No one knows for sure. Given the trend over the last couple of months, it's reasonable to expect that CRS threshold will continue going down around 4 point in every draw. There should be 4 more draws before Christmas, so I think the threshold will drop to around 480.
Things to bear in mind:
- There are almost 20,000 applicants in 470-480 bracket, so once we hit 480, threshold may come down only around 2 points per draw.
- The draws won't be increasing forever. Biggest draws were 5,000 (not counting one-off CEC draw) so we're almost back at this level. The last time IRCC did those big 5,000 draws, they then stopped FSW for 18 months, so I guess you could speculate that they're drawing as many applicants as possible (within reason) before NOC-specific draws.
- NOC-specific draws are supposed to start in early 2023. I heard something about March-April but I'm not sure if it's true.
In short - I think CRS cut off will drop to around 480 by the end of the year. Anything beyond that is a complete unknown.