~~RAY of HOPE 51st Draw~~ (Predictions)

[mukulabd]

how much time does it take on average to get PR after you get an ITA? ?

After you submit all the documents it takes around 6 months.

 

[aki1010]

After you submit all the documents it takes around 6 months.

does it actually take that long? ?

 

[mehulc]

Hello Gentlemen,
My EE score is 458 now under CEC class..
Really hoping for score would drop down to 455 in Jan - Feb.. What do you guys think about it???

 

[aki1010]

Hello Gentlemen,
My EE score is 458 now under CEC class..
Really hoping for score would drop down to 455 in Jan - Feb.. What do you guys think about it???

chances for it to drop to 455 are likely in march earliest. .As there are lot of students between 460 to 470 ..

 

[Castillo]

Am I the only fellow thinking that there could be a draw today or tomorrow?

 

[Tracydo]

Should we open a new thread as Ray of hope 1st Draw ^^. My CRS is now 464, any chance for me getting the ITA in the next draw?

 

[Castillo]

chances for it to drop to 455 are likely in march earliest. .As there are lot of students between 460 to 470 ..

I keep seeing this lots, please can you quantify your lots!!!!

 

[Almostther]

Am I the only fellow thinking that there could be a draw today or tomorrow?

It will be a welcome draw, but I will be happy if they have one on the 4th..

 

[Almostther]

Hello Gentlemen,
My EE score is 458 now under CEC class..
Really hoping for score would drop down to 455 in Jan - Feb.. What do you guys think about it???

I will be the happiest person if it happens as I lose my CEC category effective March 1st. but to be realisitic, it doesn't seem to be happening before April/May.

 

[aki1010]

Am I the only fellow thinking that there could be a draw today or tomorrow?

really wish for your thoughts to come true. .It would surely be an icing on the cake. .

 

[aki1010]

I keep seeing this lots, please can you quantify your lots!!!!

there hasn't been any score drop below 470 since almost 6 months so those people plus the ones whose score increased due to recent changes.

 

[aki1010]

I keep seeing this lots, please can you quantify your lots!!!!

having said that if what you say comes true and scores drop sooner then I would be super happy. .

 

[Broken Heart]

Since I am going to decline my ITA due to receiving early because of the CICs system's problem in counting full years...!!!

Let's do some speculations:

looking back at January 2016, we had 3 draws in one month. Now some people would say that they were trying to include the one they missed from last year's (i.e. 2015). since it is twice a week, a year has 52 weeks, therefore 26 draws a year.

In 2015 we had 23 draws, therefore we can assume that including an extra draw in January 2016 was to make the draws for 2015 equal 24 and be on track, missing only two draws with the excuse that the EE system just started then.

However in 2016, we had 26 draws...!!!, one was only provincial. So this makes me think that we might have a similar plan for January 2017.

My prediction:
Will go back to Wednesdays for draws, so it should be 4th/Jan, 11th and 25th.

Now for scores I am guessing and also looking to past draws, if the ITA numbers stay at 2000 at least, the first draw will stay similar to the last one at around 480, then 470, and finally 468. for the January draws.

If we have larger ITAs issued in these first three draws of January, for example 2700 ITAs. Then the scores should be something like 477, 472, 460.

Of course I am hoping I am wrong, and that the score can go as low as 440 for more people to be included.


Let's hear more predictions guys.

 

[Castillo]

Since I am going to decline my ITA due to receiving early because of the CICs system's problem in counting full years...!!!

Let's do some speculations:

looking back at January 2016, we had 3 draws in one month. Now some people would say that they were trying to include the one they missed from last year's (i.e. 2015). since it is twice a week, a year has 52 weeks, therefore 26 draws a year.

In 2015 we had 23 draws, therefore we can assume that including an extra draw in January 2016 was to make the draws for 2015 equal 24 and be on track, missing only two draws with the excuse that the EE system just started then.

However in 2016, we had 26 draws...!!!, one was only provincial. So this makes me think that we might have a similar plan for January 2017.

My prediction:
Will go back to Wednesdays for draws, so it should be 4th/Jan, 11th and 25th.

Now for scores I am guessing and also looking to past draws, if the ITA numbers stay at 2000 at least, the first draw will stay similar to the last one at around 480, then 470, and finally 468. for the January draws.

If we have larger ITAs issued in these first three draws of January, for example 2700 ITAs. Then the scores should be something like 477, 472, 460.

Of course I am hoping I am wrong, and that the score can go as low as 440 for more people to be included.


Let's hear more predictions guys.

Your predictions, based on the volumes of ita issued and the respective CRS cut-offs are inconsistent

I suppose, though not sure, that there could be a draw today or Thursday . if this is the case, regular draws in Jan ould begin second week, that is Jan 14

 

[Almostther]

Since I am going to decline my ITA due to receiving early because of the CICs system's problem in counting full years...!!!

Let's do some speculations:

looking back at January 2016, we had 3 draws in one month. Now some people would say that they were trying to include the one they missed from last year's (i.e. 2015). since it is twice a week, a year has 52 weeks, therefore 26 draws a year.

In 2015 we had 23 draws, therefore we can assume that including an extra draw in January 2016 was to make the draws for 2015 equal 24 and be on track, missing only two draws with the excuse that the EE system just started then.

However in 2016, we had 26 draws...!!!, one was only provincial. So this makes me think that we might have a similar plan for January 2017.

My prediction:
Will go back to Wednesdays for draws, so it should be 4th/Jan, 11th and 25th.

Now for scores I am guessing and also looking to past draws, if the ITA numbers stay at 2000 at least, the first draw will stay similar to the last one at around 480, then 470, and finally 468. for the January draws.

If we have larger ITAs issued in these first three draws of January, for example 2700 ITAs. Then the scores should be something like 477, 472, 460.

Of course I am hoping I am wrong, and that the score can go as low as 440 for more people to be included.


Let's hear more predictions guys.

Good speculation, but I disagree on the first draw. If it happens on 4th, and assume that there are 500 PNPs (optimistic number) then they have to take another 2000 to meet 2.5 K. Since all scores above 475 is cleared, and considering very less people complete one year and no graduate pass at this time around (December 23rd and January 4th), I don't think the score would be above 475 at any cost.
Correct me if I assumed anything wrong? I would like to know how you have calculated 2000 people over 480 and another 700 between 477 and 480..