Ray of Hope - 44th Draw

[SameerAtre]

Happy with the new trend of increasing number of ITAs

 

[IgnacioValls]

Yep! keep going like this!

 

[Omidahomie]

Yeh the trend is good. Not sure about the extra PNP nominations increasing CRS score news circulating since last week. Hope that doesnt interfere with the remaining draws of the year and the ITA trajectory keeps increasing.

 

[Wolverine17]

Not sure if the increase in ita will cause a dramtic drop in scores

 

[Rickyindia]

I got a CRS 475 but still not getting the ITA. It is very frustrating to wait for more 15 days each time the draw comes out. It is happening to me since 3 months

 

[Martin_Tony]

Sitting at 474 and will drop by 5 because of age in Nov.

 

[Canada2425]

I got a CRS 475 but still not getting the ITA. It is very frustrating to wait for more 15 days each time the draw comes out. It is happening to me since 3 months

Same here brother - 475. We need to wait for another two draws. Hopefully by October end we have ITA.

 

[shruthi209]

I have a score of 463. Waiting since June
Hope the score drops by 20 points in the coming draw (fingers crossed)
Even I lost hopes after seeing the news about PNP and CRS going above 500.

Best of luck everyone

 

[johnjkjk]

The recent upward trend in ITA hasn't borne out in minimum score, which is still >482. It's likely that a significant rise in PNP has eaten up this increase as since nomination is guaranteed invitation.

What doesn't make sense is that by August, the 2016 target for EE landings should have been met so we're now drawing from the 2017 target, which should technically be double as it doesn't have a backlog, ergo ITAs should have reached 2000 in September. Pre-EE backlog has it's own target of c.30,000 which is independent of the 2017 EE target. Something is amiss here.

 

[Chiptole]

Sitting on 474. When will the score drop ???

 

[johnjkjk]

The recent upward trend in ITA hasn't borne out in minimum score, which is still >482. It's likely that a significant rise in PNP has eaten up this increase as since nomination is guaranteed invitation.

What doesn't make sense is that by August, the 2016 target for EE landings should have been met so we're now drawing from the 2017 target, which should technically be double as it doesn't have a backlog, ergo ITAs should have reached 2000 in September. Pre-EE backlog has it's own target of c.30,000 which is independent of the 2017 EE target. Something is amiss here.

One potential reason why ITAs have been so low since May is because targets have been overshot considerably. Targets are for actual PR landings including dependants, which between Jan-Jun 2016 was 52,000 so the 2016 target of 58,400 was almost met in 6 months, with 6 months yet to go, so will have been overshot by up to 50,000 in 2016 mostly due to huge numbers of dependants. As very few non PNP, non LMIA applicants have been drawn in the past 12 draws, the following can be concluded:
1. The pre-EE backlog must have been quite large.
2. PR applicants are now bringing in lots of dependants, up to twice the number the were bringing in previous years.

Data here: http://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/ad975a26-df23-456a-8ada-756191a23695

 

[sandyin]

I am sitting at 443. My work permit has expired and currently on TRV for a year
I hope score drops and changes to express entry happens soon.
If nothing happens, moving back to home country after 6 years of struggle here.

 

[Alexios07]

In 2017, if we have 2000 ITAs per draw, IRCC should make a draw like this:

• 700 ITAs for CEC: 450 points
• 700 ITAs for FSW: 460 points
• 400 ITAs for low-skilled workers: 350 points
• 200 ITAs for PNPs: 800 points

Right now, there are absolutely no differences between FSW and CEC, except the need of POF.

 

[ecpradeep1]

Sitting at 482:-( Missed draw 43 by one point:-(

October is ray of hope for me, By November my point will go minus 5

 

[kashish948]

I am sitting at 443. My work permit has expired and currently on TRV for a year
I hope score drops and changes to express entry happens soon.
If nothing happens, moving back to home country after 6 years of struggle here.

hey, my work permit is about to expire in about a month, how did you get a 1 year TRV?
i was advised to put a work permit extension paper application and go on implied status for a few months.