Ray of Hope - 136th Draw

[Ramsha Bukhari]

sorry, check with Bill Gates...

 

[Shawan]

Results: Rounds of invitations
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system – February 5, 2020

No program specified

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 3,500Footnote*

Rank required to be invited to apply: 3,500th or above

Date and time of round: February 5, 2020 at 13:11:46 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 472

Tie-breaking rule: January 30, 2020 at 07:36:26 UTC

 

[eld43]

over 3000 people added more than 472 wow!!!! in just 14 days

 

[Ravneet09]

how does this make any sense?

Now you must realise that it did make sense back then.

 

[ersandee]

good part is tie breaking of Jan 30 2020. That means all pool is over now? in last draw it was of May 2019

Last draw 471 with tie break in May 2019, if it goes like this cutoff will hover above 470 for few draws for sure.

 

[Mohd Aman Siddiqui]

Did any one got ITA email?

 

[Akrial]

Same state. I am at 467 and received OINP. Will wait till next week. If no B2B draw, OINP will be the way to go.

The positive thing is that the pace of new candidates having 450+ has been slowed down. Previously the number of candidates entering the pool was higher than the draw size and that was the major factor pool size kept on increasing despite frequent draws.

Stay positive and hope we will see the score in 460s in March and April.

 

[jrossi]

come on....finding an excuse to comfort doesn't work...the point will only go up and maintain 470+

Yeah, I actually recalculated my numbers and actually the number of candidates/day has not been reduced.
Very unfortunate.

 

[indianstudent96]

The positive thing is that the pace of new candidates having 450+ has been slowed down. Previously the number of candidates entering the pool was higher than the draw size and that was the major factor pool size kept on increasing despite frequent draws.

Stay positive and hope we will see the score in 460s in March and April.

No, dude. It has not slowed down at all. 3061 candidates either joined or increased their score to a minimum of 472 (but not more than 600) since last draw. The number of candidates with scores above 451 but below 470 doesn't matter as they will be stuck until the 470+ (472 to be precise) are cleared out. Think about this, 3061 candidates had scores higher than 472 and they all were probably new.

 

[Ramsha Bukhari]

The positive thing is that the pace of new candidates having 450+ has been slowed down. Previously the number of candidates entering the pool was higher than the draw size and that was the major factor pool size kept on increasing despite frequent draws.

Stay positive and hope we will see the score in 460s in March and April.

its still higher.You are miscalculating just like i did once

 

[Akrial]

Y

No, dude. It has not slowed down at all. 3061 candidates either joined or increased their score to a minimum of 472 (but not more than 600) since last draw. The number of candidates with scores above 451 but below 470 doesn't matter as they will be stuck until the 470+ (472 to be precise) are cleared out. Think about this, 3061 candidates had scores higher than 472 and they all were probably new.

Do you know it was much more during the past few months? At least we have reached the breakeven point where the number of high scoring candidates is adding up at the same pace as the number of ITAs. If this reduction will continue, you will see the score dropping down in the future.

 

[Akrial]

its still higher.You are miscalculating just like i did once

I am maintaining the pool count since October 19 and I am pretty sure about my calculations.
Further, I am an Accountant with hands-on exposure to number crunching.

 

[Akrial]

I am maintaining the pool count since October 19 and I am pretty sure about my calculations.
Further, I am an Accountant with hands-on exposure to number crunching.

It's simple math. There were 10k candidates in the pool with 450+ score in Ocotber. Pool size of 450+ increased from 10k to 20k because the inflow of applicants was more than the ITAs issued, however, if you see the pool table of last two draws, there is roughly a change of 100 candidates in 450+ tier which means that almost 3500 profiles are added in between the two draws. If the pace further slows down and the number of ITAs remain same, CRS is bound to drop in the future.

 

[indianstudent96]

Y

Do you know it was much more during the past few months? At least we have reached the breakeven point where the number of high scoring candidates is adding up at the same pace as the number of ITAs. If this reduction will continue, you will see the score dropping down in the future.

Really? 2622 candidates had a score of 471 and above (but less than 600) in the last draw (136th, Jan 22)

2833 candidates had a score of 473 and above (but less than 600) in the draw before that (135th, Jan 08)

Only 2760 candidates had a score of 469 and above (but less than 600) in the 134th draw (Dec 19, 2019)

Tell me, how was this number much higher during the past few months? The number for 136th draw dropped a bit, but spiked back up to 3061 candidates having score better than 472 but less than 600. Tell me how this is a positive thing. When the cut-off goes up, it is always a bad sign for candidates waiting in the pool for quite some time. It usually means newer candidates are getting higher scores.

 

[Harpreet k]

Did any one got ITA email?

Not yet