Your prediction is accurate from my view. My prediction is plus or minus 1 with yoursI've been obsessing over trying to predict the crs cut off, and I see a lot of predictions here, but felt that more could be done to make the predictions more accurate. I would like to share my improved (v1.0) CRS Projection sheet. If you want to copy it, please feel free but please share if you find any errors or make any improvements. The cut off projections are dynamic in the sense that if you change the # of ITAs or date of next draw, it will change the projected cut off. You can also test to see what the best and worst case scenario would be by changing the # of ITAs, new pool entries etc.
Here is the link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19mlSxcgNq6c6oSjbL5quJJNvXoFZyU97d9c4w3t-S04/edit?usp=sharing