Ray of hope 122th draw

[ExpressMan]

Man, it is crazy and scary at the same time!

For me, the bigger scarier part is that the cut off is June 11th, which implies there are many more 460 scorers in the pool, we can estimate them to be around 1000.

The overall score has come down by 2 points to 460 but with an increase in 250 ITA's, the score is still hovering at 460s and going by present higher standards, we can expect anything below 457-458 to be just wasting our time.

 

[pessacanada]

Are we missing out on anything ?

until last year, scores above 455 were rare and unheard off unless someone had a Ph.D or below 30 with 3 years exp and Master's with 8777...

Especially since the last 4-5 months, the 460 score seems to be an easy one ..

Are we missing out on anything? Has anything changed?

So may young guys are applying with masters degree. Also, some people got their 2nd language certificate successfully which gives you extra 30 points + points for 2nd language.

 

[LKRYA]

Increased ITAs is indeed a blessing. But expected to drop the score lower than this with this number of ITAs.

 

[ExpressMan]

Think a lot of people started getting better IELTS score as well as masters etc. Also the influx from the US due to the H1B issues might have caused this inflation. I hope that it's temporary inflation and it corrects itself sooner. Essential the luck factor also plays as well alongside the first mover advantage.

That one, the H1B stuff has always been there and since the last two years, most ITA's have gone to this group of people and its no surprise.

but since the last 3-4 months, I don't think nothing has changed much but scores are damn high...

This explains the higher interest of people to immigrate to Canada.

 

[enibeni23]

That one, the H1B stuff has always been there and since the last two years, most ITA's have gone to this group of people and its no surprise.

but since the last 3-4 months, I don't think nothing has changed much but scores are damn high...

This explains the higher interest of people to immigrate to Canada.

Ah!! that's interesting.

 

[ExpressMan]

I'm happy that there is an increase in ITA's but the score has actually surprised me, Shocked indeed.

 

[shahsrushti01]

Are we missing out on anything ?

until last year, scores above 455 were rare and unheard off unless someone had a Ph.D or below 30 with 3 years exp and Master's with 8777...

Especially since the last 4-5 months, the 460 score seems to be an easy one ..

Are we missing out on anything? Has anything changed?

Everyone wants to move to canada. I repeat EVERYONE. Competition!!!!

 

[Ilyushin76]

Yeah well, with everything maxed out I'm hovering at 453, so I'd better go and do something else considering scores are doomed from here on out.

 

[13nitinsharma]

PREDICTION FOR JULY 10:

ITA’s : 3,350
CRS: 459-461

ITA’s: 3,500
CRS: 459-461

ITA’s: 3,750
CRS: 458-460

ITA’s: 3,900
CRS: 457-459

So finally, we can see the increase in ITAs. It's a trend every year that CIC make the major changes in Q3 and Q4. Now, the whole game will change and we'll start witnessing CRS score lowering down in the upcoming draws.

One thing is sure that now onward, draw will be conducted with 3600 ITA's and eventually it will jump to 3900 from next month onward.

This is a great sign for people waiting at 450 or below. Now, the backlog should be gone soon and CRS will start touching 450 & below scores

 

[Dream Come-True]

I am in

 

[myindia]

I think 3600 is the final number for the remaining 2019

I feel the same.
CIC is more steady and they have a good idea about the number of ITAs this year

 

[imusi]

Another round of wait has started.

Just took my 2nd IELTS and I believe I have screwed up...This time I got too nervous in the speaking section. And now seeing the cut-off staying at 460 ?after a regular bi-weekly draw and with increased ITAs) really fuels my anxiety....

 

[#EEC]

I have been following this forum for 4-5 months as of now.Sitting at 457.

Same score n same time

 

[Yqing237]

Have y’all noticed that, there are more remaining 450+ left in the pool after every single draw? As of June 21st there were 6265 450+. As of July 5th there were 6615 450+. As of May 24th there were only 5353 450+.
Which indicates that the system is merely clearing out the higher margin like 460+. Since there is more influx of 450+ ( approximately 3700 profiles every 14 days) than ITAs every two weeks, the score will never come down to lower 450s with this trend. An increase from 3350 to 3600 simply doesn’t compensate 3700 profiles every two weeks.

Therefore, theoretically, if they increase ITA to 3900, we will be clearing out 200 backlogs of 450+ every two weeks, assuming that draws are consistent, which will take 20 draws (10 months) for the score to come down to 450.

Sadly but true, the above assumption is the best case scenario that we can get which will likely not happen. The only hope is there will be less 450+ entering the pool in the future.

 

[madhav_91]

Good to see ITA's getting increased finally !