Ray of Hope - 44th Draw

[alexliu]

https://www.welcomebc.ca/Immigrate-to-B-C/B-C-Provincial-Nominee-Program/Invitations-to-Apply

If this is true, can we assume that in 43rd Draw, ~240 express entry invitations were issued coz of BC nominations?
Any thoughts?

240 is a good number resulting in higher number of 600+ CRS invitations. I consider it positive for 44th draw (only if no province issues such invitations in two days).

That means the next draw on Oct 3 won't be lower than 480 or 500 again?

 

[Sluffy]

https://www.welcomebc.ca/Immigrate-to-B-C/B-C-Provincial-Nominee-Program/Invitations-to-Apply

If this is true, can we assume that in 43rd Draw, ~240 express entry invitations were issued coz of BC nominations?
Any thoughts?

240 is a good number resulting in higher number of 600+ CRS invitations. I consider it positive for 44th draw (only if no province issues such invitations in two days).

Invitation to apply from province is not a nomination. It's first step when applicans should submit their docs and after proceeding may receive nomination.

 

[Canada2425]

Invitation to apply from province is not a nomination. It's first step when applicans should submit their docs and after proceeding may receive nomination.

Thanks for correcting me.

 

[DamhaSirah]

To damha sirah and sluffy and all of you out in the forum, Damha sirah if you had spouse whose education is masters and english level CLB 9 you would have easily got ITA by now because it would have given you 484 points

100 for your age
126 for your education
128 for your english
10 for spouse education
20 for spouse english
100 for skills transfer

Total 484, people out here are crying for 481 points mark but a person with a spouse having masters degree and CLB 9 english can go upto 484 points and in this range looking at current conditions the ITA is guaranteed in next 1 or 2 draws. Even if the spouse education is bachelors with english CLB 9 Which is more likely achieveable than CLB 10 the score a person can get is 482 points which is the current cut off and was the cut off in some of the past draws since may june 2016.

Thanks Fatani for enlightening us...

My very conservative and cautious worst scenario guess:

For October 5th draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 481-483 with 1,300-1,500 ITAs.
For October 19th draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 480-481 with ~1,500 ITAs.
For November 2nd draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 478-480 with ~1,600-1,650 ITAs (there has never been a draw with more than this number of ITAs before).

After that, things can return to normal (read: pre-May 2016 scenario). A total of 4,500 ITAs may be issued in these 3 coming draws according to this speculation, thus clearing out the build-up of candidates with a score of 481 and above. InshAllah.

 

[_Aspirant]

Thanks Fatani for enlightening us...

My very conservative and cautious worst scenario guess:

For October 5th draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 481-483 with 1,300-1,500 ITAs.
For October 19th draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 480-481 with ~1,500 ITAs.
For November 2nd draw, I guess cutoff would be CRS 478-480 with ~1,600-1,650 ITAs (there has never been a draw with more than this number of ITAs before).

After that, things can return to normal (read: pre-May 2016 scenario). A total of 4,500 ITAs may be issued in these 3 coming draws according to this speculation, thus clearing out the build-up of candidates with a score of 481 and above. InshAllah.

My Friend,

I have a feeling that you will get an invitation in the coming draw.

Good Luck

 

[DamhaSirah]

My Friend,

I have a feeling that you will get an invitation in the coming draw.

Good Luck

InshAllah. Thank you my friend from across the border

 

[Pawshi]

Please pray for us. IT is more than five months that we are in the pool, waiting and watching. Reading all your posts. We are sitting at 434 with no relatives in Canada, no siblings, no connection (except few friends in Toronto/GTA), FSW, middle age, bracket with max IELTS, no Canadian job and NOC code 0111. None of the provinces have this NOC code in their demand list. Only OINP is the hope. If the OINP also introduces NOC code based shortlisting and if this 0111 is not there...then we are all gone. Don't want to for for an unethical thing of buying a job/LMIA...to make a new beginning in Canada.

Any thoughts??? Any recommendations that we can do differently????

Thank you,
Pawshi

 

[thestunner316]

Please pray for us. IT is more than five months that we are in the pool, waiting and watching. Reading all your posts. We are sitting at 434 with no relatives in Canada, no siblings, no connection (except few friends in Toronto/GTA), FSW, middle age, bracket with max IELTS, no Canadian job and NOC code 0111. None of the provinces have this NOC code in their demand list. Only OINP is the hope. If the OINP also introduces NOC code based shortlisting and if this 0111 is not there...then we are all gone. Don't want to for for an unethical thing of buying a job/LMIA...to make a new beginning in Canada.

Any thoughts??? Any recommendations that we can do differently????

Thank you,
Pawshi

OINP is your only hope i guess...
you can probably use your spouse as the primary applicant, get some extra points if he/she is younger than you... thats the only other thing i can think of

 

[thestunner316]

InshAllah. Thank you my friend from across the border

yeah , i have a feeling cut off will be around 478-479 tomorrow... good luck

BTW - who is going to create the next blog - ray of hope for 45th draw ;D

 

[Pawshi]

Already done that. My spouse is the primary. She is 36 years and I am 41 today. ;D

We lost 5 points in September when she moved from 35 to 36.

Yes, only waiting for OINP and going through all the you tube videos of that great IRCC guy saying that EE scores will drop below to 400 as the backlog of pre-express entry would be over. In-fact, there are couple of more videos - immigration consultant Alex D and one more, who has written why the scores will drop. Their video and articles are recent...around three to four weeks back.

Wishing you all the 470 and above one to have the success tomorrow.

Thank you,
Pawshi

 

[zanny]

Please pray for us. IT is more than five months that we are in the pool, waiting and watching. Reading all your posts. We are sitting at 434 with no relatives in Canada, no siblings, no connection (except few friends in Toronto/GTA), FSW, middle age, bracket with max IELTS, no Canadian job and NOC code 0111. None of the provinces have this NOC code in their demand list. Only OINP is the hope. If the OINP also introduces NOC code based shortlisting and if this 0111 is not there...then we are all gone. Don't want to for for an unethical thing of buying a job/LMIA...to make a new beginning in Canada.

Any thoughts??? Any recommendations that we can do differently????

Thank you,
Pawshi

Try for Australia if Canada looks improbable. Don't wait for score to fall as every month you wait, you lose time and opporunity

 

[DamhaSirah]

yeah , i have a feeling cut off will be around 478-479 tomorrow... good luck

InshAllah. Thank you.

 

[Pawshi]

We are not much inclined towards Australia. However, we are also exploring the education route. My wife she is chartered Accountant and I am information security professional. We are waiting how the things comes up in the next three to four months and then go for the education route to Canada.

 

[thestunner316]

Try for Australia if Canada looks improbable. Don't wait for score to fall as every month you wait, you lose time and opporunity

australia would be my preferred choice honestly... lovely place with awesome weather... if only they needed someone with my experience... sighhhh... lol

 

[Chiptole]

My guess would be 478score with 1500 invites