Ray of Hope - 162nd Draw - All Programs

[romeo0909]

when was that great assumption ever made?

actually he said this many times but everyone trolled him/her, but seems the prediciton could be right if alternate draws continue

 

[night1234]

My assumption is correct, the point will stay at 475+ after all program resume

Considering August/September is graduation month for a few masters programs in Canada.
Its comforting to see most of the people with 475 score getting picked in this draw.
By December even with alternate all program draws, with 3900 invites each, CRS should come down to 470

 

[D'trox]

Hey,
Just wanted to reach out and see if any of you have received any approvals during this COVID period. Its been almost 8 month since my application, so just wanted to see if anyone else has received an approval.
Thanks in advance.

Regards

 

[Sensation80]

By this rate we should reach 85000 ITAs by october end. If they continue till december they would exceed the target by almost 10k. Hope they dont skip draws

 

[Therodmg]

My assumption is correct, the point will stay at 475+ after all program resume

How are you assuming that? i guess you're wrong mate

 

[keebs]

Keeping my fingers crossed. I will be in real hot water since my IELTS is expiring on November 8..

Ensure if you receive an ITA at the end of the month that you submit all your documents before November 8th.

 

[Prakash 123]

Hello everyone!!!!

I am new to this Canada forum.
I really need your help guys!!!

I got my invitation to apply for Canada 1 month back as a single applicant!!!

Now I am planning for marriage!!!

My combined score with my to be spouse will be 8 points more than the round of invitation in which I got invitation!!!!


Do I have decline the invitation?

Or

Can I add my spouse directly into my profile by informing IRCC?


Do I have to fill the form IMM008
IMM5406
IMM5669

Can anyone guide me?

 

[a-kumar]

Ensure if you receive an ITA at the end of the month that you submit all your documents before November 8th.

So even if I get ITA before my IELTS expire, I still have to submit all my documents before November 8? Will my IELTS still expire if I submit documents after IELTS expiration date? Because I thought your results freeze once you receive ITA.

 

[Timbuktu_14]

So even if I get ITA before my IELTS expire, I still have to submit all my documents before November 8? Will my IELTS still expire if I submit documents after IELTS expiration date? Because I thought your results freeze once you receive ITA.

Your point freezes once ITA is issued. It doesn't matter when you submit provided it is still within the 90days period.

 

[keebs]

Your point freezes once ITA is issued. It doesn't matter when you submit provided it is still within the 90days period.

Thanks for clarifying as I thought it was at the time of your AOR it freezes.

 

[a-kumar]

Your point freezes once ITA is issued. It doesn't matter when you submit provided it is still within the 90days period.

Yeah, that's what I originally thought. But thank you for providing further clarification.

 

[indianstudent96]

Your point freezes once ITA is issued. It doesn't matter when you submit provided it is still within the 90days period.

It depends. Usually, your documents have to be valid on the date of your e-APR. The only exception is your age which gets locked in when you receive an ITA.

 

[miami_beach]

6-Jul-20	FSW
601-1200	360
501-600	652
491-500	483
481-490	1,600
471-480	4,561	Cut-off: 478	No. of ITAs: 3900
	Sum: 7656	Candidates left: 3756
4-Aug-20	FSW
601-1200	519
501-600	390
491-500	239
481-490	647
471-480	5,065	Cut-off: 476	No. of ITAs: 3900
	Sum: 6860	Candidates left: 2960	New candidates: 6800-3756=3104
31-Aug-20	FSW
601-1200	364
501-600	340
491-500	264
481-490	655
471-480	4,482	Cut-off: 475	No. of ITAs: 4200
	6105	Candidates left:1905	New candidates: 6105-2960=3145

Over the past two months, about 3100 new candidates entered the pool every month. Even though the data size is very small to generalize it, however, if this trend were to continue, the CRS cut-off should be declining in the coming draws to come. On the last draw, there were about 1900 candidates left with CRS score above 471. Now assuming the trend will continue for next two months, there will be about 6200 new candidates in next two months. Therefore, the total number of candidates in the pool over next two months is about 8000. Since 3900 candidates are generally invited every month, there is a great chance that the CRS cut-off will be inching toward 470 by that time.

Disclaimer: I have completely discarded the CEC draws and the candidates pulled out in those draws for my model.

 

[mark12345680]

So even if I get ITA before my IELTS expire, I still have to submit all my documents before November 8? Will my IELTS still expire if I submit documents after IELTS expiration date? Because I thought your results freeze once you receive ITA.

you need to submit before results expire or resit the test
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/immigrate-canada/express-entry/submit-profile/respond-invitation.html

Changes to your personal situation
If your situation (or that of your spouse or partner) changes, you should re-calculate your scorebefore applying online for permanent residence.

If your recalculated score is less than the lowest score in your round of invitations, you should decline the invitation. If you decide to apply anyway, we may:

• refuse your application
• not refund your application fee

Some examples of changes that could lower your score:

• you no longer have a valid job offer
• you no longer have a provincial nomination
• your language test scores:
  • have expired
  • are lower after you were retested
    

 

[Emman O.]

6-Jul-20	FSW
601-1200	360
501-600	652
491-500	483
481-490	1,600
471-480	4,561	Cut-off: 478	No. of ITAs: 3900
	Sum: 7656	Candidates left: 3756
4-Aug-20	FSW
601-1200	519
501-600	390
491-500	239
481-490	647
471-480	5,065	Cut-off: 476	No. of ITAs: 3900
	Sum: 6860	Candidates left: 2960	New candidates: 6800-3756=3104
31-Aug-20	FSW
601-1200	364
501-600	340
491-500	264
481-490	655
471-480	4,482	Cut-off: 475	No. of ITAs: 4200
	6105	Candidates left:1905	New candidates: 6105-2960=3145

Over the past two months, about 3100 new candidates entered the pool every month. Even though the data size is very small to generalize it, however, if this trend were to continue, the CRS cut-off should be declining in the coming draws to come. On the last draw, there were about 1900 candidates left with CRS score above 471. Now assuming the trend will continue for next two months, there will be about 6200 new candidates in next two months. Therefore, the total number of candidates in the pool over next two months is about 8000. Since 3900 candidates are generally invited every month, there is a great chance that the CRS cut-off will be inching toward 470 by that time.

Disclaimer: I have completely discarded the CEC draws and the candidates pulled out in those draws for my model.

You are right. Very analytical.