There is an exception for this on the IRPA so the VO can't refuse your application. Your age is locked once you receive ITA so it doesn't matter if you grow older after receiving the ITA, they will evaluate your application based on when the ITA was issued.Is there a chance of refusal if your birthday comes after ITA and you submit your application after your birthday? This page says no but what if the VO is having a bad day and decides to refuse the application?
Very correct. The world is adjusting already and from the look of things, vaccine should be available by December/JanuaryNo country is going to lock up completely again. Living with covid is the new norm; life goes on.
Note that the tier breaking rule for last draw was in March. I don't think since March, there're only 189 people with 471 in the pool because the calculation here assumed all people above 471 will accept the ITA which may not be true. Some people have to decline.I know. It's gonna be 4200 invites and 469 cut off. Remember almost 2000 candidates were still in d pool above 471 when the cut off dropped from 472 to 471. Now, just 189 were left after the last draw with 471.....
Remember activities ended in March as there were virtually NO ielts nor ECA issuance until late June/July. For sure, some persons will reject the ITA while some are even fake profiles. But on the average, 3,300 persons join the pool biweekly above 471 since JulyNote that the tier breaking rule for last draw was in March. I don't think since March, there're only 189 people with 471 in the pool because the calculation here assumed all people above 471 will accept the ITA which may not be true. Some people have to decline.
Good analysis but you forgot the structure of CRE scores. It's not linear but more like "stairs". For example, a typical profile (single <29yr old master degree IELTS 8777 3yr experience) will give you 469 and every CLB10 achieved will add 3 points, but you cannot come up with 470/471 (only unusual profiles due to age...etc). This means fewer people are standing at 470/471 and more people are clustering at 469, 472, 475, 478... Looks very close to the cut-off points of previous draws, right? This can explain why there was 3 points drop from 475 to 472.I believe the cutoff will be 470, or even 471.
It's important to remember that the previous draw had a cutoff of 472, and then the next one was 471. The lower the score gets, the more people are within that score. So, it's reasonable to imagine that there are more candidates with 471 than 472, more candidates with 470 than 471, more candidates with 469 than 470, and so on. Just think about... we had 475, then 472 (-3 points), and now 471 (-1 point). What are the chances of the score dropping -3 again, when the 471-468 has WAYYYYYY more people than the 475-472? It's important to manage your expectations.
So, I don't see the score going below 470 for the next draw. For last draw of October? Maybe (but yet, unlikely). The real chance is probably lying at the first draw of November, IF the influx of candidates doesn't increase.
But as I always advise: don't sit still waiting for a miracle. Start to build a plan to improve your score NOW. Not tomorrow, NOW.
I was sitting at 469 for almost 8 months, and no ITA. I was only able to get mine because in January I understood (ok, I woke up and accepted the reality) that without improving it, I wouldn't make it.
There's a real chance that the influx of candidates will met the demand of ITAs before the score drops to 468 (just like the pre-pandemic scenario). You must be prepared to have a plan B to overcome this situation.
I entered the pool in mid January. I received my ITA in early September. So, about 8.5 months of waiting.8 months? But there was 469 draw in December
You can literally spend zero dollars to learn a new language. Within 3 months of solo studies, I earned 6 points due to French knowledge. For many people, that could guarantee them an ITA.The truth is that its not everyone that has the ability to take up another language considering the investments that have been pulled into this journey.
Apt.You can literally spend zero dollars to learn a new language. Within 3 months of solo studies, I earned 6 points due to French knowledge. For many people, that could guarantee them an ITA.
It’s much more a matter of “am I willing to dedicate 100% of my free time to guarantee my ITA in the future?” than a financial question. Not everyone has the determination to do it. But it’s definitely not a financial matter.
Also, there are other ways to improve your score, other than French, but then in that case I would agree that all other solutions rely on spending money.
Do you know if the speaking test can be skipped. Like if i want to appear for just the reading writing and listening will they give me the results.You can literally spend zero dollars to learn a new language. Within 3 months of solo studies, I earned 6 points due to French knowledge. For many people, that could guarantee them an ITA.
It’s much more a matter of “am I willing to dedicate 100% of my free time to guarantee my ITA in the future?” than a financial question. Not everyone has the determination to do it. But it’s definitely not a financial matter.
Also, there are other ways to improve your score, other than French, but then in that case I would agree that all other solutions rely on spending money.
You can't be so sure that there was only 189 people left. They culled those figures two days before the draw and as we all know, new people enters the pool everyday. Safe to assume that there are about 1k people left in the upper echelons of 470.Note that the tier breaking rule for last draw was in March. I don't think since March, there're only 189 people with 471 in the pool because the calculation here assumed all people above 471 will accept the ITA which may not be true. Some people have to decline.
It can’t be skipped. But you can simply say “Bonjour, je ne parle pas Français”Do you know if the speaking test can be skipped. Like if i want to appear for just the reading writing and listening will they give me the results.
The reason for the 475-472 is probably because there are way fewer people between 475-472 than between 472-469. Just like it’s probably easier to go 480-475 (-5 points) than it is to go 475-472 (-3 points).Good analysis but you forgot the structure of CRE scores. It's not linear but more like "stairs". For example, a typical profile (single <29yr old master degree IELTS 8777 3yr experience) will give you 469 and every CLB10 achieved will add 3 points, but you cannot come up with 470/471 (only unusual profiles due to age...etc). This means fewer people are standing at 470/471 and more people are clustering at 469, 472, 475, 478... Looks very close to the cut-off points of previous draws, right? This can explain why there was 3 points drop from 475 to 472.
Hi I'm in a similar situation. I wrote on 30 Aug L- 8 R -9 W-6. 5 S -8. I'm applying for revaluation today. Did they increase your score?My crs score was 465, because my ielts result was L: 8.5 R: 8.5 W: 6.5 S: 8, so I redo my ielts test last week.
The result is released today, and my Crs score drops to 459 because L: 8 R: 8.5 W: 7 S: 6.5
I wouldn’t believe that I would score 6.5 in speaking......... now I applied for remark....