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Ray of Hope - 136th Draw

yyzstudent

Hero Member
Nov 6, 2015
295
35
Their
Stupid question here:

The last draw of December was 469 that means everybody after that was cleared out.

why was this last one tie break set to may 2019? They were already out by December
profile might have been created in may, without enough points then, but managed to increase their points since, which doesn’t change the date of profile creation.

Also, the cut of date is only indicating tie-breaker. If two profiles have same points but one has been in the pool longer than the other, that one will win.
 

yORha_anDrOId

Full Member
Jan 8, 2020
25
7
Category........
CEC
NOC Code......
2174
Stupid question here:

The last draw of December was 469 that means everybody after that was cleared out.

why was this last one tie break set to may 2019? They were already out by December
Simple. Some people submitted their profiles on May 2019, but the score was way too low at that time; and then by the time of last draw, they had managed to increase their scores to 471 in some way, probably because they got one more year's work experience, or they maxed out their ielts score, or whatever.
 
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Jan.19

Member
Oct 26, 2019
18
3
Their

profile might have been created in may, without enough points then, but managed to increase their points since, which doesn’t change the date of profile creation.

Also, the cut of date is only indicating tie-breaker. If two profiles have same points but one has been in the pool longer than the other, that one will win.
One “stupid” question from me :) I’m just new here and you seem to be informative about this stuff.

If someone rejects invitation since some give wrong details re experience & get higher points, but afterwards need to reject (I read some posts here about it), do they replace that space by other candidate with the same score or thanks to those people possible chances are missed?

Thanks in advance.
 

Ravneet09

Full Member
Jun 29, 2019
33
10
Taking the references of all the details in forum(ray of hope 133 onwards) and seeing the trends of profiles entered per day..if the draw is on 5th of feb ..the crs would remain unchanged i.e 471, but sure shot it will increase to 472 the next draw in feb i.e on 19th or maybe some othe date in February..Best of luck everyone...
 

immonger

Hero Member
Oct 17, 2018
253
47
One “stupid” question from me :) I’m just new here and you seem to be informative about this stuff.

If someone rejects invitation since some give wrong details re experience & get higher points, but afterwards need to reject (I read some posts here about it), do they replace that space by other candidate with the same score or thanks to those people possible chances are missed?

Thanks in advance.
You take someone's spot.
 

ravi1212

Full Member
Dec 9, 2019
37
14
Taking the references of all the details in forum(ray of hope 133 onwards) and seeing the trends of profiles entered per day..if the draw is on 5th of feb ..the crs would remain unchanged i.e 471, but sure shot it will increase to 472 the next draw in feb i.e on 19th or maybe some othe date in February..Best of luck everyone...
how does this make any sense?
 

yyzstudent

Hero Member
Nov 6, 2015
295
35
One “stupid” question from me :) I’m just new here and you seem to be informative about this stuff.

If someone rejects invitation since some give wrong details re experience & get higher points, but afterwards need to reject (I read some posts here about it), do they replace that space by other candidate with the same score or thanks to those people possible chances are missed?

Thanks in advance.
I don't work for IRCC. I have no idea what they do.
 

yyzstudent

Hero Member
Nov 6, 2015
295
35
You take someone's spot.
Please elaborate on how that works.

If 3400 are invited, 15 people decline the invitation, I can't see them invite another 15 to fill those spots, right? It's later in the year when they start to raise the invitation numbers that they fill what fell off earlier.

And as for the pulling out of the pool before invitation, it's not like standing in line at the bank where you leave the line and the person behind you moves up. If you have 473 points, and there are 1600 people who have that and you leave the pool, there will be 1599 people in the pool, unless a new person with 473 points enter the pool. You won't be replaced by a person with 472.
 

XSY_ghostlike

Star Member
Nov 2, 2019
55
33
Here is my prediction on Feb 5th:

Assuming for every score (469-475), N people enters the pool every day.
Assuming K people enters pool with CRS 471+ every day.
Assuming ITA count will be 3400.
Assuming no effective tier-breaker since they cancel each other.


On Jan 22th, 3400 ITAs were issued, includes the following:
1. All new profiles entered pool with CRS 471+ from Jan 8th to Jan 22th. (14K)
2. All new profiles entered pool with CRS (471-472) from Dec 19th to Jan 8th. (19*2N = 38N)
NOTE: No CRS 473+ was in the pool on the day of Jan 8th, since they were selected.

On Feb 5th, the number of ITA will be 14K + 38N as well, so what will be in the pool?
1. New profiles enters pool with CRS 471+ from Jan 22th to Feb 5th. (14K)
2. New profiles enters pool with CRS 470 from Dec 19th to Feb 5th. (48N)
3. New profiles enters pool with CRS 469 from Dec 19th to Feb 5th. (48N)

So the cutline will be obvious: 470

Extra: If the ITA stays 3400, and interval stay 14 days, the cutline will stay at 470-471.
 
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