For what reason , it would stabilize ?i said I bet it will be 470, with a chance of 471.
BTW, at 471 the cutoff wouldn't increase, but actually stabilize.
For what reason , it would stabilize ?i said I bet it will be 470, with a chance of 471.
BTW, at 471 the cutoff wouldn't increase, but actually stabilize.
475 --> 472 --> 471For what reason , it would stabilize ?
8 months? But there was 469 draw in DecemberI believe the cutoff will be 470, or even 471.
It's important to remember that the previous draw had a cutoff of 472, and then the next one was 471. The lower the score gets, the more people are within that score. So, it's reasonable to imagine that there are more candidates with 471 than 472, more candidates with 470 than 471, more candidates with 469 than 470, and so on. Just think about... we had 475, then 472 (-3 points), and now 471 (-1 point). What are the chances of the score dropping -3 again, when the 471-468 has WAYYYYYY more people than the 475-472? It's important to manage your expectations.
So, I don't see the score going below 470 for the next draw. For last draw of October? Maybe (but yet, unlikely). The real chance is probably lying at the first draw of November, IF the influx of candidates doesn't increase.
But as I always advise: don't sit still waiting for a miracle. Start to build a plan to improve your score NOW. Not tomorrow, NOW.
I was sitting at 469 for almost 8 months, and no ITA. I was only able to get mine because in January I understood (ok, I woke up and accepted the reality) that without improving it, I wouldn't make it.
There's a real chance that the influx of candidates will met the demand of ITAs before the score drops to 468 (just like the pre-pandemic scenario). You must be prepared to have a plan B to overcome this situation.
It will only be 471 if the number of invitation is not 4,200. If its 4,200, it will be either 469 or 470i said I bet it will be 470, with a chance of 471.
BTW, at 471 the cutoff wouldn't increase, but actually stabilize.
How did you get updated about IP2 ?I remember the CEC draw cutoffs dropped faster in the second draw of each month. Someone mentioned that more people fulfil their Canadian experience in the first half of the month. Hopefully this is true and we will see the cutoff drop again.
good luck,guys.
It was a ghost update. And The IRCC agent told me that my file had been transferred to the local VO. I think my case is being processed at the local VO instead of in Canada.How did you get updated about IP2 ?
I hope that has also happened with mine.It was a ghost update. And The IRCC agent told me that my file had been transferred to the local VO. I think my case is being processed at the local VO instead of in Canada.
If it's 471, tie breaker should be around August/SeptemberBut let's assume the score is 471 (which I hope it isn't), what month do you think will be the tie break rule?
Aug/September as activities were on hold between March and JulyBut let's assume the score is 471 (which I hope it isn't), what month do you think will be the tie break rule?
The truth/fact is that, how low it will be by next wednesday depends on how many high profiles has entered the pool between last draw and next weekIf it's 471, tie breaker should be around August/September
If it's 470, tie breaker should be around March/April
Highly doubt it will go 469 (or lower as people are suggesting it can go lowe than that) at next week's draw