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I don’t want to sound dis-respectful to anyone who has been part of this process since a long time back, but, I would sincerely like to tell you to start making backup plans whether that is Canada, or elsewhere.

Things will only get harder for everyone….more scrutiny, more additional documentation, more red tape. I think it is fair to say those already in Canada will be preferred whether priority or not, rest may have to wait the 10 years or as long as it takes.

Expect more changes to the way applicants will be processed, after all it’s a closed program. You will not have a say. Courts will get overwhelmed too with cases.

Will need to keep on being innovative, show progress all the time while navigating all of this, keep the health good to keep eligibility in check.

New programs could signal also that priority will be given to the new program (when announced).

Not trying to put anyone down, but things will only get more challenging.
 
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I don’t want to sound dis-respectful to anyone who has been part of this process since a long time back, but, I would sincerely like to tell you to start making backup plans whether that is Canada, or elsewhere.

Things will only get harder for everyone….more scrutiny, more additional documentation, more red tape. I think it is fair to say those already in Canada will be preferred whether priority or not, rest may have to wait the 10 years or as long as it takes.

Expect more changes to the way applicants will be processed, after all it’s a closed program. You will not have a say. Courts will get overwhelmed too with cases.

Will need to keep on being innovative, show progress all the time while navigating all of this, keep the health good to keep eligibility in check.

New programs could signal also that priority will be given to the new program (when announced).

Not trying to put anyone down, but things will only get more challenging.
I completely agree. This isn’t negativity, it’s realism. Many of us have been in this process for years and have unintentionally put parts of our professional and personal lives on hold. Being honest about that and planning alternatives is simply being sensible, not discouraging.

This is thoughtful advice meant to help people protect their well-being, and it deserves to be taken in that spirit.
 
Next year iRCC is expected to reduce the massive backlog—although it is largely responsible for its creation due to poor management. This will be achieved through several measures. First, refusal rates will increase under various pretexts, which has already begun. Second, under Bill C-12 (fraud-related provisions), many Designated Organizations will have their status revoked, leading to the refusal of applications linked to them. After these steps, the remaining backlog will become much easier to manage, enabling IRCC to justify increasing quotas to eliminate it.
 
Next year iRCC is expected to reduce the massive backlog—although it is largely responsible for its creation due to poor management. This will be achieved through several measures. First, refusal rates will increase under various pretexts, which has already begun. Second, under Bill C-12 (fraud-related provisions), many Designated Organizations will have their status revoked, leading to the refusal of applications linked to them. After these steps, the remaining backlog will become much easier to manage, enabling IRCC to justify increasing quotas to eliminate it.
I wonder if IRCC will set some specific targets that it can verify quickly, such as using corporate tax filings, registration records and other government documents to confirm a company’s status. Based on the submission of these documents, they could then use Bill C‑2 to remove companies that have not started any business activities at all from the waiting queue.
 
https://betakit.com/canada-suspends-start-up-visa-as-feds-look-to-transition-to-new-program/

According to Canadian immigration news site immigration.ca, the proposed Bill C-12could give the feds the power to cancel PR applications for those in Canada on a work permit, if the organization that backed their application does not meet certain ministerial instruction guidelines released in 2024. Bill C-12, which would expand the powers of immigration and law enforcement agencies, passed its first Senate reading in December and could become law when the Senate reconvenes in February.
 
https://betakit.com/canada-suspends-start-up-visa-as-feds-look-to-transition-to-new-program/

According to Canadian immigration news site immigration.ca, the proposed Bill C-12could give the feds the power to cancel PR applications for those in Canada on a work permit, if the organization that backed their application does not meet certain ministerial instruction guidelines released in 2024. Bill C-12, which would expand the powers of immigration and law enforcement agencies, passed its first Senate reading in December and could become law when the Senate reconvenes in February.
Look my last post
 
Look my last post
I don’t know how they want to do a “new pilot program in 2026” and they still cant process and finalise the SUV. Instead of thinking about a new program they can think in what to do to clear all the backlog and process, filter all the applications in 2026 and then think in a new program.
They will create a new one, then have a 50,000 backlog and then create a new one and so on? Or what’s their plan?
 
I don’t know how they want to do a “new pilot program in 2026” and they still cant process and finalise the SUV. Instead of thinking about a new program they can think in what to do to clear all the backlog and process, filter all the applications in 2026 and then think in a new program.
They will create a new one, then have a 50,000 backlog and then create a new one and so on? Or what’s their plan?

No one truly knows what IRCC is going to do. However, in my view, they will try to reduce part of the backlog by using the C-12 Bill, and another part by increasing refusal rates on minimal or technical grounds (a process that has already started). This would then allow them to justify increasing quotas in order to absorb the remaining backlog over a few reasonable years.

As you know, the current quota and the backlog are completely misaligned—50,000 applications divided by an annual quota of around 500 simply does not work. Even if applicants are willing to wait, IRCC will not tolerate or operate any program where processing timelines exceed four to five years.