it seems that almost all these ~ 3000 applicants entered the pool/upgraded between 07 Feb and today.

Looks like I'm missing something. Will be glad to hear from you.
 

alfred0

Hero Member
Feb 10, 2015
322
397
Toronto
Hi guys

I am surprised, not much activity on the thread. Cheer up guys!

Given the fact last draw saw an increase of 250 ITAs compared to the previous draws. Why is nobody expecting a gradual increase of another 250 ITAs? Knowing that CIC is unpredictable, we can probably see 3250 ITAs this draw.

Fingers crossed!

The guys standing at 431-440 lets hope for shift in paradigm!
Or jump to 3750 ITAs:rolleyes: