RAY of HOPE 54th Draw (Predictions)

[fabiano.ferreira]

Yes, there wont be 120 000 ITAs for sure, but maybe 50-60 000

Nope, because the family numbers are in a separate quota. According to 2017 Report, there will be arround 84,000 additional family members. Take a look at 2017 report.

 

[Rosh17]

Nope, because the family numbers are in a separate quota. According to 2017 Report, there will be arround 84,000 additional family members. Take a look at 2017 report.

Can you please post a link to that report... thanks

 

[astralsource]

Nope, because the family numbers are in a separate quota. According to 2017 Report, there will be arround 84,000 additional family members. Take a look at 2017 report.

I honestly dont know anymore what I was trying to say. Nevermind, this is the LINK http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/media/notices/2016-10-31.asp we should look into, and here it says 172,500 economic total. Family total 84,000. Refugees total 40,000. Humanitarian 3,500.
All together 300,000.

I am particularly interested in FSW+CEC+FST and the target here is 73,700 (through EE)

AND I quote

Therefore:

For FSW+CEC+FST the number of ITA per month should be 73,700/(12*1.5) = 4094
For PNP the number of ITA per month should be 30600/(12*1.5) = 1700

So I would expect the number of draws to be twice a month with roughly 2900 ITA.

I think this ramp up is temporary in order to catch up on lost time. They were working hard at the last half of 2016 to clear pre EE backlog. I expect that the applications then required far more processing and therefore time consuming. So they are behind on their quota for 2017, but with the rate they are going I expect them to catch up pretty quickly.

 

[raviG]

My prediction is 459 and nearly 3100 invites. If you see 2016 draw pattern, they initially lowered the score and gradually increased to 480-500 points. I am seeing previous year draw in CIC site. http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/mi/ita.asp

 

[Kombatant]

My prediction is 459 and nearly 3100 invites. If you see 2016 draw pattern, they initially lowered the score and gradually increased to 480-500 points. I am seeing previous year draw in CIC site. http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/mi/ita.asp

Which would be the logical thing to assume, except you can't compare apples to oranges really. We have new rules now, 600 points from LMIAs are history plus last year the numbers were greatly decreased due to the refugee problem

 

[garyastudent]

Hey Gary,

Sure but I don't have experience on IELTS so I won't be able to provide a comparison.

Celpip itself is not hard at all, but for me, writing is the only challenge to get to CLB9 or higher. The entire test is done using computer including the speaking part. I prepared for it by purchasing online sample test and the free online samples, too.

Overall it's pretty easy to score CLB8 but for CLB9 or max you will probably need more than one try and extra study.

Hi James,

Thanks for your reply.

I appeared for IELTS and scored CLB 10 in Speaking and listening and CLB 9 in Reading, but Writing has screwed me up real bad.

That is the reason I wanted to try CELPIP, to begin with my handwriting is even worst then doctors (NO offence to any Doctor) and then I have been working on Computers for very long, probably a negative side of working in IT no more writing on papers .... ;-)

 

[astralsource]

My prediction is 459 and nearly 3100 invites. If you see 2016 draw pattern, they initially lowered the score and gradually increased to 480-500 points. I am seeing previous year draw in CIC site. http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/mi/ita.asp

no point comparing that, totally different conditions, we will see a much greater number of ITAs so raising the cut off is very unlikely

 

[Ashwsh]

Can you please post a link to that report... thanks

Doesn't additional family members mean sponsorships for spouse, parents etc.
I think the ones that are part of ITA are separate.
Correct me if I'm wrong.

 

[fabiano.ferreira]

Can you please post a link to that report... thanks

Since I am new in this Immigration Forum, I am not allowed to post links...


But you can google it using the following text:

"Notice – Supplementary Information 2017 Immigration Levels Plan"

 

[Tej9999]

Please be polite...

 

[Ascent]

We really need 2016 End of year report, bcz after the last draw I am really thinking how much low the score can hit in the year 2017.

Will it touch lower ranges of 400?

And will the OINP be inviting candidates falling between 350 - 410?

Though I am prey hope full that the 450 benchmark will be breached in 8-2-2017 draw.

Any thoughts?

 

[karanssharma]

My prediction is 459 and nearly 3100 invites. If you see 2016 draw pattern, they initially lowered the score and gradually increased to 480-500 points. I am seeing previous year draw in CIC site. http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/mi/ita.asp

Poor pooooor pooooooor poooooooor poooooooooooor poooooooooooooor poooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooor.

stop right there, the only thing we have been trying to do is to stay positive. cheers

 

[karanssharma]

General questions/off the topic, sorry

I just made my EE profile on my cic today, it says continue profile option only, everything is complete, nothing shows up in submit proile row.

I just wanted to know what is the next step to that

 

[hopesarehigh]

hope cic gives the pleasant surprise again of 7-9 points reduction in next draw

 

[sunnyvin]

score will be 444 - 446 range

Reason only limia now gives 50 points not 600 .. .. draw sizes has increased substantially.


The crowd is heave between 430 - 445 CIC should publish the year end report. That would predict a clear picture of future draws.