+1(514) 937-9445 or Toll-free (Canada & US) +1 (888) 947-9445

Ray of Hope - 121st Draw

kalex123

Hero Member
Dec 27, 2018
280
43
It is same as it was on 13th June

10th July CRS:
460, 461 wid 3350 ITA


Explanation is as below from my post on 13 th June, I am counting on same logic again

Method1:

https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/posts/7926345/

Method2:

Other than method1, if I assume 270 candidates per day addition (average of 303 and 240) , in that case also prediction is 460, 461.
Will give explanation of this second method later, gud night.☺

I really wish I am wrong and CRS falls to 459 as I am on 459
what if they increase the ITA count by 3900
 

Kiran9999

Star Member
Apr 4, 2019
105
31
Just now received ITA. I would like to thank one and all for the support and info received during the past couple of weeks through this thread. Would like to stay here for the next month or so to offer any help or motivation for prospective applicants.
 

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
549
403
guys i'm really torn. i've already asked this question a million times but i'm still hesitant. I was at 450 and i lost to the tiebreaker. I managed to go up to 460 and only then the score jumped to 470. I have been waiting in the pool for 3 months now and i really can't take anymore bad surprises. A friend of mine keeps pressing me to re-sit for the ielts. I managed to get clb 9/9/10/10 without any preparation on my first try. If this time i get all 10s my score will go up to 466.
the next exam is scheduled for 7 july and the last date to sign up is 29 june. It can go either way; i sign up for IELTS and get drawn on july 10th anyway before even getting my results back OR the score doesn"t go below 461 for one or 2 draws so boosting my score even by 3 points will come in handy.
U will get ITA in 10th July or max 24th July draw.
Moreover as u have old profile, all those accumulation of 8 weeks on 460 won’t be affecting u, consider urself in lower 461
 
  • Like
Reactions: DreamITA

Mr_fabrizio

Star Member
Oct 18, 2018
171
30
Received my ITA like an hour ago. I will continue to motivate,counsel and advice prospective applicants to never ever give up hope.i am part of this family and I look forward to helping anyone here.
 

jokerdurden

Star Member
Jun 10, 2019
51
15
Just now received ITA. I would like to thank one and all for the support and info received during the past couple of weeks through this thread. Would like to stay here for the next month or so to offer any help or motivation for prospective applicants.
Congrats brother!
 

Angel1113

Hero Member
Jun 6, 2019
770
896
Ontario
Category........
CEC
NOC Code......
4212
AOR Received.
24 June 2020
Med's Done....
05-06-2020
  • Like
Reactions: Maddy1150

BLACKPILL

Star Member
Jun 8, 2019
107
43
First thing first, what are you thoughts on next program specific draw date????? If it happens in October then everyone should be at ease because there will be 8 draws ahead.
I believe that there will be some resistance once the CRS comes down to 459 and 458 as there is a significant backlog. Next draw should be 460. July 24th should be around 459 or 458. August should be 458-455. Worst case scenario is September first draw 456, second 454 and then delay 4 weeks again. Time is running out for the next program specific draw ( very possibly happening in late September according to last year).
 
  • Like
Reactions: Angel1113

BLACKPILL

Star Member
Jun 8, 2019
107
43
I politely disagree with above calculations on below point:
The calculation 2915/9 = 323.xxx doesn’t look correct i.e the figure 2915 is wrong.

Correct calculation is below:
451+ on 7th jun: 5646+288= 5934
Considering previous per day addition, 451+ added in next 5 days: 303*5= 1515
Hence 451+ on 12th June: 5934+ 1515= 7449
451+ after 12th June draw: 7449-3350= 4099
451+ on 21st June: 5980+285= 6265
Addition from 12th to 26th June: 6265-4099= 2166
Per day addition in 9 days: 2166/9= 241

Great to see it decreased from 303 to 241

Can somebody check, is ielts result date playing any role in these fluctuations?
Ielts results announced from 12 th to 21st jun= ????
Ielts results announced from 22nd to 26th June =????
It would be of great help if somebody helps to get this data.

We need to figure out why per day score changed from 240 to 303 and then back to 240.

One more thing, looking at just 2.28 CRS points decrease from 465 to 462, I am sure that per day addition was not 240 from 21st June to 26th June, it must have been much higher

I may be wrong in above calculation, any correction is welcomed. Let us correct each other and improve!
I really want to see your prediction for August! Please share some ideas!