Is the assumption that this won't be a norm?
I wish I had old statistics about CRS scores. Are they available anywhere? (How many people were in the pool 2 weeks ago, 4 weeks ago...)
FSW WORLDWIDE
- Thread starter js555
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I wish I had old statistics about CRS scores. Are they available anywhere? (How many people were in the pool 2 weeks ago, 4 weeks ago...)
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Deleted member 1006777
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I would recommend creating a new profile. Keep in mind that the profile expires one day before the date you created it. What I mean is: If I created my profile on June 20 2021, it would have expired on June 19 2022. Hopefully you've accounted for this.
Regarding age of profiles, you have to play the probability. The likelihood of the score being exactly 529 is lower than it being any number above or below it. 529 is kind of precarious because it does happen to be in the area I anticipate the next draw to be. But my intuition tells me if the draw happens two weeks from now (remember this is a BIG if), then the score will be below 529. If they skip a draw to have FST or CEC, it'll be higher. In fact if they skip a draw and the FSW draw happens after 4 weeks, it is likely the score will be HIGHER than 557.
If I were in your position, I'd make a new profile ASAP. 1 day after the draw is cutting it too close because we don't know how IRCC treats timezones for profile age. Imagine the smell if you qualify but your prfile expired because you didn't account for timezones the same way they did. Make a new profile, worst case is you have to wait a bit longer for ITA. IMO that's the safer bet.
Also profile is locked (scores, age etc) after AOR i believe. No matter how prepared you are, you will not go from ITA to AOR in 1 day. It is impossible.
Kinda glad I paid for the shitty paper based OINP, had feeling this was gonna happen. Looks like im stuck here in this province w you @dankboi Could be worse I guess, I could be in BC or Manitoba
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If they have regular bi-weekly FSW inclusive draws, with a 1500 draw size, it will take 3-4 months for 501+ to clear. Expect an increase in high scores between now and September. PNP is a regular 600-700 out of the 1500 drawn. So technically the FSW/CEC quota per draw is 800-900 and that's being generous in the calculation. Even with zero influx of new candidates, it will take a long time to clear the 501+ scores. I'm sweating with a 516, I can only imagine what the 480s and 490s are feeling. 470-480 is imposssible no matter how you look at it.
So yeah you're right, score will not go down much this year. These draws are for the reduced 2023 quota. When they start drawing for 2024 (I'd imagine Q2-3 2023), if the express entry quota is back to the regular amount, then and only then will scores drop by any significant amount.
https://www.ee-stats.com/charts/
This website has historical score distributions. From September 2021 to now, I’d say on average 501-600 increased by 300-350 per draw. So if they keep the 1500 draw size (which means 600-700 PNP and 800-900 CEC/FSW) it will take about 16 draws (~7.5 months) to clear out all 501+. But I do think the draw size will increase though to meet 2023 quota (75000).
I’d never have imagined a 516 would sweat about EE draws before 2021, but yet here we are…IRCC’s poor planning around the TR2PR stream made all of us pay the price. I have 501 so I know exactly how many people are in front of me, every round I am doing calculations…
I work from home in Alberta but my employer is in Ontario. So although it’s Canadian experience I don’t think I will be invited by either PNP program. I have been in the pool since April and no nomination from anywhere yer
Just in case anyone does know, imagine Karen being 29 y/o, never married, graduated from XYZ Uni at her home country, worked for a yr, felt her country sucks, so she moved to Canada for a master, got her PGWP and worked a yr on that. This is perfectly realistic right? If she happens to have CLB 10 in eng/fran, guess her CRS score as *CEC*?
613. Voila, that's how you get 600+ w/o PNP.
613. Voila, that's how you get 600+ w/o PNP.
Ukraine/Russia war has caused shift in global economies. Europe is headed for the shitter. Russia basically said, if you shoot us, we bringing you down too. Expect demand for Canadian immigration to keep increasing. Its proximity to US economy + abundance of natural resources means they will continously have a strong job market. Ultimately us beggars cant be choosers
Has anyone else here faced this situation or come across anything similar?
Got back my passport on July 5, 2022 without a stamp and with a letter attached that said Application in Progress.
PPR received on June 20, 2022, FSW-O, COR: India, VO: RROC, Remedical passed: April 27, 2022. No documents as per my knowledge are nearing their expiry.
PLEASE HELP!
Got back my passport on July 5, 2022 without a stamp and with a letter attached that said Application in Progress.
PPR received on June 20, 2022, FSW-O, COR: India, VO: RROC, Remedical passed: April 27, 2022. No documents as per my knowledge are nearing their expiry.
PLEASE HELP!
AINP doesn't have set criteria, I say you have a high chance if you live there / studied there
We are at 483 and wondering about what to do. I still need to pass English, and my wife (primary applicant) will get additional 11 points for work experience in September. But I wonder if that's enough. She has French, so that might help if they target French speaking people.
I expected them to start with more invitations, to be honest. So this was a surprise. My theory is that they started with a small draw either because of the backlogs or because they are making room for the new TR to PR. (That one is supposed to be launched in September).
Yeah I was expecting 3000+ as well but oh well. I agree with you’re reasoning, not sure if they will launch the new Tr to Pr in September I think Sean Fraser has to release the framework of the program then but not necessarily launch it. Although I am inland I kinda don’t want them to launch the program just yet to add more uncertainty. Also see that your wife has French, I think you two can benefit from the potential group based draws which may target Francophones. I think with 494 if they increase the draws a bit in the near future there is a good chance you will get your ITA near the end of the year.