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Ray of Hope - 93rd Draw

special3220

Hero Member
Jul 15, 2017
344
448
NOC Code......
6235
sor

sorry I meant to say on 8th June there were 2900+ above 451...and 1100 above 441..So around 4000 in all were above 440 on 8th June...Deduct 520 (take 260 entrants per day on avaerage) from it and we get 3480 candidates above 440 on June 6th. With a draw size of 3500, the cut-off would have been 440. But their target was 3750 so they delayed the draw for a week to drive the cut-off up again. Lol @special3220 would want to kick me out of this forum after reading this :p the Notorious 440 theory seems to be true once again:p
Look mate I am sorry but are you a bit dim or what? I mean seriously are you even thinking or not? on 8th June there were 4000 people above 441. Now the draw was suppose to happen 6th. Let us deduct say 600 from 4000. Then what we would have had on 6th? 3400. Now lets say draw would have issued 3750 ITAs, but are you forgetting something? what about the 400 or so profile already existing on 440? The cut off last time was December 31, 2018 on 440. So almost all people in 440 were already in the pool. The 6th June draw in no way would have gone below 440. Think properly and then come up with your theory.
 
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Alexios07

Champion Member
Jun 22, 2015
1,002
136
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
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doesnt make sense that's why someone with 451 and profile created in December 2017 received ITA today.
What doesn't make sense? as long as your CRS is above the cut-off score, you will receive an ITA. That's basic math.
 
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ankurrana

Star Member
Jun 8, 2015
170
62
sor

sorry I meant to say on 8th June there were 2900+ above 451...and 1100 above 441..So around 4000 in all were above 440 on 8th June...Deduct 520 (take 260 entrants per day on avaerage) from it and we get 3480 candidates above 440 on June 6th. With a draw size of 3500, the cut-off would have been 440. But their target was 3750 so they delayed the draw for a week to drive the cut-off up again. Lol @special3220 would want to kick me out of this forum after reading this :p the Notorious 440 theory seems to be true once again:p
If it was 440 theory they could have come up with a draw with 3500 or less ITAs and keep 440 as cut off
There are too many ifs and buts in this theory and as i said earlier its just that resistance below 440 is high and it will take back to back draws only to clear below 440 guys which makes us think of 440 theory...
 

NOMAD2017

Hero Member
Mar 9, 2017
726
441
Mississauga, Toronto
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Paris
NOC Code......
111
AOR Received.
13-12-2018
Med's Done....
03-11-2019
Passport Req..
20-11-2019
VISA ISSUED...
07-12-2019
LANDED..........
01-10-2020
Look mate I am sorry but are you a bit dim or what? I mean seriously are you even thinking or not? on 8th June there were 4000 people above 441. Now the draw was suppose to happen 6th. Let us deduct say 600 from 4000. What we have? 3400. Now lets say draw would have issued 3750 ITAs, but are you forgetting something? what about the 400 or so profile already existing on 440? The cut off last time was December 31, 2018 on 440. So almost all people in 440 were already in the pool. The 6th June draw in no way would have gone below 440. Think properly and then come up with your theory.
oh wow,, now you can predict the number of people on 440? lollll...ok what if I say there were just 250 waiting @440? :p
 

NOMAD2017

Hero Member
Mar 9, 2017
726
441
Mississauga, Toronto
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Paris
NOC Code......
111
AOR Received.
13-12-2018
Med's Done....
03-11-2019
Passport Req..
20-11-2019
VISA ISSUED...
07-12-2019
LANDED..........
01-10-2020
If it was 440 theory they could have come up with a draw with 3500 or less ITAs and keep 440 as cut off
There are too many ifs and buts in this theory and as i said earlier its just that resistance below 440 is high and it will take back to back draws only to clear below 440 guys which makes us think of 440 theory...
exactly..the resistance..the number of applicants in 430s increasing day by day,,look at the data..and they are not getting ITA at all...So, whatever the reason is..The score won't go below 440..
 

