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Ray of Hope - 69th Draw

cnrp

Star Member
Jul 28, 2017
78
259
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1221
App. Filed.......
27-07-2017
AOR Received.
13-12-2017
if there will be a draw today Wednesday with same number of ITAs 3200 then score will be around 432

I use http://pollsdb.com/canada.aspx for predections
When you look at the pool data of July 27, 2017 at least 2800-3000 people sitting above 431 on August 2. Around 150 to 200 people adding up to that number each day so a draw today would mean CRS around 436-438 not lower than that.

Also IELTS results of July 29 will be announced on Friday. So, a round next week will increase CRS a little bit over 440 but If we see a round within 2 weeks after that (70th draw) we could see CRS go below 430 again.
 

mqamar1994

Hero Member
Jan 30, 2016
855
1,650
29
Canada
Category........
PNP
NOC Code......
2173
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
01-07-2017
Nomination.....
19-07-2017
AOR Received.
07-08-2017
Med's Done....
28-07-2017
Passport Req..
08-01-2018
LANDED..........
18-06-2018
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asmgx

Star Member
Dec 21, 2009
54
43
When you look at the pool data of July 27, 2017 at least 2800-3000 people sitting above 431 on August 2. Around 150 to 200 people adding up to that number each day so a draw today would mean CRS around 436-438 not lower than that.

Also IELTS results of July 29 will be announced on Friday. So, a round next week will increase CRS a little bit over 440 but If we see a round within 2 weeks after that (70th draw) we could see CRS go below 430 again.

There were 2244 between 431-440 as of 27 Jul..

all of the applications above 440 have been cleared on 2 Aug, and by this date the range of 431-440 should be around 2435
Assuming the average of 150-200 new applications every day = 175
So in 7 days there will be 1225 new applications

so above 431 will be 2435 + 1225 = 3660

so if the number of ITAs was 3200 then CRS will be around 432-433
 

sysadmin141

Hero Member
Jul 18, 2017
232
193
NOC Code......
2282
Hi everyone,

I'm sorry to inform you that our friend @iamxty ended up in a hospital due to stress and fatigue. She is, thank God, doing better now, but she has to rest. She will be away from the forum for a while but will catch-up soon.

Unfortunately all this stress and life in general in causing us difficulties but nothing we can't manage!

@iamxty will get back stronger!

Kind regards,
Andrea
Get well soon @iamxty
 
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GKB1990

Member
Jun 16, 2017
18
1
Please guide in filing education part of my EE. should i start from secondary school first or highest one first. It is mentioned that they will count this part for calculating CRS.

Regards
 

Karnesh

Hero Member
Mar 15, 2017
913
2,461
Category........
PNP
Please guide in filing education part of my EE. should i start from secondary school first or highest one first. It is mentioned that they will count this part for calculating CRS.

Regards
Start with the Highest one first.
 

cnrp

Star Member
Jul 28, 2017
78
259
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1221
App. Filed.......
27-07-2017
AOR Received.
13-12-2017
There were 2244 between 431-440 as of 27 Jul..

all of the applications above 440 have been cleared on 2 Aug, and by this date the range of 431-440 should be around 2435
Assuming the average of 150-200 new applications every day = 175
So in 7 days there will be 1225 new applications

so above 431 will be 2435 + 1225 = 3660

so if the number of ITAs was 3200 then CRS will be around 432-433
You are taking new applications every day 175 and telling that the pool size above 432 is only 3200 today, whereas 2244 people were sitting above 431 on July 27.

July 28, July 29, July 30, July 31, August 1, August 2, August 3, August 4, August 5, August 6, August 7, August 8 (12 days), which means 2100 new applications into the pool above 231 people. New pool size above 431 would be 4344. No chance that the CRS will go down to 432-433 with 3200 ITAs.

Please do not mislead people here who are in need of just a spark of hope.
 

ankush91

Full Member
Jun 29, 2017
44
9
Thanks, Andie. I think I'm grumpy from not being asleep, lol. My student visa application is in, so I should know in about a month. I've already started thinking about places to live near the Toronto facility.
Hey buddy,

I am also looking to enrol for the same course. I would like some details about it. Can we connect?
 

asmgx

Star Member
Dec 21, 2009
54
43
You are taking new applications every day 175 and telling that the pool size above 432 is only 3200 today, whereas 2244 people were sitting above 431 on July 27.

July 28, July 29, July 30, July 31, August 1, August 2, August 3, August 4, August 5, August 6, August 7, August 8 (12 days), which means 2100 new applications into the pool above 231 people. New pool size above 431 would be 4344. No chance that the CRS will go down to 432-433 with 3200 ITAs.

Please do not mislead people here who are in need of just a spark of hope.
I am not misleading anyone,
it is just simple math

let me explain a bit further


* on 27th Jul there was 2244 application for 431-440 on same date the number of applications above 440 was 2103

* on 2nd Aug there was around 2435 application for 431-440 , this number based on around 32 new applications every day on that range of 431-440 (this number was calculated based on the history of older draws) and for the range above 440 there was ZERO applications as all was cleared after the 2nd Aug draw

* The daily increase for the range of 431 and above is 172 ( also calculated based on the history of older draws)

* so after 7 days we will have [No of applications for 431-440 on 2nd Aug] + [No of applications for above 440 on 2nd Aug] + ([7 days] * [Daily Increase])

means
2435 + 0 + ( 7 * 172 ) = 2435 + 0 + 1204 = 3639 applications above 430

* by finding the number of increases in each category from the older draws we find that 3200 ITAs would reach CRS 432

* It is all estimates, there could be no draw tomorrow ( most likely)

to make it easier for you check this website
it will just give you the expected CRS
http://pollsdb.com/canada.aspx
 

Abu Shams

Star Member
Jul 1, 2017
79
21
Dear Seniors, urgent advice needed

I have created EE profile. But I am confused about 1 thing. In the Education section I entered the detail of my BBA and MBA since, ECA is only for my BBA and MBA. My query is "do I have to enter the detail of my Secondary School Certificate and Higher Secondary Certificate credentials?" Please help.......