RAY of HOPE 52nd Draw (Predictions)

[schemingon]

My take on next draw, obviously a wild guess:

I dont expect the CRS to come down 7 points this time like the previous draw. Since we already had a 470 draw few months back, no of candidates between 470-475 would have been less , but then all 468s and 469s were also cleared with the previous draw which is great news.

My prediction is a 4 point decrease which makes it 464.

 

[mic-mic]

Here's hoping for 450 on the next draw! ;D

 

[Kearnixer]

Here's hoping for 450 on the next draw! ;D

I'm with you! I really wonder how many people are sitting between 450 and 468!

 

[Castillo]

If the ITAs remain in 2900-3000 level I can see next draw the score will fall below 465. And even coming to a level of very early 460s. Lots of people were not believing me when I told them the scores will fall below and I am saying it again if it remains as it is we will see scores going to 450 level by late Feb early March and than it will break the most hated barrier of 450.

Broda I believed u .....u r a man of great intuition which borders on the prophetic!!!

 

[Wolverine17]

The scores went high from april 2016 because they reduced the number of ITAs which is not going to happen in 2017. The scores will fall consistently from now on because the number of people getting cleared in 2 weeks is much higher than the number of new people coming with high scores PNPs and improved scores.

Based on your assumptions when do you believe that scores will drop down to below 460?thanks

 

[mead]

u guys r forgetting last draw issued 2,902 ITA if the the number goes down then CRS will increase. I dont think they will keep issuing 2000+ ita... so expect CRS to increase

 

[fordori]

If the ITAs remain in 2900-3000 level I can see next draw the score will fall below 465. And even coming to a level of very early 460s. Lots of people were not believing me when I told them the scores will fall below and I am saying it again if it remains as it is we will see scores going to 450 level by late Feb early March and than it will break the most hated barrier of 450.

I'm at exactly at 460 points. When do you think is my turn?

 

[Escobar Gaviria]

I am exactly at 450, and fingers crossed for an ITA in March-April.

 

[rg74]

Hi all, I was checking other posts and saw educational qualification degree/diplomas need to be uploaded for the Spouse also post ITA in Documents. Does the degree needs to be evaluated from WES if not claiming any points for spouse education. Thanks

 

[Sugar2016]

I read in one of the CIC presentations that they consider 450 to be a good score and a lot of good quality candidates stuck in this range. So definitely i think the score will decrease over time to 450.

 

[dream2017]

I am exactly at 450, and fingers crossed for an ITA in March-April.

Mine will be at 450 until this Dec.

 

[Kearnixer]

I read in one of the CIC presentations that they consider 450 to be a good score and a lot of good quality candidates stuck in this range. So definitely i think the score will decrease over time to 450.

Yes I read the exact same thing! They were saying on a slide that they want to draw more people with a strong core score and that so far it never went below 450. Meaning that in their eyes they also want people with scores below 450! However, how much below 450 it can go remains speculation. But it definitely sounds promising!

 

[Kearnixer]

Yes I read the exact same thing! They were saying on a slide that they want to draw more people with a strong core score and that so far it never went below 450. Meaning that in their eyes they also want people with scores below 450! However, how much below 450 it can go remains speculation. But it definitely sounds promising!

Here the link: https://c.ymcdn.com/sites/www.cerc.ca/resource/resmgr/government_relations/Express_entry_national_stake.pdf

Read slide 7

 

[Broken Heart]

Any reason for not including the last working day in experience? we may have draw on 18th Jan just trying to avoid to be considered under Section A11.2

It's been known by many members on the forum that 5-6 days (i.e. less than a week), AND submitting e-APR after completion of exact date, that would be fine.

That's what I did myself, declined ITA from 22nd Dec, and accepted the one on Jan/4th, will submit my e-APR on Jan/11th. I complete my years experience on Jan/10th.

That is why I was surprised to see you posting this again. Yes I know it is a risk to decline ITA, but then again refusal of PR after 4 months for something you knew could happen will devastate me for sure.

Anyhow, I think we concluded this topic thus far, therefore I will say Good luck to you.

 

[Broken Heart]

@Broken Heart yes theres definitely smaller target for refugees this year, and less backlog together with higher quota and smaller LMIA effect should grant ITA for everyone on 430+ in this year. Im pretty positive on that one.

I mean of course once the end of yr report is out we will know more, however as things stand right now, I think there is hope even for 400+.

Let's stay positive and see what comes our way.