Ray of Hope - *48th Draw*

[Alexios07]

Try CELPIP, that's much easier. I'm sure you can get CLB 10 on listening. I don't like the CELPIP speaking test though

I had tried CELPIP as well, twice actually, got maximum for reading and listening (12), CLB 9 for writing (10) but they gave me clb 8 for speaking.

 

[astralsource]

My guess is 30th November for a few reasons. 1) Usual pattern is every two weeks; 2) more importantly, they probably want to allow enough time for people to update their profiles and work out the glitches. Three or four days would be rushed.

1) they have skipped and made weekly draws before when they had to make things "fit" their needs 2) yes possibly. Then maybe they will draw 30.11, 7.12, 21.12. but they have to make a jump somewhere because there cant be a draw 28.12.

 

[Pippin]

1) they have skipped and made weekly draws before when they had to make things "fit" their needs 2) yes possibly. Then maybe they will draw 30.11, 7.12, 21.12. but they have to make a jump somewhere because there cant be a draw 28.12.

Your draw timing would be a nice Christmas present for a lot of people. Hope you are right.

 

[Alexios07]

Your draw timing would be a nice Christmas present for a lot of people. Hope you are right.

I, for one, don't want to receive an ITA right before Christmas because it means IRCC and many government places will not be working to process our request and issue documents = time wasted.

 

[sandymarcus]

I am with a score of 467. ( if 15 points shows up for my studies, I am 482).
I am expecting a draw on December 6th to 9th
and Between December 16th to 22nd.

That most likely to happen.

 

[thestunner316]

actually yeah, with the bugs in the system i dont think there will be a draw this week... but i'm expecting 3 draws before the end of the year.

30th nov, 7th and 21st december... thats what the crystal ball says...

 

[johnsyk]

actually yeah, with the bugs in the system i dont think there will be a draw this week... but i'm expecting 3 draws before the end of the year.

30th nov, 7th and 21st december... thats what the crystal ball says...

And does the crystal ball have anything to say about the upcoming scores for 30th, 7th and 21st? ;D

 

[thestunner316]

And does the crystal ball have anything to say about the upcoming scores for 30th, 7th and 21st? ;D

lol, no... theres just too much haze currently...

 

[Wolverine17]

1) they have skipped and made weekly draws before when they had to make things "fit" their needs 2) yes possibly. Then maybe they will draw 30.11, 7.12, 21.12. but they have to make a jump somewhere because there cant be a draw 28.12.

Are you sure about that there wont be a draw on 28-12

 

[thestunner316]

Are you sure about that there wont be a draw on 28-12

yeah. 90% sure... its christmas week there - they wont even bother with a draw.

 

[kkannan1989]

I just want to make a rough analysis here... Lets assume during this transition there are 3 categories of Profile : Category A - those with LMIA having their points drop from 600 to 50 or 200 , Category B - Those without LMIA getting additional points 50 or 200 points, Category C - those having canadian study factor , getting 15 to 30 points .

Since we are assuming lots of profiles falling in category A , reducing 400-550 points drastically puts them at their worst out of contention , or at their best still competing with CRS scores of 450 and above .
As for profiles in B category only the profiles previously around 420's and above will stand to benefit from this as most of them will only gain 50 points (not considering too many in NOC 00 category getting 200 points , which i presume will be subject to lot of paper work and scrutiny)
For those in C category will be mostly benefitted if they were previously hovering around mid 440's or above by gaining advantage of those 15-30 points .

My question is approximately... How many of them fall in each of the categories(purely made up by me for the sake of understandign , No such categories exist) i had listed above ... This will help us to guage the situation of the pool better !!

 

[thestunner316]

I just want to make a rough analysis here... Lets assume during this transition there are 3 categories of Profile : Category A - those with LMIA having their points drop from 600 to 50 or 200 , Category B - Those without LMIA getting additional points 50 or 200 points, Category C - those having canadian study factor , getting 15 to 30 points .

Since we are assuming lots of profiles falling in category A , reducing 400-550 points drastically puts them at their worst out of contention , or at their best still competing with CRS scores of 450 and above .
As for profiles in B category only the profiles previously around 420's and above will stand to benefit from this as most of them will only gain 50 points (not considering too many in NOC 00 category getting 200 points , which i presume will be subject to lot of paper work and scrutiny)
For those in C category will be mostly benefitted if they were previously hovering around mid 440's or above by gaining advantage of those 15-30 points .

My question is approximately... How many of them fall in each of the categories(purely made up by me for the sake of understandign , No such categories exist) i had listed above ... This will help us to guage the situation of the pool better !!

that looks like work for alexios... he has been the best by far when it comes to analysis on this platform...

 

[motocheck]

Hi Alexios and friends.. do I have any chance for ITA with CRS 451.. am waiting since june 2016. after slogging hard for ielts managed only CRS 451.. pls guide me if I have any chance for ITA.. m waiting patiently. .but scores are not coming down..

 

[kryt0n]

Hi Alexios and friends.. do I have any chance for ITA with CRS 451.. am waiting since june 2016. after slogging hard for ielts managed only CRS 451.. pls guide me if I have any chance for ITA.. m waiting patiently. .but scores are not coming down..

Maybe. None of us know for sure. As there's recently been changes we might see a point fluctuation for a few months before *hopefully* dropping. None of us have any idea how it will go.

 

[sunchaser]

Hi Alexios and friends.. do I have any chance for ITA with CRS 451.. am waiting since june 2016. after slogging hard for ielts managed only CRS 451.. pls guide me if I have any chance for ITA.. m waiting patiently. .but scores are not coming down..

I would say above 450 is a safe bet. Even if OINP increases cut-off (PT notification criteria are not out yet), you would get PT notification. I am at 453, hoping for the PT notification soon, and ITA in next 6-7 draws. Let's hope for the best.