Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[Gury Singh]

Agree with you..
more over, the less ITAs in second half of last year means less PR files processed in 2018 from last year.

We need to understand one thing, the Quota is for PRs and not the ITAs.. I believe, CRS will eventually come down..
As many suggested, next draw might invite 3750 or 4000
Hope for best and good luck all..

Nope buddy... they clearly mentioned its ITA target, NOT PR.

They know rejection rate and average dependents per application, accordingly they have set ITA target to meet their immigration demands.

But I would like myself to be wrong. We need PR btw

 

[Yanbing Chen]

For that to happen, influx of 441+ guys has to be of 250 per day. That's not happening.

That sounds like impossible . But, how do we know how many applicants with 440+ score going to the pool between each draw. I just concerned about that. Maybe I am too pessimistic

 

[YPS]

Thats fine but why to raise misconception abt masters result n stress ppl over here.... we r here to talk sense n facts, not rumours or hypothetical mindworks.

With due respect, no offence.

Well, it's not misconception for sure I am part of multiple groups (one of group you also there from where you copied my line n posted here on OINP ) and people posting that they are waiting for their Masters and few already got and waiting for ECA. Not trying to create stress it's just sensible to know what's happening around instead of be in your own world and think this will happen.

Knowing what's happening around will prepare people to take right step at right time. And that's why all predictions n calculations around...... Anyways I have not posted anything to start argument, I can understand the feeling of low CRS being at 428.

 

[Gury Singh]

Well, it's not misconception for sure I am part of multiple groups (one of group you also there from where you copied my line n posted here on OINP ) and people posting that they are waiting for their Masters and few already got and waiting for ECA. Not trying to create stress it's just sensible to know what's happening around instead of be in your own world and think this will happen.

Knowing what's happening around will prepare people to take right step at right time. And that's why all predictions n calculations around...... Anyways I have not posted anything to start argument, I can understand the feeling of low CRS being at 428.

Im at 435... I do copy instead of writing again to convey the info to others but only if that info makes sense to me.... I might have thought your post factually correct.

 

[Gury Singh]

Hahahaaa From whr u hv copied this idiotic masters theory... if u hv copied then its fine... but if u hv generated with own analysis, then lolsssss.

Indirectly r u conveying that ur info on oinp u talked i shud not hv trusted? I really trusted that piece of info n shared wid others

Anyways leave it no offence buddy

 

[Gury Singh]

Even ielts results might b nearing, it takes time to get TRF... correct?

 

[Gury Singh]

well brother average people from 431 to 440 in 15 days are 250 and in next couple of draw 438 will be flushed out ...July's draw I.e.4th will be without ielts so they have to pick least 3000 from 430s ...n I am sure 435-438 it's not more than 3000.....apply 8778 permutations u will come to know that bunch of people are sitting in 440, 438 n 433.....
calculation is based on draw if happens on mentioned date...n i think ITA will increase to 3750 for next 4 draws...

total ITA which need to issue 2018 will be between 74000- 78000 so we are left with roughly 50000 under federal quota. ....these are my assumption for unpridicatable IRCC. ..

Vry nxt draw wil clear clouds abt 440s profiles...

 

[Aarti123]

That's what I am trying to do. Are you not eligible for Oxford Brook degree?

No im not anymore. I guess too much time has passed. Is that the degree you are going to do or something else?

 

[Aarti123]

Yep my friend got ITA last year in May and just landed last week in Toronto

Wow that took long . My friend got hers in June and landed last year oct

 

[Reddiered07]

Guys with CRS ranging from 431 to 440 and 441+ please vote here: Poll would give us a fair idea of composition of members from 431 to 440 and 441+

http://pollmaker.vote/p/C5G7678Q

 

[Reddiered07]

Guys with CRS ranging from 431 to 440 and 441+ please vote here: Poll would give us a fair idea of composition of members from 431 to 440 and 441+

http://pollmaker.vote/p/C5G7678Q

Only 163 votes registered so far..out of 8k+ people sitting over 430!!! Atleast we need to 1k votes to determine the accuracy of the poll otherwise poll seems skewed/biased and not representative of entire population!

 

[Tiwana350]

February 26th to be more precise.

some of got HCP NOIs but the evaluation is still pending.. i dont know if they will exhaust the previous set of HCP NOIs before issuing fresh NOIs..

 

[Mayur_M]

Only 163 votes registered so far..out of 8k+ people sitting over 430!!! Atleast we need to 1k votes to determine the accuracy of the poll otherwise poll seems skewed/biased and not representative of entire population!

Agreed, but I don't think that many people are active here.

 

[Reddiered07]

That sounds like impossible . But, how do we know how many applicants with 440+ score going to the pool between each draw. I just concerned about that. Maybe I am too pessimistic

There were 1965 on 441 and above on may 16th..assuming 500 already there on 441..around 185 per day entered the pool from may 9th to may 16th..and similarly as all 441 cleared on may 23rd and a part of 440..assuming 160..1374 entered from may 16th to may 23rd..i.e around 196 entered per day..so all in all around 190 above 440 per day entered from may 9th to may 23rd!! Hope the same +10 continue from may 23rd to june 6th!!

 

[Reddiered07]

There were 1965 on 441 and above on may 16th..assuming 500 already there on 441..around 185 per day entered the pool from may 9th to may 16th..and similarly as all 441 cleared on may 23rd and a part of 440..assuming 160..1374 entered from may 16th to may 23rd..i.e around 196 entered per day..so all in all around 190 above 440 per day entered from may 9th to may 23rd!! Hope the same +10 continue from may 23rd to june 6th!!

In summary with 3500 itas around 400-550 from 440 and will be cleared on june6th..tie breaker april 2018..

If 3750 itas..then expect all 440 to get cleared and around 50-150 from 439 getting cleared with a tie-breaker on december end 2017!!

So hope for 3750 itas!!