Ray of Hope - 95th Draw

[chrysaour]

I'm at 437 now, but next January, my work experience will be at 2 years, which should add extra 15~20 points or so.
Do you think I'm gonna be fine?

 

[navinball]

Hi seniors! Hi everyone!


Please help me understand about profiles allowed to have in the pool as a married couple.


At the moment, each of us has a profile. We are both candidates in the pool (waiting for ITA or NOI), with different CRS and characteristics: husband with 434, ielts CLB 9, master. Me with 402, master but languages not maximized, TEF (between 7 and 10) and IELTS (between 6 and 10).


I am a little bit confused right now. I understand that one (same) person cannot have two profiles, but what about couples??

I thought that husband/wife may both be candidates in pool as principal, waiting to receive ITAs/EOIs/NOIs. Having said that, if both spouses received ITAs with their profiles, the couple should choose which profile use to apply because only one application should be send as family (once ITAs received). That´s correct?


I know that usually it doesn’t make sense to have both a profile, because the couple would choose the spouse with higher CRS as principal applicant. But in our case, it is relevant to have separate profiles because although he is the one with higher CRS, I am the one who may be elegible under ontario french speaking skilled worker.


I am so sad that I couldn’t get CLB 9 in all four TEF abilities. TEF exam is not available in my country so I cannot retake it any time this year.

you can have two profiles, as soon as you get your ontario noi withdraw your husbands profile.

 

[navinball]

I'm at 437 now, but next January, my work experience will be at 2 years, which should add extra 15~20 points or so.
Do you think I'm gonna be fine?

you will be fine by january. you will get an invite.

 

[Swordwater]

Hi,
His CRS 434 is with me as accompanying spouse, including my master and TEF results (we calculated it without me and his score results exactly the same). For other hand, I need to appears as principal if I want to have a chance under Ontario FSSW stream .

You're in order.

 

[ashokacca]

you will be fine by january. you will get an invite.

2 year work expereince adds points ? I thought 2 years has no points... with clb 9, 1 year has 25 points amd 3 year has 50 points... is there any points for 2 year work experience ? I have 20 months experience now... noc 1111.. currently working..

 

[DelPiero07]

2 year work expereince adds points ? I thought 2 years has no points... with clb 9, 1 year has 25 points amd 3 year has 50 points... is there any points for 2 year work experience ? I have 20 months experience now... noc 1111.. currently working..

It adds CRS points for Canadian work experience.

 

[hopecanada2018]

Need an advice on Filling form - Post ITA
In the family section, information for parents/siblings are required. My brother does not have surname on the passport.
The form shows both 'Given' name and 'Surname' as mandatory. How should I handle this ?

 

[ashokacca]

It adds CRS points for Canadian work experience.

Oh ok.. thanks

 

[bimale4bipeople]

Need an advice on Filling form - Post ITA
In the family section, information for parents/siblings are required. My brother does not have surname on the passport.
The form shows both 'Given' name and 'Surname' as mandatory. How should I handle this ?

You can add the surname which you have for your brother no issues at all. These are declarations docs you are not required to submit proof for it

 

[Aarti123]

Anyone knows if studying in Canada to obtain a teachers diploma that took a year to get will be accepted as education in Canada for 1 year?

 

[FairOntario]

Pool size on the 17/07/2018 (estimate)

600 - 1200: 219
451 - 600 : 314
441 - 450 : 866

Total: 1399

441 to 1200: Pool size entry (300/day) 17/07/2018 - 24/07/2018: 2400 - 2700

Draw size: 3750 (25/07/2018)

(2400+1399) Total: 3799...... 49 left on 441

(2700+1399) Total: 4099.....349 left on 441

Either way, cut off estimate (25/07/18): 441

Tie break with 49 left on 441: ??
Tie break with 349 left on 441:??

08/08/2018 next draw size: 4000


Please note: 300/day (441-1200) is a conservative estimate (this has been overestimated to accommodate IELTS result effect, if there is any). Typically, the 300/day entry should include profiles with/on 400 crs.

If this is the case, the 25/07/18 draw should clear all profiles on 441, and possibly include very few profiles on 440. In summary, tomorrow's draw could be 440 optimistically, or 441 conservatively.

Experts, please weigh in on this analysis.

 

[Reddiered07]

Pool size on the 17/07/2018 (estimate)

600 - 1200: 219
451 - 600 : 314
441 - 450 : 866

Total: 1399

441 to 1200: Pool size entry (300/day) 17/07/2018 - 24/07/2018: 2400 - 2700

Draw size: 3750 (25/07/2018)

(2400+1399) Total: 3799...... 49 left on 441

(2700+1399) Total: 4099.....349 left on 441

Either way, cut off estimate (25/07/18): 441

Tie break with 49 left on 441: ??
Tie break with 349 left on 441:??

08/08/2018 next draw size: 4000


Please note: 300/day (441-1200) is a conservative estimate (this has been overestimated to accommodate IELTS result effect, if there is any). Typically, the 300/day entry should include profiles with/on 400 crs.

If this is the case, the 25/07/18 draw should clear all profiles on 441, and possibly include very few profiles on 440. In summary, tomorrow's draw could be 440 optimistically, or 441 conservatively.

Experts, please weigh in on this analysis.

I had done enough of such calculations but IRCC always surprises us! Whatever number you predict logically add 300-500 more entrants..that is the way to predict

 

[ashokacca]

Pool size on the 17/07/2018 (estimate)

600 - 1200: 219
451 - 600 : 314
441 - 450 : 866

Total: 1399

441 to 1200: Pool size entry (300/day) 17/07/2018 - 24/07/2018: 2400 - 2700

Draw size: 3750 (25/07/2018)

(2400+1399) Total: 3799...... 49 left on 441

(2700+1399) Total: 4099.....349 left on 441

Either way, cut off estimate (25/07/18): 441

Tie break with 49 left on 441: ??
Tie break with 349 left on 441:??

08/08/2018 next draw size: 4000


Please note: 300/day (441-1200) is a conservative estimate (this has been overestimated to accommodate IELTS result effect, if there is any). Typically, the 300/day entry should include profiles with/on 400 crs.

If this is the case, the 25/07/18 draw should clear all profiles on 441, and possibly include very few profiles on 440. In summary, tomorrow's draw could be 440 optimistically, or 441 conservatively.

Experts, please weigh in on this analysis.

I think you are right.. ielts effect is over emphasised... 441 or 440 is possible... definitely less than 442

 

[Mayur_M]

I had done enough of such calculations but IRCC always surprises us! Whatever number you predict logically add 300-500 more entrants..that is the way to predict

You are right IRCC always pulls a surprise

 

[FairOntario]

I

I had done enough of such calculations but IRCC always surprises us! Whatever number you predict logically add 300-500 more entrants..that is the way to predict

Already did....