ankurrana

Star Member
Jun 8, 2015
170
62
Look mate I am sorry but are you a bit dim or what? I mean seriously are you even thinking or not? on 8th June there were 4000 people above 441. Now the draw was suppose to happen 6th. Let us deduct say 600 from 4000. What we have? 3400. Now lets say draw would have issued 3750 ITAs, but are you forgetting something? what about the 400 or so profile already existing on 440? The cut off last time was December 31, 2018 on 440. So almost all people in 440 were already in the pool. The 6th June draw in no way would have gone below 440. Think properly and then come up with your theory.
Dude u r just on fire today. Calm down, there are things beyond our control. 3 week draw hit me when I was on 442 and finally I got ITA after like 2 draws which got rejected because of PCC date mismatch. I reentered pool last tuesday and boom again 3 weeks draw. Now I have my birthday in July and really think chances are bleak for me now...
and i had rejected oinp also after i had received direct ITA..
 

special3220

Hero Member
Jul 15, 2017
344
448
NOC Code......
6235
Dude u r just on fire today. Calm down, there are things beyond our control. 3 week draw hit me when I was on 442 and finally I got ITA after like 2 draws which got rejected because of PCC date mismatch. I reentered pool last tuesday and boom again 3 weeks draw. Now I have my birthday in July and really think chances are bleak for me now...
and i had rejected oinp also after i had received direct ITA..
We all have our own story to tell. I am sorry for your troublesome journey. Can you please elaborate the rejection reason that you experienced. What do you mean by PCC date mismatch?
 

NOMAD2017

Hero Member
Mar 9, 2017
726
441
Mississauga, Toronto
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Paris
NOC Code......
111
AOR Received.
13-12-2018
Med's Done....
03-11-2019
Passport Req..
20-11-2019
VISA ISSUED...
07-12-2019
LANDED..........
01-10-2020
Look mate I am sorry but are you a bit dim or what? I mean seriously are you even thinking or not? on 8th June there were 4000 people above 441. Now the draw was suppose to happen 6th. Let us deduct say 600 from 4000. Then what we would have had on 6th? 3400. Now lets say draw would have issued 3750 ITAs, but are you forgetting something? what about the 400 or so profile already existing on 440? The cut off last time was December 31, 2018 on 440. So almost all people in 440 were already in the pool. The 6th June draw in no way would have gone below 440. Think properly and then come up with your theory.
by the way, you should also try to THINK..4000 people were NOT ABOVE 441, 4000 had 441 OR above.and more than half of 440 guys got ITA in last draw.. what makes you think that there still were 400+ profiles with 440 in the pool? Its just that you will do anything to prove this theory wrong..lol I love this debate, although its useless.. However, 440 theory sure has motivated many of us to improve our CRS points.. So its a good one :)
 

NOMAD2017

Hero Member
Mar 9, 2017
726
441
Mississauga, Toronto
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Paris
NOC Code......
111
AOR Received.
13-12-2018
Med's Done....
03-11-2019
Passport Req..
20-11-2019
VISA ISSUED...
07-12-2019
LANDED..........
01-10-2020
lol
It is simple math and probability, but anyway I am done replying to you. all the best to your Canada Dream. Cheers.
You have been commenting quite rudely today :p why are you so upset? Whats your CRS???? I am sorry if its also below 440.. We are all in this together..no need to be or sound so aggressive over a petty issue..
 
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ankurrana

Star Member
Jun 8, 2015
170
62
We all have our own story to tell. I am sorry for your troublesome journey. Can you please elaborate the rejection reason that you experienced. What do you mean by PCC date mismatch?
My UAE PCC i had taken a month before I left the country and it was valid for 3 months which was written on PCC so I thought it covered my stay but IRCC thought differenly and rejected my application saying it doesnt cover the full stay. In any case I feared this and got a new PCC and uploaded it though webform next day after submission of my PR applicatiom which they opened after 10 days and my application was rejected on the same day. may be they started working on application before they could receive the new PCC.

Where is the dude who projected 435 today :p
 
Last edited:

lightning_crashes

Hero Member
May 13, 2018
275
197
NOC Code......
0213
Dude u r just on fire today. Calm down, there are things beyond our control. 3 week draw hit me when I was on 442 and finally I got ITA after like 2 draws which got rejected because of PCC date mismatch. I reentered pool last tuesday and boom again 3 weeks draw. Now I have my birthday in July and really think chances are bleak for me now...
and i had rejected oinp also after i had received direct ITA..
What was the PCC date miss match. Could you pls share the lesson learnt so others don't do the same mistake. Thx
 

akakiyani

Star Member
May 9, 2018
50
21
Pakistan
NOC Code......
2132
Why would a person on 451 who made his profile 11 months ago, get an ITA today? Shouldn't he be cleared long ago? Seems weird to me