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Where are you getting the 3% and 25% approval rates for H&C and refugees? Do you mean processing rate per year for refugees? Protected people and refugees are already living in Canada for multiple years before getting PR. They can work, , study access healthcare, travel, study etc. Not sure anyone would call that a major issue. For H&C we have already seen removals increase and I agree the program needs major reforms to limit who can apply. Canada also likely will hope that many will return home if chances of approval are very low, processing times are long and they may get removed while processing, no access to WP/SP, etc.
From the current inventory and admission targets. For example, the current backlog of protected persons and refugees applying for PR in 266K, and the admission target is only 58K. This is basically an approval rate of 25% and this is if we assume that backlog would remain the same. Admission targets do not make sense at all.
 
From the current inventory and admission targets. For example, the current backlog of protected persons and refugees applying for PR in 266K, and the admission target is only 58K. This is basically an approval rate of 25% and this is if we assume that backlog would remain the same. Admission targets do not make sense at all.

Still don’t see where you are getting 3%. The volume of protected people and refugees is the problem but that can’t be reversed. H&C also needs to be reformed to reduce who can apply and we need to stop adding more H&C programs. The yearly quota makes sense given the distribution between programs. The only things that could be cut going forward if parent sponsorship and refugee programs coming from outside Canada. Both still have backlogs. Wouldn’t want to cut economic immigration or family sponsorship (spouses and dependent children).
 
As I have been saying the math doesn’t math. Instead of adding to the backlog IRCC needs to reform the program to limit who qualifies to apply. That is the only way to start tackling this mess.
The fact that IRCC explicitly stating that they will process only 13% of the general H and C inventory (49K) in 2025 is indeed striking. This implies 7 years average processing time just to clear the current backlog. Are applicants and advocacy groups such as CCR not aware of this?. H and C is a safety valve for failed refugee claimants and out-of-status families with children. This kind of delay basically destroys the humanitarian purpose of H and C and implies that this pathway has officially been frozen.
 

PR application is transferred to Humanitarian Migration office in Montreal​

Your file has been transfer to Centre of Expert in security cases for further investigation, what should I do as a next action;
1-Mandamus ?
 
The fact that IRCC explicitly stating that they will process only 13% of the general H and C inventory (49K) in 2025 is indeed striking. This implies 7 years average processing time just to clear the current backlog. Are applicants and advocacy groups such as CCR not aware of this?. H and C is a safety valve for failed refugee claimants and out-of-status families with children. This kind of delay basically destroys the humanitarian purpose of H and C and implies that this pathway has officially been frozen.

Was never meant to be the safety valve for failed asylum seekers or even those with children who are out of status. It was meant for exceptional cases within these types of groups. Many were able to file asylum claims without grounds and then wait it out until they received H&C and keep getting WPs. Many got PR or were able to keep applying without being removed which should have never happened. Also most were able to pause removals if H&C was in process which has changed. It will take longer than 7 years given quota for all H&Cs is 6.5k for 2026 and 4.5k for 2027. Canada is in a course correction when it comes to immigration. Immigration won’t stop but the wide open door and easy pathways to PR are going to stop for at least 5+ years.
 
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Was never meant to be the safety valve for failed asylum seekers or even those with children who are out of status. It was meant for exceptional cases within these types of groups. Many were able to file asylum claims without grounds and then wait it out until they received H&C and keep getting WPs. Many got PR or were able to keep applying without being removed which should have never happened. Also most were able to pause removals if H&C was in process which has changed. It will take longer than 7 years given quota for all H&Cs is 6.5k for 2026 and 4.5k for 2027. Canada is in a course correction when it comes to immigration. Immigration won’t stop but the wide open door and easy pathways to PR are going to stop for at least 5+ years.
Will it cause delay for second stage of h and c too … I got AIP after 42 months two months ago