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Ray of Hope - 80th Draw

jackdawn said:
Nov 30, 2017 at 11:27 AM
Looks like somebody owned Canada after PR. The French way

My post from ROH 79. This is what i meant and @fatani was an old timer with us then.
And we cheered for him when he made it. If people can recall

Analysis and probabilities have their place always and play a crucial step towards some profound statements and history proves it.
But u should also buy in to the idea of hope. Tables do turn around and for that u don't have to believe in rainbows and unicorns

The moment u log out of this forum , every one does his own calculations and analysis based on the research he does with the data available on CIC and otherwise and sketch a plan to make it to the immigration contest. I have mine too and so does every one like my friend @tjsecontry has a plan.

No one has to prove a point here, the year will go by soon and a new one starts and the data will come in soon. It might prove some one right or wrong, no one is an authority here, every one just banks blindly on the cic data and puts his point here. What will happen if cic makes some drastic changes in the system suddenly and everything goes haywire or otherwise then ul blame the change but end of the day start preparing for the change with a new plan.
The point is to believe and make people believe but don't try to put their belief down
Click to expand...
I now understood what it meant on the other post :):):)
 
Pikecann said:
I couldn’t agree more... you and everyone here deserve to have an ITA and PPR.. you’re such lovely nice lady... I sincerely wish all the best for you and everyone here...

Thank you for your kindness and good wishes ...
Click to expand...

Thank you for support also and kind words! You too, all the best! :)
 
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It's a Tuesday again and let's have some fun with predicting future draws. :D
I think if there would be a draw tomorrow, the CRS score will be around 437-438. In case there is no draw tomorrow, I think the CRS will be 442-443 for the 20th December draw. What do you think? Are my predictions close to reality in your opinion?

Here is how I figured out the above CRS ranges:
After analyzing the previous pool stats for a couple of months, I realized that every week roughly the following number of candidates are added to the pool:

CRS 600-1200 = 200
CRS 450-600 = 800
CRS 440-450 = 320

After the 6th December draw, almost all candidates with CRS 452 and above were invited. On November 30th, there were 622 candidates in the pool in the 440-450 range. Since none of them received ITA in the latest draw, probably there are currently around 1250 candidates in the pool at the moment in this range. Also, there are probably 800-850 candidates in the 450-460 range at the moment in the pool. On top of that, roughly 200 people in the +600 range could have been added to the pool which gives us a total of 2250-2300.

If they invite 2750 people, as usual, almost 400 people with a CSR score of 440 or less would be invited which would mean the CRS score will be around 436-437 if there would be a draw tomorrow.
 
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stuck at 388.....took ielts twice, but one of the four modules goes wrong, especially the reading module. If I can get CLB9 I can jump up to 464.Would anyone recommend me where can I get IELTS material so I can improve my reading.
 
Kaveh86 said:
It's a Tuesday again and let's have some fun with predicting future draws. :D
I think if there would be a draw tomorrow, the CRS score will be around 437-438. In case there is no draw tomorrow, I think the CRS will be 442-443 for the 20th December draw. What do you think? Are my predictions close to reality in your opinion?
Click to expand...

Me thinks 440 for tomorrow and 445 for the 20th, 2750 ITAs are too few...and a good drop if they decide to have a third draw this month. :D
 
Virgo86 said:
stuck at 388.....took ielts twice, but one of the four modules goes wrong, especially the reading module. If I can get CLB9 I can jump up to 464.Would anyone recommend me where can I get IELTS material so I can improve my reading.
Click to expand...

Check out this EDX course for free:

https://www.edx.org/course/ielts-academic-test-preparation-uqx-ieltsx-1

It helped me a lot to improve my speaking for my third attempt ( I had got 6.5 in speaking twice). This course is for Academic, but it has a lot of tips and exercises that can be used for General as well.
 
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jonmarrow said:
Guys I think Im fainting, I cant breathe :(:(:(:( I just want to get the ITA so at least there is not going to be anymore 'hoping' and waiting to know when I will make it to the draw.

I dont care how long it takes after ITA. I just want the assurance that only having the ITA will give me.

Gave IELTS twice. My writing score still came out low even after 2nd attempt. 6.5 It just makes me more disappointed in myself.
Seems like universe is against me. Had I gotten 7 I still would have made it.

Does it make sense to give IELTS again? Im a 445 points.
Click to expand...
You're in a great position my friend. I've two thing to calm you down.

Firstly, 445 is a great score, and should get you an ITA very soon.

Secondly, are you aware that there's a process to get your IELTS result revaluated? It's called EoR (Enquiry on Result). I attempted IELTS twice and got 6.5 in Writing on both occasions. I went for revaluation of both and my score was revised to 7 on both. Now, a few things to keep in mind. You have a certain amount of time after your result within which you need to apply for EoR. There's a certain fees associated. It takes 8-10 week for the the revised result to arrive, and you can't track it. If your score is revised, your fees gets refunded.

Just google IELTS EoR.

All the best.
 
Though I created profile with 433 I still not sure of few things, any clarification will help my understanding of process
1. The profile is submitted with my souse as primary applicant, but currently not working since 2 years (break to take care of our child) and has 4 years of experience prior to resignation. Is it fine to not currently work but has NOC related experience prior.
2. We have sufficient funds transferred to one account, is it required to disclose all accounts we have ?
3. What and how we can explain the break in employment ?
 
Midnight Blessing said:
HI guys,

Is the probablity of having a draw tomorrow? with the Christmas break in the pipeline, what is the chances for having a draw on 20th of December (just 6 days before the christmas day).

Offcourse, this is going to be the last draw of 2017, so there is so much hope connected with this one as we will be seeing some long holidays coming on our way.
Click to expand...

Not necessary as the Wednesday December 27th is working day..
 
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